Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV Prediction
Venezuela · Clausura - 9
Estadio Brigido Iriarte, Caracas 12/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel54%SurpriseHighGap-3.4%
Deportivo La Guaira Rest
5 days
UCV Rest
4 days
Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV: the result in context
UCV beat Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 in the Primera División on 12 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Deportivo La Guaira had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for UCV.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
154%1.70
X31%3.38
215%4.40
Double Chance
1X85%1.17
X247%1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes48%1.80
No52%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.63 + 0.86 = 2.49
Over 1.572%1.27
Over 2.546%1.86
Over 3.525%3.17
Under 1.528%3.37
Under 2.554%1.85
Under 3.575%1.29
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
19'Guillermo Ortíz
21'Daniel Badillo Sousa
40'Williams·Velasquez
45+3'Carlos Rojas
46'Edwin De Jesús Peraza Larez INmaicol ruiz out
54'Jose Ali Meza INAnthony Uribe out
55'Miguel Eduardo Gonzalez Acosta INsebastian zeballos out
55'Nelson Hernandez INLuis Angel Casimiro Pena Martinez out
63'Junior Araujo INWilliams José Lugo Ladera out
67'Williams José Lugo LaderaAssist: Daniel Badillo Sousa
70'Jose Correa INJuan Luis Perdomo out
71'maicol ruiz
84'Matias Orihuela INmayken gonzalez out
86'Juan Camilo Zapata INJuan Diego Alegría Arango out
87'Edwin Mosquera INAiderson Salazar out
90+2'Daniel Badillo Sousa INsteven pabon out
Lineups
Deportivo La GuairaUCV
4-2-3-1Coach: Luis De Oliveira
1C. Varela
33N. Hernández
24G. Ortiz
2C. Rojas
39M. Orihuela
10J. Castellanos
27J. Correa
7J. Meza
15M. González
22M. Sulbarán
36F. Londoño
22R. Romo
2K. Silva
13E. Peraza
6G. Mottes
24Y. Cumaná
30A. González
21V. Rodríguez
7E. Mosquera
16D. De Sousa
42J. Araujo
8J. ZapataDeportivo La Guaira Substitutes
43L. Peña
12J. Sánchez
9A. Uribe54'for Jose Ali Meza
28M. Villero
8J. Perdomo70'for Jose Correa
37M. González84'for Matias Orihuela
49M. Pena
67Gabriel Vargas
46S. Vegas
30S. Zeballos55'for Miguel Eduardo Gonzalez Acosta
16L. Martinez55'for Nelson Hernandez
UCV Substitutes
9J. Alegría86'for Juan Camilo Zapata
14C. Diaz
32Alberto Christian Flores Cobena
12C. González
11W. Lugo63'for Junior Araujo67'
3S. Pabón90+2'for Daniel Badillo Sousa
28M. Ruiz46'for Edwin De Jesús Peraza Larez71'
18R. Sarli
1G. Schiavone
4W. Velásquez40'
15Aiderson Salazar87'replaced by Edwin Mosquera
Team Comparison
Deportivo La GuairaUCV1537Elo Rating 1520
1.48Attack 1.85
1.40Defense 1.25
19%Hit Rate 41%
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Deportivo La Guaira- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.6 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
UCV- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Deportivo La Guaira3Wins · 30%Draws440%
UCV3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
16/05/2026Deportivo La GuairaUCV00
13/05/2026UCVDeportivo La Guaira11
21/03/2026UCVDeportivo La Guaira01
18/09/2025Deportivo La GuairaUCV11
11/09/2025UCVDeportivo La Guaira20
11/07/2025UCVDeportivo La Guaira12
22/05/2025Deportivo La GuairaUCV01
17/05/2025UCVDeportivo La Guaira32
02/02/2025Deportivo La GuairaUCV22
03/09/2024Deportivo La GuairaUCV20
Recent Form
Deportivo La Guaira5W1D4L
07/09/2026Deportivo La Guaira
Anzoátegui FCDeportivo La Guaira
Estudiantes de Merida FCDeportivo La Guaira
Zamora FC
Caracas FCDeportivo La GuairaDeportivo La Guaira
Metropolitanos FC
Monagas SCDeportivo La Guaira
Deportivo La GuairaAnzoátegui FC20
W04/09/2026
Puerto CabelloDeportivo La Guaira
31/08/2026Puerto CabelloDeportivo La Guaira11
DDeportivo La GuairaEstudiantes de Merida FC12
L22/08/2026
Rayo ZulianoDeportivo La Guaira
17/08/2026Rayo ZulianoDeportivo La Guaira14
WDeportivo La GuairaZamora FC61
W11/08/2026Caracas FCDeportivo La Guaira12
W06/08/2026Deportivo La GuairaMetropolitanos FC12
L01/08/2026Monagas SCDeportivo La Guaira12
W31/05/2026Deportivo La GuairaPuerto Cabello
Deportivo La GuairaPuerto Cabello02
L28/05/2026
FluminenseDeportivo La Guaira
FluminenseDeportivo La Guaira31
