MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln Prediction

MSV-Arena, Duisburg·Cristian Ballweg 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-3.8%
MSV Duisburg Rest
4 days
FC Viktoria Köln Rest
3 days

MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln: result, form and history

MSV Duisburg and FC Viktoria Köln drew 1-1 in the 3. Liga on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.05
X
24%3.60
2
29%2.90
Double Chance
1X
71%1.33
X2
53%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%1.41
No
35%2.61
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.01 + 1.35 = 3.36
Over 1.5
83%1.11
Over 2.5
64%1.47
Over 3.5
43%2.17
Under 1.5
17%5.10
Under 2.5
36%2.46
Under 3.5
57%1.60
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

28'Conor Noss
44'Taylan DumanFoul
52'niklas jessenFoul
61'Yannick Aime Tonye INKilian Jakob out
63'niklas jessen INPeter Remmert out
63'Conor Noss INRamien Safi out
73'Taylan Duman
74'Frederik Christensen INCan Coskun out
74'Dominik Kother INFlorian Krüger out
81'David Otto INNoah Maboulou out
81'Niklas Horst Castelle INJakob Sachse out
90'Lex-Tyger Lobinger INMax Besuschkow out
90+2'Niklas SwiderFoul
90+5'Rasim BulicFoul

Lineups

MSV Duisburg
5-4-1Coach: D. Hirsch
FC Viktoria Köln
3-4-3Coach: M. Wilhelm
Avg rating6.48
Avg rating6.49
M. Braune6.11M. Braune
N. Jessen6.220N. Jessen
J. Bitter6.429J. Bitter
T. Fleckstein6.85T. Fleckstein
B. Schlicke6.940B. Schlicke
F. Christensen6.13F. Christensen
C. Noß7.514C. Noß
A. Casar6.48A. Casar
R. Bulić6.46R. Bulić
D. Kother6.111D. Kother
L. Lobinger6.39L. Lobinger
A. Schulz6.11A. Schulz
M. Sponsel6.319M. Sponsel
T. Eisenhuth6.46T. Eisenhuth
Tim Kloss6.618T. Kloss
P. Fallmann6.328P. Fallmann
T. Duman7.28T. Duman
Niklas Swider6.120N. Swider
Y. Tonye6.37Y. Tonye
N. Castelle6.744N. Castelle
D. Otto6.910D. Otto
L. Wolf6.821L. Wolf

MSV Duisburg Substitutes

17M. Besuschkow90'for Lex-Tyger Lobinger
27C. Coşkun74'for Frederik Christensen6.7
4Martin Ens
26F. Krüger74'for Dominik Kother6.6
39P. Remmert63'for niklas jessen6.5
19Ramien Safi63'for Conor Noss6.5
33T. Stahl
37P. Sussek

FC Viktoria Köln Substitutes

24J. Amann
11E. Gueye
16N. Jahn
26K. Jakob61'for Yannick Aime Tonye6.3
37N. Le Bret81'for David Otto6.5
17M. Pledl
9J. Sachse81'for Niklas Horst Castelle6.5
22V. Boboy
12D. Wyciok

Match Stats

MSV DuisburgFC Viktoria Köln
40%Ball Possession60%
2Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards3
3Total Shots8
2Shots on Goal5
1Shots off Goal3
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln
1709Elo Rating 1677
2.34Attack 2.68
1.37Defense 1.78
50%Hit Rate 58%
11.0Shots per Game 15.4
5.1Shots on Target 6.6
3.9Corners per Game 5.5
1.7Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.35 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.5 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 1.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln4Wins · 40%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

3. Liga16/05/2026
MSV DuisburgFC Viktoria Köln
11
3. Liga21/12/2025
FC Viktoria KölnMSV Duisburg
00
3. Liga17/02/2024
MSV DuisburgFC Viktoria Koln
10
3. Liga23/09/2023
FC Viktoria KolnMSV Duisburg
20
3. Liga17/04/2023
FC Viktoria KolnMSV Duisburg
22
3. Liga22/10/2022
MSV DuisburgFC Viktoria Koln
11
3. Liga05/03/2022
MSV DuisburgFC Viktoria Koln
20
3. Liga25/09/2021
FC Viktoria KolnMSV Duisburg
42
3. Liga13/03/2021
FC Viktoria KolnMSV Duisburg
31
3. Liga09/11/2020
MSV DuisburgFC Viktoria Koln
13

Recent Form

MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg
8W0D2L
13/10/2026
FC SaarbrückenMSV Duisburg
24
W
10/10/2026
MSV DuisburgHoffenheim II
32
W
20/09/2026
SV WehenMSV Duisburg
14
W
15/09/2026
MSV DuisburgHavelse
21
W
12/09/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfMSV Duisburg
21
L
05/09/2026
SSV Jahn RegensburgMSV Duisburg
12
W
29/08/2026
MSV DuisburgWürzburger Kickers
30
W
22/08/2026
MSV DuisburgSV Elversberg
13
L
15/08/2026
VerlMSV Duisburg
24
W
08/08/2026
MSV DuisburgSV Meppen
30
W
FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln
6W2D2L
14/10/2026
FC Viktoria KölnSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
22
D
11/10/2026
Alemannia AachenFC Viktoria Köln
25
W
03/10/2026
FC Viktoria Köln1. FC Köln
22
D
19/09/2026
FC Viktoria KölnFC Ingolstadt 04
30
W
15/09/2026
SV MeppenFC Viktoria Köln
13
W
11/09/2026
FC Viktoria KölnHansa Rostock
40
W
05/09/2026
Rot-Weiß EssenFC Viktoria Köln
10
L
30/08/2026
FC Viktoria KölnPreußen Münster
41
W
22/08/2026
FC Viktoria Köln1. FC Nürnberg
4151
L
16/08/2026
Stuttgart IIFC Viktoria Köln
13
W

Referee Profile

Cristian Ballweg3 matches analysed

4.28Cards per match
4.13Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 41% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

3. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1282231:15+1626WWDDW
2MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1282231:17+1426DLDWW
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1273220:13+724WWLWD
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1262428:21+720WLWLD
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1262419:18+120WWWLL
6SV WehenSV Wehen1253423:17+618WWDWW
7FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041253416:17-118DWWWL
8Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1251621:19+216LWLLW
9Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1251621:20+116LLWLL
10Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1244412:14-216DDLWD
11Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1244419:22-316LDLLW
12SV MeppenSV Meppen1243516:17-115DWDWD
13Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1243521:23-215DLWWD
14Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1243520:23-315LWLLD
15Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1242617:24-714WLWDL
16SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1234522:21+113WLDDW
17VerlVerl1233617:26-912LLLDD
18SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1233613:26-1312LLWDL
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln122469:14-510LLLLD
20HavelseHavelse1224617:26-910DWDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1231:1526
2MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1231:1726
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1220:1324
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1228:2120
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1219:1820
6SV WehenSV Wehen1223:1718
7FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041216:1718
8Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1221:1916
9Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1221:2016
10Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1212:1416
11Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1219:2216
12SV MeppenSV Meppen1216:1715
13Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1221:2315
14Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1220:2315
15Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1217:2414
16SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1222:2113
17VerlVerl1217:2612
18SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1213:2612
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln129:1410
20HavelseHavelse1217:2610
PromotionRelegation

About the MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

MSV Duisburg and FC Viktoria Köln in the 3. Liga table

In the 3. Liga table, MSV Duisburg (2nd) and FC Viktoria Köln (1st) are level on 26 points. League goal record so far: MSV Duisburg 31-17, FC Viktoria Köln 31-15. The full standings are on the 3. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

MSV Duisburg have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.