Tromso vs Valerenga Prediction

Tromso
4-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Valerenga
Alfheim, Tromso·Svein Tore Sinnes, Norway 11/07/2026
TromsoTromso
4-0
Finished
ValerengaValerenga

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel51%SurpriseMediumGap+0.6%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+8.5%
Tromso Rest
42 days
Valerenga Rest
7 days

Tromso vs Valerenga: result, form and history

Tromso beat Valerenga 4-0 in the Eliteserien on 11 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.3 goals a game across 9 matches. Valerenga tend to win more corners, 6.5 a game to 3.2 for Tromso.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.73
X
24%3.73
2
25%4.47
Double Chance
1X
75%1.20
X2
49%2.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.67
No
44%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 2 + 1.08 = 3.08
Over 1.5
83%1.22
Over 2.5
59%1.73
Over 3.5
41%2.77
Under 1.5
17%3.95
Under 2.5
41%2.07
Under 3.5
59%1.41
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.1 = 9.8
Over 8.5
63%1.36
Over 9.5
52%1.60
Over 10.5
40%1.97
Under 8.5
37%2.85
Under 9.5
48%2.22
Under 10.5
60%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.2 + 2.4 = 3.6
Over 3.5
38%-
Over 4.5
25%-
Under 3.5
62%-
Under 4.5
75%-

Match Events

12'H. LarsenAssist: R. Jenssen
22'J. Hjerto-DahlAssist: V. Skjaervik
45+2'H. LarsenAssist: L. Cornic
60'M. Westergaard INM. Ofkir out
67'H. Larsen IND. Braut out
67'R. Jenssen INT. Nyhammer out
72'P. Strand INL. Haren out
73'I. Nasberg INK. Tshiembe out
74'D. Edvardsson
75'S. Innvaer INM. Tonnessen out
75'J. Hjerto-Dahl INS. Prestmo out
80'T. NyhammerAssist: D. Edvardsson
81'L. O. Larsen INJ. Grundt out
82'M. Grundetjern ING. Rajkovic out
82'H. Sjatil INS. Jarl out
86'S. Jarl

Lineups

Tromso
5-3-2Coach: Jorgen Vik
Valerenga
4-4-2Coach: Johannes Moesgaard
Avg rating7.29
Avg rating6.33
Jakob Haugaard7.21J. Haugaard
Leo Cornic6.92L. Cornic
Vetle Skjaervik7.54V. Skjaervik
Tobias Kvalvagnes Guddal7.621T. Kvalvagnes Guddal
Isak Vadebu7.330I. Vadebu
Sander Innvær8.037S. Innvær
David Edvardsson7.65D. Edvardsson
Ruben JenssenC7.311R. Jenssen
Jens Hjertø-Dahl8.06J. Hjertø-Dahl
Lars Olden Larsen6.77L. Olden Larsen
Heine Asen Larsen8.222H. Asen Larsen
Oscar Hedvall5.91O. Hedvall
Hakon Sjatil5.33H. Sjatil
Aaron Kiil Olsen6.34A. Kiil Olsen
Ivan Näsberg6.237I. Näsberg
Kolbeinn Finnsson5.92K. Finnsson
Magnus Westergaard6.328M. Westergaard
Ambina Fidèle Brice7.229A. Fidèle Brice
Carl Lange6.310C. Lange
Petter Strand6.524P. Strand
Henrik BjørdalC7.38H. Bjørdal
Mathias Grundetjern6.317M. Grundetjern

Tromso Substitutes

10Troy Nyhammer67'for R. Jenssen80'7.9
9Daniel Braut67'for H. Larsen6.3
3Mathias Tonnessen75'for S. Innvaer7.0
14Sigurd Prestmo6.9
8Jesper Andreas Grundt81'for L. O. Larsen6.3
12Ole Lauvli
27Mads Mikkelsen
19Aleksander Lilletun Elvebu

Valerenga Substitutes

7Mohamed Ofkir60'for M. Westergaard6.2
77Lucas Haren72'for P. Strand6.5
5Kevin Tshiembe73'for I. Nasberg6.2
55Sebastian Jarl82'for H. Sjatil86'6.6
9Gabriel Rajkovic82'for M. Grundetjern6.2
30Alexander Svensen Ordal
6Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
22Stian Sjøvold Thorstensen
90Ole Christian Saeter

