Montenegro vs Cyprus Prediction

Montenegro
2-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Cyprus
Stadion pod Goricom, Podgorica·Daniele Chiffi 25/09/2026
MontenegroMontenegro
2-1
Finished
CyprusCyprus

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalGOODModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-9.1%
Montenegro Rest
112 days
Cyprus Rest
110 days

Montenegro vs Cyprus: result, form and history

Montenegro beat Cyprus 2-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 25 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Daniele Chiffi averages 4.00 cards a game, 0.56 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.79
X
25%3.60
2
24%4.60
Double Chance
1X
76%1.20
X2
49%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.90
No
54%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.43 + 0.94 = 2.37
Over 1.5
72%1.33
Over 2.5
47%2.06
Over 3.5
29%3.50
Under 1.5
28%3.08
Under 2.5
53%1.76
Under 3.5
71%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.5 = 8.9
Over 8.5
56%1.65
Over 9.5
48%2.10
Over 10.5
37%2.66
Under 8.5
44%2.13
Under 9.5
52%1.67
Under 10.5
63%1.39
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.4 = 4
Over 3.5
57%-
Over 4.5
38%2.02
Under 3.5
43%-
Under 4.5
62%1.75

Match Events

2'Konstantinos SotiriouFoul
45'Andreas Shikkis INNicholas Tsaroulla out
46'Grigoris KastanosFoul
55'Marcus EdwardsAssist: Nicholas Tsaroulla
59'Stevan Jovetić INMilan Vukotic out
60'Ognjen Gasevic INMarko Vešović out
65'Nicholas TsaroullaFoul
66'Nikola Krstović(Penalty)
68'Igor VujacicFoul
70'Marcus Edwards INLoizos Loizou out
71'Marinos Tzionis INStavros Georgiou out
71'panagiotis andreou INLeonidas·Konomis out
71'Vasilije Adzic INDušan Vuković out
86'Milutin OsmajićAssist: Nikola Krstović
89'Marko Janković INMilos Brnovic out
89'Nikola Krstović INStefan Loncar out
90+1'Nikolas Panagiotou INA. Neophytou out

Lineups

Montenegro
4-4-2Coach: Mirko Vucinić
Cyprus
4-1-4-1Coach: A. Mantzios
Avg rating6.93
Avg rating6.29
B. Popović6.61B. Popović
M. Roganović7.22M. Roganović
S. Savić7.615S. Savić
I. Vujačić6.55I. Vujačić
O. Gašević7.216O. Gašević
M. Osmajić8.220M. Osmajić
A. Bulatović6.521A. Bulatović
M. Janković7.38M. Janković
Vasilije Adžić6.617V. Adžić
S. Jovetić6.110S. Jovetić
N. Krstović7.79N. Krstović
Fabiano5.71Fabiano
A. Shikkis5.96A. Shikkis
K. Sotiriou5.75K. Sotiriou
N. Panagiotou6.33N. Panagiotou
G. Malekkides6.514G. Malekkides
H. Kyprianou6.54H. Kyprianou
M. Edwards7.323M. Edwards
P. Andreou6.116P. Andreou
G. Kastanos6.820G. Kastanos
M. Tzionis6.721M. Tzionis
I. Pittas6.49I. Pittas

Montenegro Substitutes

13I. Nikić
22S. Lončar89'for Nikola Krstović6.4
19V. Đukanović
4A. Đurić
12D. Petković
3R. Radunović
6S. Rubežić
7M. Vešović60'for Ognjen Gasevic6.8
11M. Vukotić59'for Stevan Jovetić7.0
23D. Vuković71'for Vasilije Adzic6.9
18A. Latković
14M. Brnović89'for Marko Janković6.4

Cyprus Substitutes

18K. Artymatas
19S. Georgiou71'for Marinos Tzionis6.2
11A. Kakoullis
13I. Kosti
10L. Loizou70'for Marcus Edwards6.4
12J. Mall
7A. Neophytou90+1'for Nikolas Panagiotou
22A. Paraskevas
2K. Pileas
17N. Tsaroulla45'for Andreas Shikkis65'6.1
8C. Kyriakou
15L. Konomis71'for panagiotis andreou5.8

Match Stats

MontenegroCyprus
64%Ball Possession36%
8Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards3
19Total Shots11
4Shots on Goal4
10Shots off Goal5
14Shots Inside Box8
5Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots2
7Fouls7
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves2
532Total Passes299
467Passes Accurate229
7Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

MontenegroMontenegro
CyprusCyprus
1447Elo Rating 1334
1.66Attack 1.16
1.79Defense 2.12
59%Hit Rate 50%
12.7Shots per Game 12.8
4.9Shots on Target 4.4
4.3Corners per Game 5.3
1.7Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+113 Elo
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

MontenegroMontenegro
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CyprusCyprus
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

MontenegroMontenegro2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
CyprusCyprus0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

UEFA Nations League17/11/2020
MontenegroCyprus
40
UEFA Nations League05/09/2020
CyprusMontenegro
02

Recent Form

MontenegroMontenegro
4W1D5L
05/06/2026
SlovakiaMontenegro
22
D
01/06/2026
BulgariaMontenegro
01
W
17/11/2025
MontenegroCroatia
23
L
14/11/2025
GibraltarMontenegro
12
W
09/10/2025
Faroe IslandsMontenegro
40
L
08/09/2025
CroatiaMontenegro
40
L
05/09/2025
MontenegroCzech Republic
02
L
06/06/2025
Czech RepublicMontenegro
20
L
25/03/2025
MontenegroFaroe Islands
10
W
22/03/2025
MontenegroGibraltar
31
W
CyprusCyprus
3W3D4L
07/06/2026
LiechtensteinCyprus
02
W
04/06/2026
SloveniaCyprus
11
D
15/11/2025
CyprusAustria
02
L
12/10/2025
San MarinoCyprus
04
W
09/10/2025
CyprusBosnia & Herzegovina
22
D
09/09/2025
CyprusRomania
22
D
06/09/2025
AustriaCyprus
10
L
10/06/2025
RomaniaCyprus
20
L
24/03/2025
Bosnia & HerzegovinaCyprus
21
L
21/03/2025
CyprusSan Marino
20
W

Referee Profile

Daniele Chiffi136 matches

4.00Cards per match
3.85Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
24.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Daniele Chiffi4.00
Other referees4.56

4.00 cards a match, 0.56 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.56).

Cards come from 130 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1MontenegroMontenegro43107:4+310DWWW
2CyprusCyprus42115:3+27WWDL
3ArmeniaArmenia41124:5-14DLLW
4LatviaLatvia40132:6-41LLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1MontenegroMontenegro47:410
2CyprusCyprus45:37
3ArmeniaArmenia44:54
4LatviaLatvia42:61
Promotion

About the Montenegro vs Cyprus forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Montenegro and Cyprus in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Montenegro are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 3 points ahead of Cyprus in 2nd. League goal record so far: Montenegro 7-4, Cyprus 5-3. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Montenegro have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Montenegro and Cyprus have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.