Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK Prediction

Rosenborg
3-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Kristiansund BK
Lerkendal Stadion, Trondheim·Marius Lien, Norway 12/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-4.4%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.93
SignalSOLIDModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+11.5%
Rosenborg Rest
7 days
Kristiansund BK Rest
9 days

Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK: the result in context

Rosenborg beat Kristiansund BK 3-0 in the Eliteserien on 12 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.5 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5. Referee Marius Lien averages 2.65 cards a game, 0.77 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.60
X
25%4.03
2
27%5.00
Double Chance
1X
74%1.16
X2
52%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.66
No
45%2.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.16 = 2.80
Over 1.5
80%1.18
Over 2.5
56%1.64
Over 3.5
29%2.52
Under 1.5
20%4.32
Under 2.5
44%2.20
Under 3.5
71%1.48
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.3 = 9.7
Over 8.5
63%1.29
Over 9.5
52%1.50
Over 10.5
40%1.82
Under 8.5
37%3.40
Under 9.5
48%2.42
Under 10.5
60%1.93
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.6 = 3.1
Over 3.5
35%-
Over 4.5
16%-
Under 3.5
65%-
Under 4.5
84%-

Match Events

25'J. Svensson
31'D. Duris
45'F. Flex INH. Haugen out
46'A. Ronning INH. Magnusson out
46'N. Odegard INS. Skeide out
46'S. Kilen INM. Isah out
53'A. ChiakhaAssist: O. Selnaes
55'O. Selnaes INS. Vaananen out
62'J. Isaksen INH. Bruseth out
66'J. Svensson INJ. Mortensen out
66'D. Duris IND. Islamovic out
66'A. Pereira INT. Dahl out
73'Dino Islamović(Penalty missed)
78'Syver Skundberg SkeideFoul
82'A. Chiakha INJ. Reitan-Sunde out

Lineups

Rosenborg
4-4-2Coach: Freyr Alexandersson
Kristiansund BK
4-2-3-1Coach: Amund Skiri
Avg rating7.31
Avg rating6.41
L. Wahlstedt7.01L. Wahlstedt
J. SvenssonC8.922J. Svensson
M. K. Ceide7.94M. K. Ceide
T. Nemcik8.021T. Nemcik
A. Pereira7.719A. Pereira
D. Duris7.029D. Duris
M. Bomholt7.317M. Bomholt
I. Fossum6.78I. Fossum
E. K. Ceide7.235E. K. Ceide
O. Selnaes7.910O. Selnaes
A. Chiakha7.318A. Chiakha
A. Saether6.312A. Saether
A. Munksgaard7.213A. Munksgaard
J. Juliusson6.24J. Juliusson
D. UlvestadC6.55D. Ulvestad
F. Flex5.93F. Flex
W. Igor6.320W. Igor
N. Odegard6.58N. Odegard
A. Ronning6.327A. Ronning
J. Isaksen6.36J. Isaksen
S. Kilen5.99S. Kilen
L. Alvheim6.219L. Alvheim

Rosenborg Substitutes

12R. Sandberg
15J. Mortensen66'for J. Svensson7.2
6S. Vaananen55'for O. Selnaes6.6
2H. Rosten
14J. Reitan-Sunde82'for A. Chiakha6.5
9D. Islamovic66'for D. Duris6.3
11N. Sahsah
3T. Dahl66'for A. Pereira7.5
5H. Volden

Kristiansund BK Substitutes

1M. Lansing
77H. Magnusson46'for A. Ronning6.2
14S. Skeide46'for N. Odegard78'6.9
22H. Haugen45'for F. Flex6.5
10H. Bruseth62'for J. Isaksen7.2
2A. Borset
7M. Isah46'for S. Kilen6.2
31H. Opsahl
38A. N. Brattoy

Match Stats

RosenborgKristiansund BK
69%Ball Possession31%
8Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots9
9Shots on Goal2
5Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots3
14Fouls22
0Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves6
623Total Passes265
544Passes Accurate201
87%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

RosenborgRosenborg
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
1746Elo Rating 1468
2.13Attack 0.96
2.15Defense 0.30
56%Hit Rate 0%
19.8Shots per Game 15.6
7.6Shots on Target 5.7
7.1Corners per Game 3.1
2.1Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+279 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.8 goals
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

RosenborgRosenborg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

RosenborgRosenborg4Wins · 50%
Draws225%
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2Wins · 25%
3.5Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8

Previous meetings

Eliteserien22/06/2025
Kristiansund BKRosenborg
41
Eliteserien01/05/2025
RosenborgKristiansund BK
11
Eliteserien01/12/2024
Kristiansund BKRosenborg
04
Eliteserien26/05/2024
RosenborgKristiansund BK
21
Eliteserien02/10/2022
Kristiansund BKRosenborg
44
Eliteserien25/06/2022
RosenborgKristiansund BK
31
Eliteserien03/10/2021
Kristiansund BKRosenborg
10
Eliteserien10/07/2021
RosenborgKristiansund BK
10

Recent Form

RosenborgRosenborg
3W3D4L
05/07/2026
RosenborgMolde
21
W
29/05/2026
RosenborgBodo/Glimt
22
D
25/05/2026
KFUM OsloRosenborg
20
L
16/05/2026
RosenborgAalesund
23
L
10/05/2026
RosenborgLillestrom
20
W
01/05/2026
VikingRosenborg
30
L
25/04/2026
RosenborgBrann
11
D
18/04/2026
SandefjordRosenborg
00
D
12/04/2026
RosenborgSarpsborg 08 FF
21
W
06/04/2026
TromsoRosenborg
20
L
Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK
3W2D5L
03/07/2026
BrannKristiansund BK
12
W
27/06/2026
Kristiansund BKAalesund
03
L
29/05/2026
ValerengaKristiansund BK
31
L
24/05/2026
Kristiansund BKViking
12
L
20/05/2026
LillestromKristiansund BK
12
W
16/05/2026
MoldeKristiansund BK
10
L
10/05/2026
SandefjordKristiansund BK
20
L
03/05/2026
Kristiansund BKHam-Kam
11
D
26/04/2026
AalesundKristiansund BK
11
D
19/04/2026
Kristiansund BKFredrikstad
20
W

Referee Profile

Marius Lien117 matches

2.65Cards per match
2.50Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
21.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Marius Lien2.65
Other referees3.42

2.65 cards a match, 0.77 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.42).

Cards come from 74 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso24117643:34+940LDDWL
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
9KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
10ValerengaValerenga24851139:46-729WWLDL
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart25541626:55-2919LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2559:3943
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2443:3440
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
9KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
10ValerengaValerenga2439:4629
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2526:5519
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Rosenborg vs Kristiansund BK forecast

The forecasts for this Eliteserien match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rosenborg and Kristiansund BK in the Eliteserien table

The table shows a wide gap: Rosenborg are 4th in the Eliteserien, while Kristiansund BK sit 15th, 20 points behind. League goal record so far: Rosenborg 49-31, Kristiansund BK 29-51. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Rosenborg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.