Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano Prediction

Estádio Arsenio Erico, Asunción·Derlis Benitez 26/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalHIGHModel54%SurpriseMediumGap-8.2%
Nacional Asuncion Rest
7 days
Sportivo Ameliano Rest
6 days

Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano: result, form and history

Nacional Asuncion and Sportivo Ameliano drew 1-1 in the Division Profesional - Clausura on 25 Sep 2026. Nacional Asuncion had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 2 for Sportivo Ameliano.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.6 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.80
X
27%3.30
2
21%4.50
Double Chance
1X
79%1.18
X2
48%1.93
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'Rodrigo MelgarejoAssist: Josué Colmán
45+2'Rodrigo MelgarejoFoul
52'Luis OrtizFoul
58'Ronald David Peralta ChavezAssist: Luis Ortiz
59'Edgar Paez INLuis María Ayala Bentos out
63'Ignacio Bailone INLucas González out
64'Josué Colmán INRichard·Prieto out
72'Luis Ortiz INFredy Vera out
72'Valentin Larralde INGabriel Marcelo Camargo out
79'Angel Lucena INRoberto Carlos Ramírez Antúnez out
79'Cristhian·Ocampos INR. Torales out
80'Hugo Valdez INFranco·Pelozo out
80'Estivel Moreira INJonathan Daniel Benítez Benítez out
90+1'Leandro Meza INMatías Facundo Almeida Martínez out

Lineups

Nacional Asuncion
4-1-4-1Coach: V. Bernay
Sportivo Ameliano
4-1-4-1Coach: Roberto Nanni
Avg rating6.52
Avg rating6.75
G. Ortiz6.51G. Ortiz
C. Espínola6.323C. Espínola
R. Melgarejo7.022R. Melgarejo
G. Benítez6.95G. Benítez
S. Vargas6.829S. Vargas
Á. Cardozo Lucena6.715Á. Cardozo Lucena
J. Colmán7.210J. Colmán
L. Meza6.213L. Meza
F. Jara6.38F. Jara
I. Valdez6.218I. Valdez
I. Bailone5.87I. Bailone
Á. Sánchez8.135Á. Sánchez
R. Peralta7.113R. Peralta
H. Benítez6.55H. Benítez
L. Falabella7.122L. Falabella
A. Paredes7.919A. Paredes
W. Rodríguez6.815W. Rodríguez
E. Torales6.114E. Torales
E. Moreira6.38E. Moreira
V. Larralde6.220V. Larralde
L. Ortiz6.618L. Ortiz
C. Ocampos6.79C. Ocampos

Nacional Asuncion Substitutes

20Rodolfo Arguello
11Matías Facundo Almeida Martínez90+1'replaced by Leandro Meza
39D. Caballero
31M. Cabrera
19L. González63'for Ignacio Bailone6.5
36F. Pelozo80'for Hugo Valdez6.4
27R. Prieto64'for Josué Colmán6.6
32F. Pumpido
25Roberto Carlos Ramírez Antúnez79'for Angel Lucena6.3
17J. Santacruz
38T. Vega
35Elias Enrique Villlar Fleitas

Sportivo Ameliano Substitutes

17R. Torales79'for Cristhian·Ocampos6.9
25L. Bruno
36M. Leon
40A. Contrera
32G. Camargo72'for Valentin Larralde6.3
3F. Báez
34M. Benítez
6J. Benítez80'for Estivel Moreira6.4
1J. Balbuena
24L. Bentos59'for Edgar Paez6.4
4P. Aranda
7F. Vera72'for Luis Ortiz6.7

Match Stats

Nacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
41%Ball Possession59%
12Corner Kicks8
1Yellow Cards1
15Total Shots17
6Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal8
8Shots Inside Box7
7Shots Outside Box10
2Blocked Shots4
6Fouls6
2Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves6
326Total Passes462
258Passes Accurate373
5Free Kicks6

Team Comparison

Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion
Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano
1642Elo Rating 1521
1.10Attack 1.04
2.28Defense 1.54
42%Hit Rate 0%
11.9Shots per Game 12.7
3.9Shots on Target 4.5
5.3Corners per Game 4.5
2.4Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+122 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1Wins · 10%
Draws660%
Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano3Wins · 30%
1.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
10%3+ goals1 of 10

