Monagas SC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC Prediction
Venezuela · Clausura - 12
12/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseHighGap-4.3%
Monagas SC Rest
4 days
Estudiantes de Merida FC Rest
21 days
Monagas SC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC: the result in context
Monagas SC beat Estudiantes de Merida FC 2-1 in the Primera División on 11 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Monagas SC had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Estudiantes de Merida FC.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
141%2.25
X28%3.20
231%2.90
Double Chance
1X69%1.36
X259%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.65
No45%2.07
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.47 + 0.99 = 2.46
Over 1.572%1.25
Over 2.549%1.83
Over 3.529%3.11
Under 1.528%3.39
Under 2.551%1.85
Under 3.571%1.31
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
11'F. BasanteAssist: H. Diaz
24'F. BasanteAssist: E. Carrion
39'C. Magallan INJ. Hernandez out
41'F. JaramilloFoul
45+2'E. CarrionUnsportsmanlike conduct
49'K. De La HozFoul
57'E. Carrion INL. Rodriguez out
57'A. Romero INS. Asibe out
65'J. LoboAssist: J. Hernandez
69'H. AcostaUnsportsmanlike conduct
69'F. BasanteUnsportsmanlike conduct
70'H. Diaz INS. Natera out
70'L. Gonzalez INA. Romero out
73'C. RodriguezFoul
76'J. Lobo INA. Montero out
76'C. Rodriguez INR. Chacon out
80'F. Basante INA. Rodas out
89'D. Matheus INY. Lacruz out
89'J. A. Montilla Maldonado INM. Maldonado out
90+1'L. CaicedoFoul
90+2'A. RomeroUnsportsmanlike conduct
Team Comparison
Monagas SC
Estudiantes de Merida FC1532Elo Rating 1478
1.68Attack 1.23
1.54Defense 1.44
36%Hit Rate 0%
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Monagas SC- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Estudiantes de Merida FC- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Monagas SC2Wins · 20%Draws330%
Estudiantes de Merida FC5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%2.9Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
19/04/2026Estudiantes de Merida FCMonagas SC32
20/07/2025Monagas SCEstudiantes de Merida FC10
07/02/2025Estudiantes de Merida FCMonagas SC20
11/11/2024Monagas SCEstudiantes de Merida FC23
03/11/2024Estudiantes de Merida FCMonagas SC20
22/08/2024Estudiantes de Merida FCMonagas SC21
02/03/2024Monagas SCEstudiantes de Merida FC32
19/08/2023Estudiantes de Merida FCMonagas SC11
19/03/2023Monagas SCEstudiantes de Merida FC11
02/07/2022Estudiantes de Merida FCMonagas SC11
Recent Form
Monagas SC5W2D3L
07/10/2026
Mineros de GuyanaMonagas SC
Mineros de GuyanaMonagas SC10
L19/09/2026
Rayo ZulianoMonagas SC
17/09/2026Rayo ZulianoMonagas SC11
DMonagas SC
Zamora FC10
W13/09/2026
Caracas FCMonagas SC01
W09/09/2026Monagas SC
Bolívar
Monagas SCBolívar51
W06/09/2026Monagas SC
Metropolitanos FC
03/09/2026Monagas SCMetropolitanos FC01
L
Anzoátegui FCMonagas SC13
W30/08/2026
Trujillanos FCMonagas SC31
L26/08/2026BolívarMonagas SC
BolívarMonagas SC13
W23/08/2026Monagas SC
Portuguesa FC
Monagas SCPortuguesa FC00
DEstudiantes de Merida FC4W3D3L
20/09/2026Estudiantes de Merida FCTrujillanos FCPortuguesa FCEstudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC
UCV
Deportivo La GuairaEstudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FCZamora FC
Estudiantes de Merida FCTrujillanos FC11
D16/09/2026Portuguesa FCEstudiantes de Merida FC21
L12/09/2026Estudiantes de Merida FC
Deportivo Tachira FC
Estudiantes de Merida FCDeportivo Tachira FC20
W08/09/2026
Carabobo FCEstudiantes de Merida FC
04/09/2026Carabobo FCEstudiantes de Merida FC10
LEstudiantes de Merida FCUCV11
D31/08/2026Deportivo La GuairaEstudiantes de Merida FC12
W22/08/2026Estudiantes de Merida FC
Puerto Cabello
Estudiantes de Merida FCPuerto Cabello11
D15/08/2026Estudiantes de Merida FCAnzoátegui FC
Estudiantes de Merida FCAnzoátegui FC10
W10/08/2026Rayo ZulianoEstudiantes de Merida FC
06/08/2026Rayo ZulianoEstudiantes de Merida FC30
LEstudiantes de Merida FCZamora FC10
WLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 47:21 | +26 | 57 | DD |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 47:29 | +18 | 51 | LW |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:24 | +13 | 44 | DW |
| 4 | Carabobo FC | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 38:24 | +14 | 41 | DD |
| 5 | Puerto Cabello | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 35:26 | +9 | 40 | DD |
| 6 | Portuguesa FC | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 34:24 | +10 | 39 | WD |
| 7 | UCV | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 37:35 | +2 | 39 | LDLWL |
| 8 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 36:34 | +2 | 37 | LWWWL |
| 9 | Caracas FC | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 30:33 | -3 | 32 | DD |
| 10 | Monagas SC | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 | LL |
| 11 | Zamora FC | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 25 | DDDWW |
| 12 | Rayo Zuliano | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 31:52 | -21 | 25 | LLLWD |
| 13 | Trujillanos FC | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:46 | -23 | 18 | LLLLL |
| 14 | Anzoátegui FC | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 23:47 | -24 | 17 | DLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 26 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 26 | 47:29 | 51 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 26 | 37:24 | 44 |
| 4 | Carabobo FC | 26 | 38:24 | 41 |
| 5 | Puerto Cabello | 26 | 35:26 | 40 |
| 6 | Portuguesa FC | 26 | 34:24 | 39 |
| 7 | UCV | 26 | 37:35 | 39 |
| 8 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 26 | 36:34 | 37 |
| 9 | Caracas FC | 26 | 30:33 | 32 |
| 10 | Monagas SC | 26 | 31:39 | 29 |
| 11 | Zamora FC | 26 | 26:41 | 25 |
| 12 | Rayo Zuliano | 26 | 31:52 | 25 |
| 13 | Trujillanos FC | 26 | 23:46 | 18 |
