Police vs SC Villa Prediction

Premier LeagueUganda Uganda · Regular Season - 6
Police
1-6
Finished
HT 0-3
SC Villa
Kiira Road Police Arena 14/10/2026
PolicePolice
1-6
Finished
SC VillaSC Villa

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.24
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseHighGap-6.9%
Police Rest
4 days
SC Villa Rest
3 days

Police vs SC Villa: the result in context

SC Villa beat Police 6-1 in the Premier League on 14 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 9 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%3.60
X
32%3.00
2
41%2.00
Double Chance
1X
58%1.66
X2
73%1.24
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'I. KasindeAssist: J. Asiimwe
13'J. AsiimweAssist: F. Ssebuufu
45+1'F. SsebuufuAssist: I. Mpagi
49'P. Kakande
58'F. SsebuufuAssist: I. Kasinde
82'B. Ikamba
85'J. Sausa

Team Comparison

PolicePolice
SC VillaSC Villa
1531Elo Rating 1588
1.45Attack 1.18
1.46Defense 1.73
42%Hit Rate 37%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend56% in H2H
⚠️Away Rotation Risk60%

Game State Tendencies

PolicePolice
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SC VillaSC Villa
  • Leads at half-time in 50% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

PolicePolice1Wins · 11%
Draws445%
SC VillaSC Villa4Wins · 44%
2.0Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
33%3+ goals3 of 9

Previous meetings

Premier League10/03/2026
PoliceSC Villa
10
Premier League24/10/2025
SC VillaPolice
21
Premier League11/05/2025
PoliceSC Villa
13
Premier League13/12/2024
SC VillaPolice
11
Premier League02/05/2022
PoliceSC Villa
00
Premier League29/10/2021
SC VillaPolice
10
Premier League29/10/2021
SC VillaPolice
10
Premier League19/05/2021
PoliceSC Villa
11
Premier League06/03/2021
SC VillaPolice
22

Recent Form

PolicePolice
3W4D3L
09/10/2026
Entebbe UPPCPolice
30
L
16/09/2026
LugaziPolice
02
W
10/09/2026
PoliceUPDF
00
D
02/09/2026
Blacks PowerPolice
10
L
29/08/2026
PoliceMbarara City
10
W
23/05/2026
KitaraPolice
22
D
19/05/2026
PoliceEntebbe UPPC
11
D
12/05/2026
PoliceVipers
00
D
06/05/2026
CalvaryPolice
10
L
29/04/2026
PoliceUPDF
20
W
SC VillaSC Villa
4W3D3L
11/10/2026
SC VillaLMPS
11
D
07/10/2026
KatakaSC Villa
11
D
03/10/2026
SC VillaMembers
01
L
15/09/2026
LDFSC Villa
10
L
15/09/2026
SC VillaKigezi HomeBoyz
30
W
09/09/2026
SC VillaExpress
20
W
06/09/2026
SC VillaLCS
21
W
04/09/2026
URASC Villa
01
W
29/08/2026
MzamaneSC Villa
10
L
29/08/2026
SC VillaKitara
11
D

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NECNEC1072119:5+1423WWWLW
2BULBUL972018:6+1223WDWWD
3SC VillaSC Villa1063119:6+1321LWDWW
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC1054111:4+719WDDWD
5KCCAKCCA961212:6+619WWWWW
6VipersVipers1052319:5+1417WWLLD
7PolicePolice1043310:13-315DWWDL
8URAURA941411:13-213WWWLD
9Blacks PowerBlacks Power1041511:15-413LLDWL
10KitaraKitara63307:4+312DWWWD
11MaroonsMaroons932413:11+211LDWDW
12ExpressExpress1025310:11-111WDDDL
13UPDFUPDF92254:8-48LLLLW
14Mbarara CityMbarara City92255:10-58LLWLW
15LugaziLugazi102266:15-98LLLDD
16Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz91175:17-124LWLLL
17NtugasazeNtugasaze91176:22-164LDLLW
18KatakaKataka1003710:25-153LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NECNEC1019:523
2BULBUL918:623
3SC VillaSC Villa1019:621
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC1011:419
5KCCAKCCA912:619
6VipersVipers1019:517
7PolicePolice1010:1315
8URAURA911:1313
9Blacks PowerBlacks Power1011:1513
10KitaraKitara67:412
11MaroonsMaroons913:1111
12ExpressExpress1010:1111
13UPDFUPDF94:88
14Mbarara CityMbarara City95:108
15LugaziLugazi106:158
16Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz95:174
17NtugasazeNtugasaze96:224
18KatakaKataka1010:253

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About the Police vs SC Villa forecast

The forecasts for this Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Police and SC Villa in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, SC Villa are 3rd and Police 7th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Police 10-13, SC Villa 19-6. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

SC Villa have led at half-time in 50% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.