LUCV2W2D6L
08/09/2026UCVPuerto Cabello
04/09/2026UCVPuerto Cabello00
DEstudiantes de Merida FCUCV11
D01/09/2026UCVRayo Zuliano
UCVRayo Zuliano41
W22/08/2026Zamora FCUCV
15/08/2026Zamora FCUCV20
LUCVCaracas FC01
L10/08/2026Metropolitanos FCUCV21
L05/08/2026UCVMonagas SC
UCVMonagas SC21
W01/08/2026
Trujillanos FCUCV
29/07/2026Trujillanos FCUCV20
L
SantosUCV42
L22/07/2026UCVSantos14
LLeague Table
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 47:21 | +26 | 57 | LDD |
| 2 |  Deportivo Tachira FC | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 47:29 | +18 | 51 | DLW |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:24 | +13 | 44 | WDW |
| 4 |  Carabobo FC | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 38:24 | +14 | 41 | WDD |
| 5 | Puerto Cabello | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 35:26 | +9 | 40 | WDD |
| 6 |  Portuguesa FC | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 34:24 | +10 | 39 | LWD |
| 7 | UCV | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 37:35 | +2 | 39 | LDLWL |
| 8 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 36:34 | +2 | 37 | LWWWL |
| 9 | Caracas FC | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 30:33 | -3 | 32 | LDD |
| 10 | Monagas SC | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 | LLL |
| 11 | Zamora FC | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 26:41 | -15 | 25 | DDDWW |
| 12 | Rayo Zuliano | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 31:52 | -21 | 25 | LLLWD |
| 13 | Trujillanos FC | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23:46 | -23 | 18 | LLLLL |
| 14 | Anzoátegui FC | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 23:47 | -24 | 17 | DLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 26 | 47:21 | 57 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 26 | 47:29 | 51 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 26 | 37:24 | 44 |
| 4 | Carabobo FC | 26 | 38:24 | 41 |
| 5 | Puerto Cabello | 26 | 35:26 | 40 |
| 6 | Portuguesa FC | 26 | 34:24 | 39 |
| 7 | UCV | 26 | 37:35 | 39 |
| 8 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 26 | 36:34 | 37 |
| 9 | Caracas FC | 26 | 30:33 | 32 |
| 10 | Monagas SC | 26 | 31:39 | 29 |
| 11 | Zamora FC | 26 | 26:41 | 25 |
| 12 | Rayo Zuliano | 26 | 31:52 | 25 |
| 13 | Trujillanos FC | 26 | 23:46 | 18 |
| 14 | Anzoátegui FC | 26 | 23:47 | 17 |
Primera Division: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 15:6 | +9 | 27 | WDW |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | +7 | 25 | LDD |
| 3 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:12 | +5 | 24 | DLW |
| 4 | UCV | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24:20 | +4 | 23 | LDLWL |
| 5 | Portuguesa FC | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | LWD |
| 6 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:18 | +3 | 20 | LWWWL |
| 7 | Carabobo FC | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | +9 | 19 | WDD |
| 8 | Puerto Cabello | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | +2 | 17 | WDD |
| 9 | Zamora FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 | DDDWW |
| 10 | Caracas FC | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 15 | LDD |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 14 | LLLWD |
| 12 | Monagas SC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 11 | LLL |
| 13 | Anzoátegui FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 9 | DLWLL |
| 14 | Trujillanos FC | 13 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9:26 | -17 | 4 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 15:6 | 27 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 13 | 17:10 | 25 |
| 3 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 13 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 4 | UCV | 13 | 24:20 | 23 |
| 5 | Portuguesa FC | 13 | 20:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 13 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 7 | Carabobo FC | 13 | 23:14 | 19 |
| 8 | Puerto Cabello | 13 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Zamora FC | 13 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 10 | Caracas FC | 13 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Rayo Zuliano | 13 | 13:23 | 14 |
