Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking Prediction

Sarpsborg 08 FF
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Viking
Sarpsborg Stadion, Sarpsborg·Marius Grotta, Norway 12/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.92
SignalNEUTRALModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
Sarpsborg 08 FF Rest
44 days
Viking Rest
9 days

Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking: the result in context

Sarpsborg 08 FF beat Viking 1-0 in the Eliteserien on 12 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%4.85
X
26%4.40
2
52%1.54
Double Chance
1X
48%2.31
X2
78%1.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.44
No
49%2.55
Goals
Projected Goals: 0.99 + 1.74 = 2.73
Over 1.5
78%1.10
Over 2.5
57%1.39
Over 3.5
30%2.00
Under 1.5
22%5.90
Under 2.5
43%2.83
Under 3.5
70%1.79
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 5.8 = 10.1
Over 8.5
63%1.29
Over 9.5
52%1.50
Over 10.5
44%1.80
Under 8.5
37%3.20
Under 9.5
48%2.43
Under 10.5
56%1.92
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 1.9 = 4.5
Over 3.5
64%-
Over 4.5
43%-
Under 3.5
36%-
Under 4.5
57%-

Match Events

22'D. KarlsbakkAssist: C. Niyukuri
46'J. Bell INT. Moi out
59'Tobias MoiFoul
63'H. Heggheim INS. Bjorshol out
63'N. Fuglestad INH. J. Haugen out
63'K. Askildsen INJ. Hansen out
65'N. Williams INA. Sher out
68'Sondre Flem BjørsholFoul
73'K. Haugen INV. Auklend out
74'C. Niyukuri INE. Wichne out
74'A. Nibe INB. Gueye out
83'V. E. Halvorsen INN. Skuseth out
83'D. Karlsbakk INJ. Berget out

Lineups

Sarpsborg 08 FF
4-4-2Coach: Even Sel
Viking
4-1-4-1Coach: Bjarte Aarsheim
Avg rating7.20
Avg rating6.78
L. Oy7.687L. Oy
C. Niyukuri7.912C. Niyukuri
B. UtvikC7.94B. Utvik
M. Odegaard7.35M. Odegaard
A. Hiim7.621A. Hiim
V. E. Halvorsen7.522V. E. Halvorsen
S. Sorli6.710S. Sorli
S. Christiansen7.58S. Christiansen
A. Nibe7.233A. Nibe
D. Karlsbakk7.311D. Karlsbakk
N. Williams7.017N. Williams
L. Belko6.730L. Belko
H. Heggheim7.05H. Heggheim
G. Stensness8.26G. Stensness
A. Baertelsen7.721A. Baertelsen
K. Haugen6.528K. Haugen
J. Bell6.28J. Bell
N. Fuglestad6.623N. Fuglestad
K. Askildsen6.37K. Askildsen
S. Kvia-Egeskog6.526S. Kvia-Egeskog
Z. TripicC7.710Z. Tripic
P. Christiansen5.320P. Christiansen

Sarpsborg 08 FF Substitutes

54J. H. Skjoren
32E. Wichne74'for C. Niyukuri6.9
3N. Skuseth83'for V. E. Halvorsen6.6
14J. Berget83'for D. Karlsbakk6.7
6A. Sher65'for N. Williams7.2
7Camil Mmaee
15M. Opoku
18B. Gueye74'for A. Nibe6.3
50M. M. Eidal

Viking Substitutes

1A. Ostbo
3V. Vevatne
18S. Bjorshol63'for H. Heggheim68'6.7
2H. J. Haugen63'for N. Fuglestad6.7
17E. Austbo
24V. Auklend73'for K. Haugen7.0
29T. Moi46'for J. Bell59'6.9
33J. Hansen63'for K. Askildsen6.5
15O. Visted

Match Stats

Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
40%Ball Possession60%
3Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
18Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box7
9Shots Outside Box3
7Blocked Shots4
6Fouls9
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
404Total Passes582
314Passes Accurate500
78%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
VikingViking
1588Elo Rating 1878
1.61Attack 2.30
1.10Defense 1.15
42%Hit Rate 54%
15.6Shots per Game 9.9
6.3Shots on Target 3.9
6.8Corners per Game 5.8
1.4Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
VikingViking
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.9 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
VikingViking5Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Eliteserien27/09/2025
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
33
NM Cupen09/07/2025
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
10
Eliteserien04/05/2025
VikingSarpsborg 08 FF
00
Eliteserien27/10/2024
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
12
Eliteserien01/04/2024
VikingSarpsborg 08 FF
10
Eliteserien12/11/2023
VikingSarpsborg 08 FF
21
Eliteserien11/06/2023
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
13
Eliteserien16/10/2022
VikingSarpsborg 08 FF
01
Eliteserien03/04/2022
Sarpsborg 08 FFViking
01
Eliteserien31/10/2021
VikingSarpsborg 08 FF
12

Recent Form

Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF
3W2D5L
29/05/2026
BrannSarpsborg 08 FF
12
W
25/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFMolde
21
W
16/05/2026
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
32
L
09/05/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFFredrikstad
21
W
03/05/2026
LillestromSarpsborg 08 FF
40
L
26/04/2026
KFUM OsloSarpsborg 08 FF
10
L
19/04/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFTromso
01
L
15/04/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFBodo/Glimt
11
D
12/04/2026
RosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
21
L
06/04/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFStart
11
D
VikingViking
9W1D0L
03/07/2026
SonderjyskeViking
11
D
24/05/2026
Kristiansund BKViking
12
W
16/05/2026
VikingStart
63
W
10/05/2026
KFUM OsloViking
02
W
01/05/2026
VikingRosenborg
30
W
25/04/2026
FredrikstadViking
12
W
18/04/2026
VikingBrann
32
W
11/04/2026
VikingBodo/Glimt
50
W
06/04/2026
ValerengaViking
01
W
21/03/2026
VikingMolde
41
W

Referee Profile

Marius Grotta118 matches

3.49Cards per match
3.40Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marius Grotta3.49
Other referees3.28

3.49 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.28).

Cards come from 97 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking24192362:23+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756LWWLW
3MoldeMolde24134757:36+2143WWDLW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad24851129:41-1229LLDDD
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2462:2359
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2458:2156
3MoldeMolde2457:3643
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2429:4129
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Viking forecast

The forecasts for this Eliteserien match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sarpsborg 08 FF and Viking in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Viking are 1st and Sarpsborg 08 FF 7th, 28 points apart. League goal record so far: Sarpsborg 08 FF 30-35, Viking 62-23. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.