Estudiantes de Merida FC vs UCV Prediction

Primera DivisiónVenezuela Venezuela · Clausura - 7
Estudiantes de Merida FC
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
UCV
04/09/2026
Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC
1-1
Finished
UCVUCV

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseHighGap-1.4%
Estudiantes de Merida FC Rest
3 days
UCV Rest
2 days

Estudiantes de Merida FC vs UCV: result, form and history

Estudiantes de Merida FC and UCV drew 1-1 in the Primera División on 3 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 9 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%2.44
X
25%3.05
2
25%2.80
Double Chance
1X
75%1.36
X2
50%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.75
No
49%1.93
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.44 + 1.11 = 2.55
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
45%2.03
Over 3.5
25%3.60
Under 1.5
28%3.05
Under 2.5
55%1.67
Under 3.5
75%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'Edwin MosqueraAssist: Juan Camilo Zapata
23'Wilken Ramírez(Penalty)
50'Juan Camilo Zapata
52'Wilken Ramírez
57'Junior Araujo INJuan Diego Alegría Arango out
57'Andrés Montero INRonaldo Chacón out
61'Edwin Mosquera
64'Francisco Solé
68'Kendrys Silva
71'Samuel Sosa INWilliams José Lugo Ladera out
71'Edwin Mosquera INcarlos colmenares out
79'Darwin Matheus INAngelo Pena out
81'Juan Diego Alegría Arango
82'Juan Camilo Zapata INDaniel Badillo Sousa out
82'Alexander Gonzalez
88'Jesus Hernandez INEnder Daniel Albarrán Villegas out
88'Wilken Ramírez INGeovan Montes out
88'Hector Acosta INCristian castillo out

Lineups

Estudiantes de Merida FC
4-3-3Coach: Jesús Gómez
UCV
4-2-3-1Coach: D. Sasso
E. Roberts12E. Roberts
H. Acosta25H. Acosta
L. Caicedo44L. Caicedo
C. Rodríguez4C. Rodríguez
J. A. Montilla Maldonado20J. A. Montilla Maldonado
C. Rivas15C. Rivas
W. Ramírez5W. Ramírez
A. Montero11A. Montero
D. Matheus99D. Matheus
J. Hernández9J. Hernández
R. Ivey14R. Ivey
R. Romo22R. Romo
M. Ruiz28M. Ruiz
K. Silva2K. Silva
S. Hernandez25S. Hernandez
Y. Cumaná24Y. Cumaná
A. González30A. González
F. Solé5F. Solé
S. Sosa10S. Sosa
J. Araujo42J. Araujo
E. Mosquera7E. Mosquera
J. Zapata8J. Zapata

Estudiantes de Merida FC Substitutes

36R. Chacón57'for Andrés Montero
16J. Lobo
13M. Maldonado
30F. Molina
31G. Montes88'for Wilken Ramírez
10Á. Peña79'for Darwin Matheus
1T. Rojas
7E. Albarran88'for Jesus Hernandez
24J. Moreno
23Y. Lacruz
2J. Gutierez
77Cristian castillo88'replaced by Hector Acosta

UCV Substitutes

9J. Alegría57'for Junior Araujo81'
16D. De Sousa82'for Juan Camilo Zapata
12C. González
11W. Lugo71'for Samuel Sosa
6G. Mottes
13E. Peraza
21V. Rodríguez
33C. Colmenares71'for Edwin Mosquera
44Jesus Colmenarez
32Alberto Christian Flores Cobena
34Kevin Guzman
3S. Pabón

Team Comparison

Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC
UCVUCV
1478Elo Rating 1520
1.23Attack 1.85
1.44Defense 1.25
0%Hit Rate 41%

Game State Tendencies

Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
UCVUCV
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC3Wins · 33%
Draws222%
UCVUCV4Wins · 45%
2.6Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9

Previous meetings

Primera División14/03/2026
UCVEstudiantes de Merida FC
11
Primera División24/07/2025
Estudiantes de Merida FCUCV
00
Primera División15/02/2025
UCVEstudiantes de Merida FC
21
Primera División14/09/2024
UCVEstudiantes de Merida FC
31
Primera División19/03/2024
Estudiantes de Merida FCUCV
01
Primera División23/07/2023
Estudiantes de Merida FCUCV
20
Primera División22/04/2023
UCVEstudiantes de Merida FC
32
Primera División10/06/2022
Estudiantes de Merida FCUCV
30
Primera División05/06/2022
UCVEstudiantes de Merida FC
12

