Express vs UPDF Prediction

Express
1-2
Finished
HT 0-2
UPDF
Hamz Stadium 15/10/2026
ExpressExpress
1-2
Finished
UPDFUPDF

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.16
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseHighGap-10.0%
Express Rest
6 days
UPDF Rest
27 days

Express vs UPDF: result, form and history

UPDF beat Express 2-1 in the Premier League on 15 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.9 goals a game across 10 matches.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.90
X
28%3.00
2
24%3.84
Double Chance
1X
76%1.16
X2
52%1.70
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'D. Talemwa
8'D. Talemwa
75'H. Wamala

Team Comparison

ExpressExpress
UPDFUPDF
1494Elo Rating 1427
1.57Attack 0.28
1.56Defense 1.83
27%Hit Rate 14%

Game State Tendencies

ExpressExpress
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
UPDFUPDF
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ExpressExpress4Wins · 40%
Draws550%
UPDFUPDF1Wins · 10%
1.9Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League15/04/2026
UPDFExpress
01
Premier League26/09/2025
ExpressUPDF
10
Premier League24/04/2025
ExpressUPDF
22
Premier League06/01/2025
UPDFExpress
02
Premier League27/02/2024
ExpressUPDF
31
Premier League27/10/2023
UPDFExpress
11
Premier League11/02/2023
ExpressUPDF
11
Premier League01/10/2022
UPDFExpress
11
Premier League14/05/2022
ExpressUPDF
00
Premier League23/10/2021
UPDFExpress
10

Recent Form

ExpressExpress
3W3D4L
08/10/2026
NECExpress
00
D
17/09/2026
ExpressKitara
11
D
09/09/2026
SC VillaExpress
20
L
03/09/2026
ExpressKCCA
20
W
30/08/2026
BULExpress
10
L
23/05/2026
VipersExpress
20
L
19/05/2026
ExpressLugazi
00
D
12/05/2026
ExpressKitara
32
W
08/05/2026
Buhimba SaintsExpress
02
W
28/04/2026
Mbarara CityExpress
21
L
UPDFUPDF
1W4D5L
17/09/2026
UPDFMaroons
10
W
10/09/2026
PoliceUPDF
00
D
01/09/2026
Entebbe UPPCUPDF
21
L
29/08/2026
UPDFKataka
00
D
23/05/2026
SC VillaUPDF
21
L
19/05/2026
UPDFCalvary
00
D
13/05/2026
UPDFKCCA
12
L
07/05/2026
Entebbe UPPCUPDF
20
L
29/04/2026
PoliceUPDF
20
L
24/04/2026
UPDFURA
00
D

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NECNEC1072119:5+1423WWWLW
2BULBUL972018:6+1223WDWWD
3SC VillaSC Villa1063119:6+1321LWDWW
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC1054111:4+719WDDWD
5KCCAKCCA961212:6+619WWWWW
6PolicePolice1043310:13-315DWWDL
7VipersVipers942315:4+1114WLLDW
8URAURA941411:13-213WWWLD
9Blacks PowerBlacks Power1041511:15-413LLDWL
10KitaraKitara63307:4+312DWWWD
11MaroonsMaroons932413:11+211LDWDW
12ExpressExpress1025310:11-111WDDDL
13UPDFUPDF92254:8-48LLLLW
14Mbarara CityMbarara City92255:10-58LLWLW
15LugaziLugazi102266:15-98LLLDD
16Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz81164:13-94WLLLL
17NtugasazeNtugasaze91176:22-164LDLLW
18KatakaKataka1003710:25-153LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NECNEC1019:523
2BULBUL918:623
3SC VillaSC Villa1019:621
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC1011:419
5KCCAKCCA912:619
6PolicePolice1010:1315
7VipersVipers915:414
8URAURA911:1313
9Blacks PowerBlacks Power1011:1513
10KitaraKitara67:412
11MaroonsMaroons913:1111
12ExpressExpress1010:1111
13UPDFUPDF94:88
14Mbarara CityMbarara City95:108
15LugaziLugazi106:158
16Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz84:134
17NtugasazeNtugasaze96:224
18KatakaKataka1010:253

About the Express vs UPDF forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Express and UPDF in the Premier League table

Express and UPDF are close in the Premier League table, 12th and 13th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Express 10-11, UPDF 4-8. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.