Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction

Ostseestadion, Rostock·Lars Erbst 24/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.18
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
Hansa Rostock Rest
7 days
Fortuna Düsseldorf Rest
7 days

Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: the result in context

Hansa Rostock and Fortuna Düsseldorf drew 1-1 in the 3. Liga on 24 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Fortuna Düsseldorf have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.10
X
25%3.48
2
31%2.92
Double Chance
1X
68%1.31
X2
56%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.51
No
40%2.37
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 1.26 = 3.03
Over 1.5
79%1.18
Over 2.5
58%1.58
Over 3.5
37%2.50
Under 1.5
21%4.30
Under 2.5
42%2.25
Under 3.5
63%1.47
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'Steven van der Sloot INFilimon Gerezgiher out
44'Andreas VoglsammerAssist: Florian-Horst Carstens
45+1'Anas Slimani
62'Tim Christopher OberdorfFoul
63'Lukas BornscheinFoul
66'Yannick Michaelis INBenno Dietze out
70'Benno DietzeFoul
71'Lukas WallnerFoul
72'Eric Hottmann INFabian Schleusener out
72'Erik Wekesser INSascha Risch out
75'Lukas Wallner INMaximilian Krauss out
85'Andreas Voglsammer INPeter Kiedl out
86'Leon Dajaku INF. Bock out
89'Andreas Müller INYassine Bouchama out
89'Anas Slimani INJomaine Consbruch out

Lineups

Hansa Rostock
3-4-3Coach: A. Breitenreiter
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4-3-3Coach: J. Langeneke
Avg rating6.36
Avg rating6.42
P. Klewin6.125P. Klewin
F. Carstens6.517F. Carstens
F. Pfanne6.323F. Pfanne
L. Wallner6.616L. Wallner
Ouassim Karada6.38O. Karada
K. Fatkić6.34K. Fatkić
M. Schuster6.15M. Schuster
N. Kölle5.932N. Kölle
Y. Michaelis6.741Y. Michaelis
A. Voglsammer7.09A. Voglsammer
L. Dajaku6.543L. Dajaku
L. Lord6.122L. Lord
M. Zimmermann6.325M. Zimmermann
T. Oberdorf6.315T. Oberdorf
L. Bornschein6.14L. Bornschein
E. Wekesser6.37E. Wekesser
S. van der Sloot2S. van der Sloot
E. Arden6.338E. Arden
J. Hendrix6.78J. Hendrix
A. Müller6.56A. Müller
E. Hottmann6.59E. Hottmann
A. Slimani7.034A. Slimani

Hansa Rostock Substitutes

36F. Bock86'for Leon Dajaku5.9
3F. Bohnert
42B. Dietze66'for Yannick Michaelis70'6.1
15A. Gürleyen
29P. Kiedl85'for Andreas Voglsammer6.8
27D. Kopacz
35M. Krauß75'for Lukas Wallner6.7
31J. Jantunen
22L. Reichardt

Fortuna Düsseldorf Substitutes

40H. Anhari
5Y. Bouchama89'for Andreas Müller5.9
14J. Consbruch89'for Anas Slimani6.7
43Noah Egouli
23F. Gerezgiher16'for Steven van der Sloot6.6
1L. Rieß
28S. Risch72'for Erik Wekesser6.4
29K. Sauck
24F. Schleusener72'for Eric Hottmann6.9

Match Stats

Hansa RostockFortuna Düsseldorf
61%Ball Possession39%
5Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
15Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal2
10Shots off Goal4
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

Hansa RostockHansa Rostock
Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf
1620Elo Rating 1564
0.74Attack 1.04
1.74Defense 1.74
17%Hit Rate 17%
10.8Shots per Game 15.5
4.2Shots on Target 4.7
5.3Corners per Game 6.0
3.0Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Hansa RostockHansa Rostock
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1Wins · 17%
Draws00%
Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf5Wins · 83%
3.8Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6

Previous meetings

2. Bundesliga25/02/2024
Fortuna DusseldorfHansa Rostock
20
2. Bundesliga16/09/2023
Hansa RostockFortuna Dusseldorf
13
2. Bundesliga19/03/2023
Hansa RostockFortuna Dusseldorf
25
2. Bundesliga10/09/2022
Fortuna DusseldorfHansa Rostock
31
2. Bundesliga08/04/2022
Fortuna DusseldorfHansa Rostock
30
2. Bundesliga31/10/2021
Hansa RostockFortuna Dusseldorf
21