| 12 | Monagas SC | 13 | 14:22 | 11 |
| 13 | Anzoátegui FC | 13 | 15:25 | 9 |
| 14 | Trujillanos FC | 13 | 9:26 | 4 |
Primera Division: Apertura - Quadrangular — Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | +1 | 10 | WDD |
| 2 | Portuguesa FC | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 | LWD |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 | WDW |
| 4 | UCV | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 | LDLWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puerto Cabello | 6 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 2 | Portuguesa FC | 6 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 4 | UCV | 6 | 8:8 | 6 |
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 30:11 | +19 | 32 | LDD |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 30:17 | +13 | 27 | DLW |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 19:12 | +7 | 23 | WDD |
| 4 | Carabobo FC | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15:10 | +5 | 22 | WDD |
| 5 | Portuguesa FC | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 14:12 | +2 | 19 | LWD |
| 6 | Monagas SC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 | LLL |
| 7 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 22:18 | +4 | 17 | WDW |
| 8 | Caracas FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 | LDD |
| 9 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 | LWWWL |
| 10 | UCV | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 | LDLWL |
| 11 | Trujillanos FC | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 14:20 | -6 | 14 | LLLLL |
| 12 | Rayo Zuliano | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 18:29 | -11 | 11 | LLLWD |
| 13 | Anzoátegui FC | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8:22 | -14 | 8 | DLWLL |
| 14 | Zamora FC | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 8 | DDDWW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metropolitanos FC | 13 | 30:11 | 32 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira FC | 13 | 30:17 | 27 |
| 3 | Puerto Cabello | 13 | 19:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Carabobo FC | 13 | 15:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Portuguesa FC | 13 | 14:12 | 19 |
| 6 | Monagas SC | 13 | 17:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo La Guaira | 13 | 22:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Caracas FC | 13 | 15:16 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes de Merida FC | 13 | 15:16 | 17 |
| 10 | UCV | 13 | 13:15 | 16 |
| 11 | Trujillanos FC | 13 | 14:20 | 14 |
| 12 | Rayo Zuliano | 13 | 18:29 | 11 |
| 13 | Anzoátegui FC | 13 | 8:22 | 8 |
| 14 | Zamora FC | 13 | 12:27 | 8 |
Primera Division: Clausura - Quadrangular — Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carabobo FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 7 | WDD |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 | LDD |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 | WDW |
| 4 | Portuguesa FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 | LWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carabobo FC | 3 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 3 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Deportivo La Guaira | 3 | 5:7 | 2 |
| 4 | Portuguesa FC | 3 | 3:5 | 2 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Anzoátegui FC vs Monagas SC 03/09/26
- Estudiantes de Merida FC vs UCV 04/09/26
- Metropolitanos FC vs Trujillanos FC 04/09/26
- Deportivo La Guaira vs Anzoátegui FC 07/09/26
- Zamora FC vs Trujillanos FC 13/09/26
- Caracas FC vs Monagas SC 13/09/26
- Carabobo FC vs Deportivo La Guaira 16/09/26
- Deportivo Tachira FC vs Puerto Cabello 16/09/26
About the Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Deportivo La Guaira and UCV in the Primera División table
In the Primera División table, Deportivo La Guaira are 3rd and UCV 7th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Deportivo La Guaira 37-24, UCV 37-35. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.