Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise Prediction

City Stadium 04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+0.3%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalGOODModel35%SurpriseHighGap+8.4%
Richmond Kickers Rest
9 days
Sarasota Paradise Rest
12 days

Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise: the result in context

Richmond Kickers and Sarasota Paradise drew 0-0 in the USL League One on 4 Jul 2026. Sarasota Paradise had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against none for Richmond Kickers.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%2.70
X
22%3.25
2
50%2.31
Double Chance
1X
50%1.50
X2
72%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.60
No
56%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.21
Over 2.5
38%1.77
Over 3.5
18%2.79
Under 1.5
37%3.58
Under 2.5
62%1.94
Under 3.5
82%1.33
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

59'S. Karani ING. McLaughlin out
60'E. Bryant
65'O. O'Malley INA. Amer out
65'T. Freeman INM. Bolduc out
65'J. Kirkland INL. Johnson out
67'E. Bryant INS. Roed out
72'H. Anderson INM. Murana out
77'A. Sogaard INR. Valentine out
78'A. Walker INA. Rodriguez out
78'J. Pettersen INC. Stretch out
81'G. McLaughlin
82'T. Pannholzer INA. Richman out

Team Comparison

Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers
Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise
1347Elo Rating 1508
1.96Attack 2.36
1.30Defense 0.82
37%Hit Rate 36%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers
2W1D7L
25/06/2026
Portland Hearts of PineRichmond Kickers
51
L
21/06/2026
Richmond KickersFort Wayne
02
L
14/06/2026
Corpus ChristiRichmond Kickers
10
L
11/06/2026
BoiseRichmond Kickers
21
L
07/06/2026
Loudoun UnitedRichmond Kickers
20
L
31/05/2026
Richmond KickersBoise
22
D
28/05/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesRichmond Kickers
50
L
17/05/2026
Richmond KickersCharleston Battery
04
L
10/05/2026
Greenville TriumphRichmond Kickers
03
W
02/05/2026
Richmond KickersWestchester SC
10
W
Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise
4W0D6L
21/06/2026
Corpus ChristiSarasota Paradise
41
L
14/06/2026
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
20
W
11/06/2026
AltaSarasota Paradise
31
L
07/06/2026
NaplesSarasota Paradise
02
W
31/05/2026
Sarasota ParadiseNY Cosmos
21
W
28/05/2026
BoiseSarasota Paradise
02
W
25/05/2026
Spokane VelocitySarasota Paradise
10
L
17/05/2026
Sarasota ParadiseAlta
12
L
09/05/2026
Chattanooga Red WolvesSarasota Paradise
41
L
03/05/2026
Sarasota ParadiseForward Madison
13
L

League Table

USL League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence32206674:46+2866LWWWD
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha32195854:34+2062DLLWW
3BoiseBoise32177851:41+1058WWWWL
4Forward MadisonForward Madison32168854:30+2456DWLDL
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity321661050:44+654LDWLW
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville32159852:36+1654WLWLD
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves321451351:45+647DLLWL
8NaplesNaples321441439:46-746WWWWW
9Fort WayneFort Wayne321291147:42+545LLWWD
10Westchester SCWestchester SC321171455:51+440DWWWD
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise321171449:51-240DLWWL
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi329101336:51-1537DLLLL
13AltaAlta328101440:48-834DLDLL
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine328101448:58-1034WLLDL
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph32861837:60-2330WLWDL
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos32761940:66-2627DDLLL
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers32752037:65-2826LWLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence3274:4666
2Union OmahaUnion Omaha3254:3462
3BoiseBoise3251:4158
4Forward MadisonForward Madison3254:3056
5Spokane VelocitySpokane Velocity3250:4454
6One KnoxvilleOne Knoxville3252:3654
7Chattanooga Red WolvesChattanooga Red Wolves3251:4547
8NaplesNaples3239:4646
9Fort WayneFort Wayne3247:4245
10Westchester SCWestchester SC3255:5140
11Sarasota ParadiseSarasota Paradise3249:5140
12Corpus ChristiCorpus Christi3236:5137
13AltaAlta3240:4834
14Portland Hearts of PinePortland Hearts of Pine3248:5834
15Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph3237:6030
16NY CosmosNY Cosmos3240:6627
17Richmond KickersRichmond Kickers3237:6526
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About the Richmond Kickers vs Sarasota Paradise forecast

The forecasts for this USL League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Richmond Kickers and Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One table

In the USL League One table, Sarasota Paradise are 11th and Richmond Kickers 17th, 14 points apart. League goal record so far: Richmond Kickers 37-65, Sarasota Paradise 49-51. The full standings are on the USL League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Richmond Kickers and Sarasota Paradise have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.