Previous meetings

Division Profesional - Clausura25/07/2026
Sportivo AmelianoNacional Asuncion
11
Division Profesional - Apertura21/04/2026
Sportivo AmelianoNacional Asuncion
11
Division Profesional - Apertura20/02/2026
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
11
Division Profesional - Apertura04/05/2025
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
01
Division Profesional - Apertura22/02/2025
Sportivo AmelianoNacional Asuncion
21
Division Profesional - Apertura06/04/2024
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
11
Division Profesional - Apertura19/01/2024
Sportivo AmelianoNacional Asuncion
10
Division Profesional - Apertura06/05/2023
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
10
Division Profesional - Apertura24/02/2023
Sportivo AmelianoNacional Asuncion
00
Copa Paraguay05/11/2022
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
0111

Recent Form

Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion
6W2D2L
18/09/2026
Nacional Asuncion2 de Mayo
30
W
13/09/2026
Rubio NUNacional Asuncion
01
W
07/09/2026
Cerro PortenoNacional Asuncion
10
L
02/09/2026
Nacional AsuncionLibertad Asuncion
30
W
28/08/2026
Club Sp. San LorenzoNacional Asuncion
03
W
24/08/2026
Nacional AsuncionSportivo Luqueno
20
W
18/08/2026
Benjamín AcevalNacional Asuncion
02
W
15/08/2026
Sportivo TrinidenseNacional Asuncion
11
D
09/08/2026
Nacional AsuncionClub Guarani
00
D
03/08/2026
Deportivo RecoletaNacional Asuncion
32
L
Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano
4W3D3L
19/09/2026
Libertad AsuncionSportivo Ameliano
11
D
11/09/2026
Sportivo AmelianoClub Sp. San Lorenzo
10
W
06/09/2026
Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Ameliano
12
W
02/09/2026
Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Trinidense
03
L
30/08/2026
Club GuaraniSportivo Ameliano
11
D
22/08/2026
Sportivo AmelianoDeportivo Recoleta
31
W
16/08/2026
OlimpiaSportivo Ameliano
21
L
11/08/2026
Independiente F.b.c.Sportivo Ameliano
10
L
08/08/2026
Sportivo AmelianoCerro Porteno
10
W
01/08/2026
Sportivo Ameliano2 de Mayo
11
D

Referee Profile

Derlis Benitez86 matches

5.00Cards per match
4.61Yellow cards per match
0.39Red cards per match
18.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Derlis Benitez5.00
Other referees4.56

5.00 cards a match, 0.44 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.56).

Cards come from 18 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Division Profesional - Clausura 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OlimpiaOlimpia16103328:12+1633WWDDW
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1693426:14+1230WWDWW
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1693424:17+730WLDWL
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1685323:9+1429LWWDD
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1685318:17+129DLWWD
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1667318:14+425WLDDW
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1673623:17+624WDWLL
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1647519:21-219LDLLD
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno16511017:30-1316LWLLL
10Rubio NURubio NU1634915:27-1213LLDWD
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta16331016:28-1212DWLLD
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo1604128:29-214LLDDD
#TeamMPGPts
1OlimpiaOlimpia1628:1233
2Sportivo TrinidenseSportivo Trinidense1626:1430
3Libertad AsuncionLibertad Asuncion1624:1730
4Nacional AsuncionNacional Asuncion1623:929
52 de Mayo2 de Mayo1618:1729
6Club GuaraniClub Guarani1618:1425
7Cerro PortenoCerro Porteno1623:1724
8Sportivo AmelianoSportivo Ameliano1619:2119
9Sportivo LuquenoSportivo Luqueno1617:3016
10Rubio NURubio NU1615:2713
11Deportivo RecoletaDeportivo Recoleta1616:2812
12Club Sp. San LorenzoClub Sp. San Lorenzo168:294
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About the Nacional Asuncion vs Sportivo Ameliano forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Nacional Asuncion and Sportivo Ameliano in the Division Profesional - Clausura table

In the Division Profesional - Clausura table, Nacional Asuncion are 4th and Sportivo Ameliano 8th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Nacional Asuncion 23-9, Sportivo Ameliano 19-21. The full standings are on the Division Profesional - Clausura Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.