Recent Form

Hansa RostockHansa Rostock
3W3D4L
17/10/2026
Alemannia AachenHansa Rostock
20
L
13/10/2026
Hansa RostockSV Meppen
02
L
10/10/2026
Würzburger KickersHansa Rostock
02
W
20/09/2026
Rot-Weiß EssenHansa Rostock
11
D
16/09/2026
Hansa RostockStuttgart II
32
W
11/09/2026
FC Viktoria KölnHansa Rostock
40
L
05/09/2026
Hansa RostockSV Wehen
11
D
30/08/2026
FC SaarbrückenHansa Rostock
24
W
21/08/2026
Hansa RostockVfB Stuttgart
04
L
16/08/2026
Hansa RostockWaldhof Mannheim
33
D
Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf
4W2D4L
17/10/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfFC Saarbrücken
13
L
14/10/2026
Preußen MünsterFortuna Düsseldorf
12
W
11/10/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfVerl
22
D
19/09/2026
Alemannia AachenFortuna Düsseldorf
10
L
15/09/2026
SSV Jahn RegensburgFortuna Düsseldorf
12
W
12/09/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfMSV Duisburg
21
W
06/09/2026
Fortuna KölnFortuna Düsseldorf
00
D
28/08/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfStuttgart II
10
W
23/08/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfSC Freiburg
15
L
15/08/2026
Fortuna DüsseldorfHoffenheim II
02
L

Referee Profile

Lars Erbst105 matches

4.35Cards per match
4.16Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
24.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Lars Erbst4.35
Other referees4.74

4.35 cards a match, 0.39 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.74).

Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

3. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1282231:15+1626WWDDW
2MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1282231:17+1426DLDWW
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1273220:13+724WWLWD
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1262428:21+720WLWLD
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1262419:18+120WWWLL
6SV WehenSV Wehen1253423:17+618WWDWW
7FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041253416:17-118DWWWL
8Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1251621:19+216LWLLW
9Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1251621:20+116LLWLL
10Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1244412:14-216DDLWD
11Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1244419:22-316LDLLW
12SV MeppenSV Meppen1243516:17-115DWDWD
13Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1243521:23-215DLWWD
14Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1243520:23-315LWLLD
15Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1242617:24-714WLWDL
16SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1234522:21+113WLDDW
17VerlVerl1233617:26-912LLLDD
18SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1233613:26-1312LLWDL
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln122469:14-510LLLLD
20HavelseHavelse1224617:26-910DWDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1FC Viktoria KölnFC Viktoria Köln1231:1526
2MSV DuisburgMSV Duisburg1231:1726
3Rot-Weiß EssenRot-Weiß Essen1220:1324
4FC SaarbrückenFC Saarbrücken1228:2120
5Alemannia AachenAlemannia Aachen1219:1820
6SV WehenSV Wehen1223:1718
7FC Ingolstadt 04FC Ingolstadt 041216:1718
8Waldhof MannheimWaldhof Mannheim1221:1916
9Hoffenheim IIHoffenheim II1221:2016
10Fortuna DüsseldorfFortuna Düsseldorf1212:1416
11Hansa RostockHansa Rostock1219:2216
12SV MeppenSV Meppen1216:1715
13Stuttgart IIStuttgart II1221:2315
14Preußen MünsterPreußen Münster1220:2315
15Würzburger KickersWürzburger Kickers1217:2414
16SSV Jahn RegensburgSSV Jahn Regensburg1222:2113
17VerlVerl1217:2612
18SG Sonnenhof GrossaspachSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach1213:2612
19Fortuna KölnFortuna Köln129:1410
20HavelseHavelse1217:2610
PromotionRelegation

About the Hansa Rostock vs Fortuna Düsseldorf forecast

The forecasts for this 3. Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Hansa Rostock and Fortuna Düsseldorf in the 3. Liga table

In the 3. Liga table, Hansa Rostock (11th) and Fortuna Düsseldorf (10th) are level on 16 points. League goal record so far: Hansa Rostock 19-22, Fortuna Düsseldorf 12-14. The full standings are on the 3. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.