Morton vs Kelty Hearts Prediction

Morton
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Kelty Hearts
Cappielow Park, Greenock 03/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.5 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Morton Rest
3 days
Kelty Hearts Rest
3 days

Morton vs Kelty Hearts: result, form and history

Kelty Hearts beat Morton 1-0 in the Challenge Cup on 3 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: Morton had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Kelty Hearts.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.44
X
20%4.40
2
23%5.70
Double Chance
1X
77%1.12
X2
43%2.50
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'I. MurrayAssist: R. Shanley

Team Comparison

MortonMorton
Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts
1328Elo Rating 1349
1.55Attack 0.94
1.82Defense 1.54
59%Hit Rate 44%

Game State Tendencies

MortonMorton
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

MortonMorton2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts0Wins · 0%
4.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

Challenge Cup14/10/2023
MortonKelty Hearts
41
League Cup15/07/2023
Kelty HeartsMorton
13

Recent Form

MortonMorton
3W1D6L
Kelty HeartsKelty Hearts
3W0D7L
31/10/2026
Kelty HeartsElgin City
01
L
24/10/2026
Edinburgh CityKelty Hearts
41
L
17/10/2026
Kelty HeartsForfar Athletic
21
W
13/10/2026
East KilbrideKelty Hearts
21
L
10/10/2026
Stirling AlbionKelty Hearts
21
L
03/10/2026
SpartansKelty Hearts
02
W
26/09/2026
Kelty HeartsMontrose
21
W
22/09/2026
Kelty HeartsHearts U21
35
L
19/09/2026
Kelty HeartsEdinburgh City
13
L
12/09/2026
ClydeKelty Hearts
41
L

Bracket

Round of 32
Hamilton Academical15
Raith Rovers13
On penalties
Stenhousemuir4
Berwick Rangers1
Formartine United0
Cove Rangers2
Arbroath1
Queen of the South0
Annan Athletic0
Ayr Utd2
Aberdeen U2112
Queen's Park14
On penalties
Edinburgh City0
Partick3
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2
Dunfermline4
Spartans0
Livingston2
Hamilton Academical15
Raith Rovers13
On penalties
Stenhousemuir4
Berwick Rangers1
Formartine United0
Cove Rangers2
Arbroath1
Queen of the South0
Annan Athletic0
Ayr Utd2
Aberdeen U2112
Queen's Park14
On penalties
Edinburgh City0
Partick3
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic2
Dunfermline4
Spartans0
Livingston2

About the Morton vs Kelty Hearts forecast

As a knockout tie in the Challenge Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About Challenge Cup

More Challenge Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the Challenge Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Morton and Kelty Hearts have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.