UPDF vs BUL Prediction

UPDF
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
BUL
Nakivubo Stadium, Kampala 18/10/2026
UPDFUPDF
0-2
Finished
BULBUL

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.21
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseHighGap-11.0%
UPDF Rest
3 days
BUL Rest
5 days

UPDF vs BUL: result, form and history

BUL beat UPDF 2-0 in the Premier League on 18 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: BUL had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for UPDF.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.38
X
32%2.89
2
40%2.07
Double Chance
1X
60%1.59
X2
72%1.21
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

58'D. Byabacwezi
76'

Team Comparison

UPDFUPDF
BULBUL
1427Elo Rating 1610
0.28Attack 1.49
1.83Defense 2.31
14%Hit Rate 63%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

UPDFUPDF
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BULBUL
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

UPDFUPDF4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
BULBUL4Wins · 40%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League21/04/2026
BULUPDF
25
Premier League30/01/2026
UPDFBUL
01
Premier League24/05/2025
UPDFBUL
23
Premier League04/12/2024
BULUPDF
02
Premier League12/03/2024
BULUPDF
01
Premier League09/11/2023
UPDFBUL
20
Premier League21/02/2023
UPDFBUL
11
Premier League08/10/2022
BULUPDF
31
Premier League01/03/2022
BULUPDF
51
Premier League22/12/2021
UPDFBUL
11

Recent Form

UPDFUPDF
2W3D5L
15/10/2026
ExpressUPDF
12
W
17/09/2026
UPDFMaroons
10
W
10/09/2026
PoliceUPDF
00
D
01/09/2026
Entebbe UPPCUPDF
21
L
29/08/2026
UPDFKataka
00
D
23/05/2026
SC VillaUPDF
21
L
19/05/2026
UPDFCalvary
00
D
13/05/2026
UPDFKCCA
12
L
07/05/2026
Entebbe UPPCUPDF
20
L
29/04/2026
PoliceUPDF
20
L
BULBUL
4W4D2L
13/10/2026
LugaziBUL
00
D
15/09/2026
BULBlacks Power
21
W
08/09/2026
BULNtugasaze
41
W
03/09/2026
KatakaBUL
14
W
30/08/2026
BULExpress
10
W
23/05/2026
Entebbe UPPCBUL
40
L
19/05/2026
BULKitara
11
D
12/05/2026
BULLugazi
00
D
08/05/2026
SC VillaBUL
00
D
28/04/2026
BULNEC
01
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NECNEC1072119:5+1423WWWLW
2BULBUL972018:6+1223WDWWD
3SC VillaSC Villa1063119:6+1321LWDWW
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC1054111:4+719WDDWD
5KCCAKCCA961212:6+619WWWWW
6PolicePolice1043310:13-315DWWDL
7VipersVipers942315:4+1114WLLDW
8URAURA941411:13-213WWWLD
9Blacks PowerBlacks Power1041511:15-413LLDWL
10KitaraKitara63307:4+312DWWWD
11MaroonsMaroons932413:11+211LDWDW
12ExpressExpress1025310:11-111WDDDL
13UPDFUPDF92254:8-48LLLLW
14Mbarara CityMbarara City92255:10-58LLWLW
15LugaziLugazi102266:15-98LLLDD
16Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz81164:13-94WLLLL
17NtugasazeNtugasaze91176:22-164LDLLW
18KatakaKataka1003710:25-153LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NECNEC1019:523
2BULBUL918:623
3SC VillaSC Villa1019:621
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC1011:419
5KCCAKCCA912:619
6PolicePolice1010:1315
7VipersVipers915:414
8URAURA911:1313
9Blacks PowerBlacks Power1011:1513
10KitaraKitara67:412
11MaroonsMaroons913:1111
12ExpressExpress1010:1111
13UPDFUPDF94:88
14Mbarara CityMbarara City95:108
15LugaziLugazi106:158
16Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz84:134
17NtugasazeNtugasaze96:224
18KatakaKataka1010:253

About the UPDF vs BUL forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

UPDF and BUL in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, BUL are 2nd and UPDF 13th, 15 points apart. League goal record so far: UPDF 4-8, BUL 18-6. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

BUL have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.