MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II Prediction

MSV Duisburg
3-3
Finished
HT 3-1
Stuttgart II
MSV-Arena, Duisburg·Martin Wilke 31/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.44
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
MSV Duisburg Rest
7 days
Stuttgart II Rest
6 days

MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II: result, form and history

MSV Duisburg and Stuttgart II drew 3-3 in the 3. Liga on 31 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Martin Wilke averages 5.42 cards a game, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.44
X
20%4.50
2
15%5.35
Double Chance
1X
85%1.13
X2
35%2.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.53
No
40%2.29
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.29 + 1.11 = 3.40
Over 1.5
84%1.10
Over 2.5
65%1.41
Over 3.5
45%2.06
Under 1.5
16%5.25
Under 2.5
35%2.62
Under 3.5
55%1.67
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'Lex-Tyger LobingerAssist: Conor Noss
8'Lex-Tyger LobingerAssist: Can Coskun
11'Aljaž CasarAssist: Dominik Kother
22'Nicolás Sessa INCollin Schramm out
27'Oliver RölkeFoul
37'Joyeux Masanka Bungi Foul
39'Tobias FlecksteinViolent conduct
40'Alexander Groiss
45'Maximilian Tobias Herwerth INJulian Lüers out
45'Oliver Rölke INEliot Bujupi out
45'Dominik Kother INFrederik Christensen out
45'Joyeux Masanka Bungi INErtugrul Yigit out
65'Lex-Tyger Lobinger INPeter Remmert out
65'Conor Noss INMartin Ens out
65'Veit StangeFoul
70'Veit Stange INA. Janjic out
70'Aljaž CasarFoul
72'Rasim BulicFoul
73'Tim van der Leij(Penalty)
79'Julian LüersFoul
85'Aljaž Casar INMax Besuschkow out
85'Can CoskunFoul
89'Can Coskun INFlorian Krüger out

Lineups

MSV Duisburg
3-4-2-1Coach: D. Hirsch
Stuttgart II
4-3-3Coach: N. Willig
M. Braune1M. Braune
J. Bitter29J. Bitter
T. Fleckstein5T. Fleckstein
B. Schlicke40B. Schlicke
N. Jessen20N. Jessen
A. Casar8A. Casar
R. Bulić6R. Bulić
C. Coşkun27C. Coşkun
C. Noß14C. Noß
D. Kother11D. Kother
L. Lobinger9L. Lobinger
Jerik von der Felsen1J. von der Felsen
V. Stange31V. Stange
Maximilian Tobias Herwerth4M. Tobias Herwerth
D. Nothnagel29D. Nothnagel
Joyeux Masanka Bungi24J. Masanka Bungi
N. Sessa10N. Sessa
A. Groiß6A. Groiß
Jarzinho Ataide Adriano de Nascimento Malanga27J. Ataide Adriano de Nascimento Malanga
L. Penna7L. Penna
Oliver Rölke11O. Rölke
T. van der Leij9T. van der Leij

MSV Duisburg Substitutes

33T. Stahl
19Ramien Safi
39P. Remmert65'for Lex-Tyger Lobinger
26F. Krüger89'for Can Coskun
4Martin Ens65'for Conor Noss
25D. Borkowski
17M. Besuschkow85'for Aljaž Casar
37P. Sussek
3F. Christensen45'for Dominik Kother

Stuttgart II Substitutes

22J. Bock
38Eliot Bujupi45'for Oliver Rölke
17A. Janjic70'for Veit Stange
18J. Luers45'for Maximilian Tobias Herwerth79'
30J. Majchrzak
40P. Reinhardt
23Collin Schramm22'replaced by Nicolás Sessa
19E. Yigit45'for Joyeux Masanka Bungi

Match Stats

MSV DuisburgStuttgart II
43%Ball Possession57%
3Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards4
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots11
5Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal4
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
Stuttgart IIStuttgart II
1709Elo Rating 1536
2.34Attack 1.67
1.37Defense 1.48
50%Hit Rate 42%
11.0Shots per Game 10.8
5.1Shots on Target 3.2
3.9Corners per Game 4.4
1.7Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+173 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.41 goals
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Stuttgart IIStuttgart II
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Stuttgart IIStuttgart II0Wins · 0%
3.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2

Previous meetings

3. Liga18/01/2026
Stuttgart IIMSV Duisburg
04
3. Liga02/08/2025
MSV DuisburgStuttgart II
21

Recent Form

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
6W1D3L
24/10/2026
FC Ingolstadt 04MSV Duisburg
21
L
18/10/2026
MSV DuisburgFC Viktoria Köln
11
D
13/10/2026
FC SaarbrückenMSV Duisburg
24
W
10/10/2026
MSV DuisburgHoffenheim II
32
W
20/09/2026
SV WehenMSV Duisburg
14
W
15/09/2026
MSV DuisburgHavelse
21
W
12/09/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfMSV Duisburg
21
L
05/09/2026
SSV Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
12
W
29/08/2026
MSV DuisburgWürzburger Kickers
30
W
22/08/2026
MSV DuisburgSV Elversberg
13
L

Referee Profile

Martin Wilke52 matches

5.42Cards per match
5.16Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
25.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Martin Wilke5.42
Other referees4.88

5.42 cards a match, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.88).

Cards come from 19 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

3. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1282231:15+1626WWDDW
2MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1282231:17+1426DLDWW
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1163219:13+621WLWDD
4SV WehenSV Wehen1253423:17+618WWDWW
5FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041253416:17-118DWWWL
6FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1152426:20+617LWLDW
7Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1152417:17017WWLLW
8Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1151520:17+316WLLWW
9Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1251621:20+116LLWLL
10Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1244412:14-216DDLWD
11Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1244419:22-316LDLLW
12SV MeppenSV Meppen1243516:17-115DWDWD
13Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1243521:23-215DLWWD
14Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1143419:21-215WLLDL
15SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1234522:21+113WLDDW
16VerlVerl1233617:26-912LLLDD
17SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1133513:25-1212LWDLL
18Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1132615:23-811LWDLL
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln112458:12-410LLLDW
20HavelseHavelse1224617:26-910DWDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1231:1526
2MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1231:1726
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1119:1321
4SV WehenSV Wehen1223:1718
5FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041216:1718
6FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1126:2017
7Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1117:1717
8Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1120:1716
9Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1221:2016
10Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1212:1416
11Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1219:2216
12SV MeppenSV Meppen1216:1715
13Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1221:2315
14Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1119:2115
15SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1222:2113
16VerlVerl1217:2612
17SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1113:2512
18Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1115:2311
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln118:1210
20HavelseHavelse1217:2610
PromotionRelegation

About the MSV Duisburg vs Stuttgart II forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

MSV Duisburg and Stuttgart II in the 3. Liga table

In the 3. Liga table, MSV Duisburg are 2nd and Stuttgart II 13th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: MSV Duisburg 31-17, Stuttgart II 21-23. The full standings are on the 3. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

MSV Duisburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. MSV Duisburg and Stuttgart II have met only 2 times recently, averaging 3.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.