SC Villa vs Mbarara City Prediction

SC Villa
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Mbarara City
Mutesa II Stadium, Kampala 22/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.21
SignalGOODModel73%SurpriseHighGap-8.0%
SC Villa Rest
5 days
Mbarara City Rest
11 days

SC Villa vs Mbarara City: result, form and history

SC Villa beat Mbarara City 2-0 in the Premier League on 22 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

SC Villa have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.21
X
17%4.90
2
10%12.00
Double Chance
1X
90%1.04
X2
27%3.71
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'F. SsebuufuAssist: A. Okumu
85'N. Yiga

Team Comparison

SC VillaSC Villa
Mbarara CityMbarara City
1588Elo Rating 1428
1.18Attack 0.98
1.73Defense 1.30
37%Hit Rate 34%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+160 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

SC VillaSC Villa
  • Leads at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Mbarara CityMbarara City
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SC VillaSC Villa7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
Mbarara CityMbarara City2Wins · 20%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League13/05/2026
Mbarara CitySC Villa
13
Premier League28/01/2026
SC VillaMbarara City
61
Premier League16/04/2025
Mbarara CitySC Villa
02
Premier League16/09/2024
SC VillaMbarara City
42
Premier League30/03/2024
SC VillaMbarara City
21
Premier League25/11/2023
Mbarara CitySC Villa
00
Premier League19/04/2022
SC VillaMbarara City
21
Premier League30/11/2021
Mbarara CitySC Villa
10
Premier League24/04/2021
Mbarara CitySC Villa
21
Premier League09/12/2020
SC VillaMbarara City
30

Recent Form

SC VillaSC Villa
5W2D3L
17/10/2026
LifofaneSC Villa
30
L
14/10/2026
PoliceSC Villa
16
W
11/10/2026
SC VillaLMPS
11
D
07/10/2026
KatakaSC Villa
11
D
03/10/2026
SC VillaMembers
01
L
15/09/2026
LDFSC Villa
10
L
15/09/2026
SC VillaKigezi HomeBoyz
30
W
09/09/2026
SC VillaExpress
20
W
06/09/2026
SC VillaLCS
21
W
04/09/2026
URASC Villa
01
W
Mbarara CityMbarara City
4W2D4L
11/10/2026
Mbarara CityBlacks Power
21
W
07/10/2026
NtugasazeMbarara City
10
L
16/09/2026
Mbarara CityEntebbe UPPC
00
D
11/09/2026
Mbarara CityNEC
00
D
29/08/2026
PoliceMbarara City
10
L
23/05/2026
KCCAMbarara City
41
L
19/05/2026
Mbarara CityBuhimba Saints
20
W
13/05/2026
Mbarara CitySC Villa
13
L
06/05/2026
LugaziMbarara City
01
W
28/04/2026
Mbarara CityExpress
21
W

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NECNEC1072119:5+1423WWWLW
2BULBUL972018:6+1223WDWWD
3SC VillaSC Villa1063119:6+1321LWDWW
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC1054111:4+719WDDWD
5KCCAKCCA961212:6+619WWWWW
6VipersVipers1052319:5+1417WWLLD
7PolicePolice1043310:13-315DWWDL
8URAURA941411:13-213WWWLD
9Blacks PowerBlacks Power1041511:15-413LLDWL
10KitaraKitara63307:4+312DWWWD
11MaroonsMaroons932413:11+211LDWDW
12ExpressExpress1025310:11-111WDDDL
13UPDFUPDF92254:8-48LLLLW
14Mbarara CityMbarara City92255:10-58LLWLW
15LugaziLugazi102266:15-98LLLDD
16Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz91175:17-124LWLLL
17NtugasazeNtugasaze91176:22-164LDLLW
18KatakaKataka1003710:25-153LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NECNEC1019:523
2BULBUL918:623
3SC VillaSC Villa1019:621
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC1011:419
5KCCAKCCA912:619
6VipersVipers1019:517
7PolicePolice1010:1315
8URAURA911:1313
9Blacks PowerBlacks Power1011:1513
10KitaraKitara67:412
11MaroonsMaroons913:1111
12ExpressExpress1010:1111
13UPDFUPDF94:88
14Mbarara CityMbarara City95:108
15LugaziLugazi106:158
16Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz95:174
17NtugasazeNtugasaze96:224
18KatakaKataka1010:253

About the SC Villa vs Mbarara City forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

SC Villa and Mbarara City in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, SC Villa are 3rd and Mbarara City 14th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: SC Villa 19-6, Mbarara City 5-10. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

SC Villa have led at half-time in 50% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.