Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine Prediction

Paradise Coast Sports Complex 04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.35
SignalSTRONGModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
Naples Rest
13 days
Portland Hearts of Pine Rest
9 days

Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine: result, form and history

Portland Hearts of Pine beat Naples 3-2 in the USL League One on 4 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.5 goals a game across 4 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.15
X
22%3.40
2
42%2.92
Double Chance
1X
58%1.31
X2
64%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.60
No
56%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.22
Over 2.5
39%1.74
Over 3.5
19%2.74
Under 1.5
37%3.52
Under 2.5
61%1.96
Under 3.5
81%1.35
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'J. Drack
45'C. GarciaAssist: J. Cisneros
48'S. FayeAssist: A. Camara
58'D. Barbosa INM. Lopez out
58'A. Camara IND. Sing out
62'T. Gray INA. Ferrin out
62'W. Arevalo INO. Ciss out
69'C. Garcia INI. Cerro out
73'A. FerrinAssist: O. Ciss
76'M. Poon-Angeron INM. Kidd out
76'S. Faye INJ. Kamara out
82'A. Mesias INM. Torrellas out
86'K. Georgallides INW. Varela out
88'D. GonzalezAssist: M. Kidd
90+1'M. Lopez

Lineups

Naples
4-2-3-1
Portland Hearts of Pine
5-4-1
E. Delgado1E. Delgado
J. Cisneros3J. Cisneros
A. Mesias23A. Mesias
C. Garcia11C. Garcia
R. Miglietti9R. Miglietti
J. Jones-Riley2J. Jones-Riley
B. Evans22B. Evans
J. Drack99J. Drack
D. Gonzalez16D. Gonzalez
M. Poon-Angeron8M. Poon-Angeron
Diogo Barbosa18D. Barbosa

Naples Substitutes

6O. Ciss62'replaced by W. Arevalo
30I. Cerro69'replaced by C. Garcia
10A. Ferrín
8J. Osorio
21Torrellas

Portland Hearts of Pine Substitutes

23Kashope Oladapo
5M. Lopez58'replaced by D. Barbosa90+1'
98M. Kidd76'replaced by M. Poon-Angeron
7Walter Varela

Team Comparison

NaplesNaples
Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine
1491Elo Rating 1441
1.90Attack 1.91
2.30Defense 0.82
100%Hit Rate 27%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

NaplesNaples
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

NaplesNaples0Wins · 0%
Draws250%
Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine2Wins · 50%
1.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

USL League One19/04/2026
Portland Hearts of PineNaples
11
USL League One21/09/2025
Portland Hearts of PineNaples
10
USL League One17/05/2025
Portland Hearts of PineNaples
21
USL League One30/03/2025
NaplesPortland Hearts of Pine
00

Recent Form

NaplesNaples
2W0D8L
21/06/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesNaples
10
L
14/06/2026
Charlotte IndependenceNaples
43
L
07/06/2026
NaplesSarasota Paradise
02
L
04/06/2026
NaplesCharlotte Independence
15
L
31/05/2026
Union OmahaNaples
21
L
24/05/2026
NaplesWestchester SC
10
W
17/05/2026
NaplesSporting JAX
3111
W
14/05/2026
BoiseNaples
20
L
11/05/2026
Spokane VelocityNaples
21
L
03/05/2026
NaplesOne Knoxville
03
L
Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine
3W2D5L
25/06/2026
Portland Hearts of PineRichmond Kickers
51
W
20/06/2026
Westchester SCPortland Hearts of Pine
51
L
14/06/2026
Portland Hearts of PineChattanooga Red Wolves
12
L
07/06/2026
BrooklynPortland Hearts of Pine
51
L
04/06/2026
Corpus ChristiPortland Hearts of Pine
32
L
31/05/2026
Portland Hearts of PineSpokane Velocity
21
W
24/05/2026
Portland Hearts of PineGreenville Triumph
11
D
16/05/2026
Portland Hearts of PineRhode Island
21
W
10/05/2026
Union OmahaPortland Hearts of Pine
22
D
07/05/2026
Fort WaynePortland Hearts of Pine
30
L

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
Promotion

About the Naples vs Portland Hearts of Pine forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Naples and Portland Hearts of Pine in the USL League One table

In the USL League One table, Naples are 8th and Portland Hearts of Pine 14th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Naples 39-46, Portland Hearts of Pine 48-58. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Naples have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.