Match Stats

TromsoValerenga
38%Ball Possession62%
4Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots18
7Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box12
6Shots Outside Box6
1Blocked Shots7
10Fouls10
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves3
403Total Passes645
325Passes Accurate555
81%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

TromsoTromso
ValerengaValerenga
1651Elo Rating 1611
1.84Attack 1.88
1.24Defense 2.07
36%Hit Rate 64%
14.4Shots per Game 18.0
6.4Shots on Target 6.3
3.2Corners per Game 6.5
2.9Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.09 goals
📈BTTS Trend44% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

TromsoTromso
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
ValerengaValerenga
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

TromsoTromso2Wins · 22%
Draws556%
ValerengaValerenga2Wins · 22%
1.3Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
11%3+ goals1 of 9

Previous meetings

Eliteserien04/10/2025
ValerengaTromso
10
Eliteserien31/05/2025
TromsoValerenga
21
NM Cupen01/05/2024
ValerengaTromso
1000
Eliteserien03/12/2023
ValerengaTromso
11
Eliteserien09/07/2023
TromsoValerenga
00
Eliteserien21/08/2022
ValerengaTromso
10
Eliteserien12/05/2022
TromsoValerenga
10
Eliteserien21/11/2021
ValerengaTromso
11
Eliteserien15/08/2021
TromsoValerenga
11

Recent Form

TromsoTromso
4W4D2L
29/05/2026
KFUM OsloTromso
00
D
25/05/2026
TromsoAalesund
11
D
16/05/2026
Bodo/GlimtTromso
50
L
10/05/2026
TromsoMolde
20
W
03/05/2026
StartTromso
11
D
29/04/2026
TromsoBrann
05
L
26/04/2026
TromsoSandefjord
31
W
19/04/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFTromso
01
W
15/04/2026
TromsoLillestrom
00
D
11/04/2026
TromsoKristiansund BK
20
W
ValerengaValerenga
3W2D5L
04/07/2026
ValerengaFredrikstad
31
W
27/06/2026
ValerengaGais
12
L
18/06/2026
IFK GoteborgValerenga
11
D
29/05/2026
ValerengaKristiansund BK
31
W
25/05/2026
StartValerenga
20
L
16/05/2026
ValerengaSarpsborg 08 FF
32
W
08/05/2026
Ham-KamValerenga
10
L
03/05/2026
ValerengaKFUM Oslo
22
D
26/04/2026
MoldeValerenga
51
L
19/04/2026
ValerengaLillestrom
02
L

Referee Profile

Svein Tore Sinnes106 matches

3.19Cards per match
3.08Yellow cards per match
0.11Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Svein Tore Sinnes3.19
Other referees3.37

3.19 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.37).

Cards come from 73 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking24192362:23+3959WWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt24182458:21+3756LWWLW
3MoldeMolde24134757:36+2143WWDLW
4RosenborgRosenborg24124846:31+1540WWDWW
5TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
6LillestromLillestrom24123935:33+239WWDLW
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2487930:35-531WLWLD
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo24861030:39-930DDWWW
9BrannBrann24921342:40+229LLLWL
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad24851129:41-1229LLDDD
12Ham-KamHam-Kam24751233:51-1826LLWLL
13SandefjordSandefjord24661222:31-924LLDWL
14AalesundAalesund24591040:53-1324LWLWL
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK24551425:49-2420DLLLL
16StartStart24541526:54-2819WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2462:2359
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2458:2156
3MoldeMolde2457:3643
4RosenborgRosenborg2446:3140
5TromsoTromso2443:3440
6LillestromLillestrom2435:3339
7Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2430:3531
8KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2430:3930
9BrannBrann2442:4029
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2429:4129
12Ham-KamHam-Kam2433:5126
13SandefjordSandefjord2422:3124
14AalesundAalesund2440:5324
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2425:4920
16StartStart2426:5419
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Tromso vs Valerenga forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tromso and Valerenga in the Eliteserien table

In the Eliteserien table, Tromso are 5th and Valerenga 10th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Tromso 43-34, Valerenga 39-46. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.