NEC vs Ntugasaze Prediction

NEC
5-1
Finished
HT 2-1
Ntugasaze
MTN Omondi Stadium 27/10/2026
NECNEC
5-1
Finished
NtugasazeNtugasaze

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.21
SignalGOODModel73%SurpriseMediumGap-8.6%
NEC Rest
6 days
Ntugasaze Rest
14 days

NEC vs Ntugasaze: the result in context

NEC beat Ntugasaze 5-1 in the Premier League on 27 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.21
X
18%5.00
2
9%11.00
Double Chance
1X
91%1.04
X2
27%3.50
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'J. Otim
19'I. Musa
45'J. Jarieko
68'F. Bayo
73'J. Jarieko
88'M. Oshaba

Team Comparison

NECNEC
NtugasazeNtugasaze
1643Elo Rating 1461
1.92Attack 0.83
2.47Defense 0.66
83%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+182 Elo

Game State Tendencies

NECNEC
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
NtugasazeNtugasaze
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

NECNEC
5W2D3L
21/10/2026
BULNEC
21
L
14/10/2026
Kigezi HomeBoyzNEC
02
W
08/10/2026
NECExpress
00
D
15/09/2026
NECURA
41
W
11/09/2026
Mbarara CityNEC
00
D
01/09/2026
NECLugazi
31
W
29/08/2026
KCCANEC
02
W
23/05/2026
CalvaryNEC
20
L
20/05/2026
NECSC Villa
14
L
13/05/2026
NECBuhimba Saints
30
W
NtugasazeNtugasaze
1W0D5L
13/10/2026
NtugasazeKCCA
02
L
07/10/2026
NtugasazeMbarara City
10
W
19/09/2026
VipersNtugasaze
30
L
08/09/2026
BULNtugasaze
41
L
02/09/2026
NtugasazeMaroons
13
L
29/08/2026
Blacks PowerNtugasaze
10
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NECNEC1072119:5+1423WWWLW
2BULBUL972018:6+1223WDWWD
3SC VillaSC Villa1063119:6+1321LWDWW
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC1054111:4+719WDDWD
5KCCAKCCA961212:6+619WWWWW
6PolicePolice1043310:13-315DWWDL
7VipersVipers942315:4+1114WLLDW
8URAURA941411:13-213WWWLD
9Blacks PowerBlacks Power1041511:15-413LLDWL
10KitaraKitara63307:4+312DWWWD
11MaroonsMaroons932413:11+211LDWDW
12ExpressExpress1025310:11-111WDDDL
13UPDFUPDF92254:8-48LLLLW
14Mbarara CityMbarara City92255:10-58LLWLW
15LugaziLugazi102266:15-98LLLDD
16Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz81164:13-94WLLLL
17NtugasazeNtugasaze91176:22-164LDLLW
18KatakaKataka1003710:25-153LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NECNEC1019:523
2BULBUL918:623
3SC VillaSC Villa1019:621
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC1011:419
5KCCAKCCA912:619
6PolicePolice1010:1315
7VipersVipers915:414
8URAURA911:1313
9Blacks PowerBlacks Power1011:1513
10KitaraKitara67:412
11MaroonsMaroons913:1111
12ExpressExpress1010:1111
13UPDFUPDF94:88
14Mbarara CityMbarara City95:108
15LugaziLugazi106:158
16Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz84:134
17NtugasazeNtugasaze96:224
18KatakaKataka1010:253

About the NEC vs Ntugasaze forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

NEC and Ntugasaze in the Premier League table

The table shows a wide gap: NEC are 1st in the Premier League, while Ntugasaze sit 17th, 19 points behind. League goal record so far: NEC 19-5, Ntugasaze 6-22. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

NEC have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. NEC and Ntugasaze have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.