| 14 | Anzoátegui FC | 26 | 23:47 | 17 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | +9 | 27 | DW |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | +7 | 25 | DD |
| 3 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | +5 | 24 | LW |
| 4 | UCV | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 23 | LDLWL |
| 5 | Portuguesa FC | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | WD |
| 6 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 20 | LWWWL |
| 7 | Carabobo FC | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | +9 | 19 | DD |
| 8 | Puerto Cabello | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 17 | DD |
| 9 | Zamora FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 | DDDWW |
| 10 | Caracas FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 | DD |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 14 | LLLWD |
| 12 | Monagas SC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 11 | LL |
| 13 | Anzoátegui FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 14 | Trujillanos FC | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9:26 | -17 | 4 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 15:6 | 27 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 13 | 17:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 13 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 4 | UCV | 13 | 24:20 | 23 |
| 5 | Portuguesa FC | 13 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 13 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 7 | Carabobo FC | 13 | 23:14 | 19 |
| 8 | Puerto Cabello | 13 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Zamora FC | 13 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 10 | Caracas FC | 13 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 13 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 12 | Monagas SC | 13 | 14:22 | 11 |
| 13 | Anzoátegui FC | 13 | 15:25 | 9 |
| 14 | Trujillanos FC | 13 | 9:26 | 4 |
Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carabobo FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | +5 | 11 | DD |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | +3 | 11 | LW |
| 3 | Metropolitanos FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 8 | DD |
| 4 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 | LWWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carabobo FC | 6 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 6 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos FC | 6 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 6 | 2:8 | 3 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 30:11 | +19 | 32 | DD |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 30:17 | +13 | 27 | LW |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | +7 | 23 | DD |
| 4 | Carabobo FC | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15:10 | +5 | 22 | DD |
| 5 | Portuguesa FC | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 14:12 | +2 | 19 | WD |
| 6 | Monagas SC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 | LL |
| 7 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 22:18 | +4 | 17 | DW |
| 8 | Caracas FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 | DD |
| 9 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 | LWWWL |
| 10 | UCV | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 | LDLWL |
| 11 | Trujillanos FC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LLLLL |
| 12 | Rayo Zuliano | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:29 | -11 | 11 | LLLWD |
| 13 | Anzoátegui FC | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 8 | DLWLL |
| 14 | Zamora FC | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 8 | DDDWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 13 | 30:11 | 32 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 13 | 30:17 | 27 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 13 | 19:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Carabobo FC | 13 | 15:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Portuguesa FC | 13 | 14:12 | 19 |
| 6 | Monagas SC | 13 | 17:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 22:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Caracas FC | 13 | 15:16 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 13 | 15:16 | 17 |
| 10 | UCV | 13 | 13:15 | 16 |
| 11 | Trujillanos FC | 13 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Rayo Zuliano | 13 | 18:29 | 11 |
| 13 | Anzoátegui FC | 13 | 8:22 | 8 |
| 14 | Zamora FC | 13 | 12:27 | 8 |
Primera Division: Clausura - Quadrangular — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | +3 | 6 | LW |
| 2 | Caracas FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 | DD |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 | DD |
| 4 | Monagas SC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 | LL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 2 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Caracas FC | 2 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 2 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Monagas SC | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Deportivo Tachira FC vs UCV 11/10/26
- Metropolitanos FC vs Rayo Zuliano 11/10/26
- Anzoátegui FC vs Carabobo FC 11/10/26
- Caracas FC vs Zamora FC 11/10/26
- Deportivo La Guaira vs Trujillanos FC 17/10/26
- Zamora FC vs Anzoátegui FC 17/10/26
- Carabobo FC vs Deportivo Tachira FC 18/10/26
- Rayo Zuliano vs Caracas FC 18/10/26
About the Monagas SC vs Estudiantes de Merida FC forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Monagas SC and Estudiantes de Merida FC in the Primera División table
Estudiantes de Merida FC and Monagas SC are close in the Primera División table, 8th and 10th, with 8 points between them. League goal record so far: Monagas SC 31-39, Estudiantes de Merida FC 36-34. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.