Recent Form

Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC
3W2D5L
31/08/2026
Deportivo La GuairaEstudiantes de Merida FC
12
W
22/08/2026
Estudiantes de Merida FCPuerto Cabello
11
D
15/08/2026
Estudiantes de Merida FCAnzoátegui FC
10
W
10/08/2026
Rayo ZulianoEstudiantes de Merida FC
30
L
06/08/2026
Estudiantes de Merida FCZamora FC
10
W
04/08/2026
Caracas FCEstudiantes de Merida FC
22
D
31/05/2026
Deportivo Tachira FCEstudiantes de Merida FC
10
L
24/05/2026
Estudiantes de Merida FCMetropolitanos FC
01
L
17/05/2026
Estudiantes de Merida FCCarabobo FC
02
L
14/05/2026
Carabobo FCEstudiantes de Merida FC
10
L
UCVUCV
3W0D7L
01/09/2026
UCVRayo Zuliano
41
W
22/08/2026
Zamora FCUCV
20
L
15/08/2026
UCVCaracas FC
01
L10/08/2026
Metropolitanos FCUCV
21
L
05/08/2026
UCVMonagas SC
21
W
01/08/2026
Trujillanos FCUCV
20
L
29/07/2026
SantosUCV
42
L22/07/2026
UCVSantos
14
L
30/05/2026
UCVPortuguesa FC
23
L
28/05/2026
Libertad AsuncionUCV
01
W

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera Division: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC26176347:21+2657LDD
2Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC26156547:29+1851DLW
3Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira26128637:24+1344WDW
4Carabobo FCCarabobo FC261011538:24+1441WDD
5Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello261010635:26+940WDD
6Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC26912534:24+1039LWD
7UCVUCV26116937:35+239LDLWL
8Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC26107936:34+237LWWWL
9Caracas FCCaracas FC26711830:33-332LDD
10Monagas SCMonagas SC26851331:39-829LLL
11Zamora FCZamora FC26671326:41-1525DDDWW
12Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano26741531:52-2125LLLWD
13Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC26461623:46-2318LLLLL
14Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC26451723:47-2417DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC2647:2157
2Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC2647:2951
3Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira2637:2444
4Carabobo FCCarabobo FC2638:2441
5Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello2635:2640
6Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC2634:2439
7UCVUCV2637:3539
8Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC2636:3437
9Caracas FCCaracas FC2630:3332
10Monagas SCMonagas SC2631:3929
11Zamora FCZamora FC2626:4125
12Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano2631:5225
13Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC2623:4618
14Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC2623:4717

Primera Division: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira1376015:6+927WDW
2Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC1374217:10+725LDD
3Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC1373317:12+524DLW
4UCVUCV1372424:20+423LDLWL
5Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC1355320:12+820LWD
6Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC1362521:18+320LWWWL
7Carabobo FCCarabobo FC1347223:14+919WDD
8Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello1345416:14+217WDD
9Zamora FCZamora FC1345414:14017DDDWW
10Caracas FCCaracas FC1336415:17-215LDD
11Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano1342713:23-1014LLLWD
12Monagas SCMonagas SC1332814:22-811LLL
13Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC1323815:25-109DLWLL
14Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC130499:26-174LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira1315:627
2Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC1317:1025
3Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC1317:1224
4UCVUCV1324:2023
5Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC1320:1220
6Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC1321:1820
7Carabobo FCCarabobo FC1323:1419
8Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello1316:1417
9Zamora FCZamora FC1314:1417
10Caracas FCCaracas FC1315:1715
11Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano1313:2314
12Monagas SCMonagas SC1314:2211
13Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC1315:259
14Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC139:264

Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello63128:7+110WDD
2Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC62227:8-18LWD
3Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira61415:507WDW
4UCVUCV61328:806LDLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello68:710
2Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC67:88
3Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira65:57
4UCVUCV68:86

Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Carabobo FCCarabobo FC632110:5+511WDD
2Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC63218:5+311DLW
3Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC62225:7-28LDD
4Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC61052:8-63LWWWL
#TeamMPGPts
1Carabobo FCCarabobo FC610:511
2Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC68:511
3Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC65:78
4Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC62:83

Primera Division: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC13102130:11+1932LDD
2Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC1383230:17+1327DLW
3Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello1365219:12+723WDD
4Carabobo FCCarabobo FC1364315:10+522WDD
5Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC1347214:12+219LWD
6Monagas SCMonagas SC1353517:17018LLL
7Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira1352622:18+417WDW
8Caracas FCCaracas FC1345415:16-117LDD
9Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC1345415:16-117LWWWL
10UCVUCV1344513:15-216LDLWL
11Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC1342714:20-614LLLLL
12Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano1332818:29-1111LLLWD
13Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC132298:22-148DLWLL
14Zamora FCZamora FC1322912:27-158DDDWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Metropolitanos FCMetropolitanos FC1330:1132
2Deportivo Tachira FCDeportivo Tachira FC1330:1727
3Puerto CabelloPuerto Cabello1319:1223
4Carabobo FCCarabobo FC1315:1022
5Portuguesa FCPortuguesa FC1314:1219
6Monagas SCMonagas SC1317:1718
7Deportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira1322:1817
8Caracas FCCaracas FC1315:1617
9Estudiantes de Merida FCEstudiantes de Merida FC1315:1617
10UCVUCV1313:1516
11Trujillanos FCTrujillanos FC1314:2014
12Rayo ZulianoRayo Zuliano1318:2911
13Anzoátegui FCAnzoátegui FC138:228
14Zamora FCZamora FC1312:278
PromotionRelegation

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About the Estudiantes de Merida FC vs UCV forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Estudiantes de Merida FC and UCV in the Primera División table

UCV and Estudiantes de Merida FC are close in the Primera División table, 7th and 8th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Estudiantes de Merida FC 36-34, UCV 37-35. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.