New York City II vs Philadelphia Union II Prediction

New York City II
1-1
After Penalties
HT 0-0AET 0-0PEN 8-7
Philadelphia Union II
Belson Stadium 02/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel33%SurpriseHighGap+7.6%
New York City II Rest
6 days
Philadelphia Union II Rest
7 days

New York City II vs Philadelphia Union II: result, form and history

New York City II beat Philadelphia Union II on penalties (8-7) after a 1-1 draw in the MLS Next Pro on 2 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Philadelphia Union II have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.35
X
25%3.70
2
35%2.42
Double Chance
1X
66%1.45
X2
60%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.38
No
40%2.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.46 = 3.16
Over 1.5
83%1.09
Over 2.5
63%1.42
Over 3.5
37%2.06
Under 1.5
17%5.60
Under 2.5
37%2.57
Under 3.5
63%1.65
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'J. Griffin
51'I. MendozaOG
58'S. Korzeniowski
63'S. Reid INJ. Bilden out
65'K. LeBlanc ING. Sequera out
66'J. Ponce
67'G. Sequera
69'O. Benitez
80'M. De Paula
82'J. Griffin INK. Moore out
82'S. Korzeniowski INS. Olivas out
82'I. Mendoza INA. Diop out
85'A. Campos INL. Sunjic out
85'E. Samb INJ. Suchecki out
90+1'E. Davis III INW. Ferreira out
90+5'L. Sunjic
90+8'O. Benitez
90+8'O. Benitez
90+10'J. Loiola
90+10'K. Moore
90+10'G. Sequera
90+10'G. Sequera

Penalty Shootout8 - 7

1C. Flax(Penalty)
1M. Jakupovic(Penalty)
2P. Molinari(Penalty)
2R. Uzcategui(Penalty)
3K. Pierre(Penalty)
3K. Moore(Penalty)
4J. Suchecki(Penalty)
4W. Ferreira(Penalty)
5J. Ponce(Penalty)
5M. De Paula(Penalty)
6J. Lopez(Penalty)
6F. Sundstrom(Penalty)
7L. Sunjic(Penalty)
7A. Diop(Penalty)
8M. Murray(Penalty)
8S. Olivas(Penalty missed)

Team Comparison

New York City IINew York City II
Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II
1486Elo Rating 1521
1.64Attack 1.70
1.07Defense 1.61
36%Hit Rate 59%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.16 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

New York City IINew York City II
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

New York City IINew York City II3Wins · 30%
Draws00%
Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II7Wins · 70%
3.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

MLS Next Pro14/06/2026
Philadelphia Union IINew York City II
01
MLS Next Pro05/10/2025
Philadelphia Union IINew York City II
43
MLS Next Pro26/07/2025
New York City IIPhiladelphia Union II
02
MLS Next Pro24/04/2025
New York City IIPhiladelphia Union II
14
MLS Next Pro20/10/2024
Philadelphia Union IINew York City II
10
MLS Next Pro23/09/2024
Philadelphia Union IINew York City II
43
MLS Next Pro20/07/2024
New York City IIPhiladelphia Union II
21
MLS Next Pro03/09/2023
New York City IIPhiladelphia Union II
20
MLS Next Pro05/08/2023
Philadelphia Union IINew York City II
20
MLS Next Pro03/07/2023
New York City IIPhiladelphia Union II
13

Recent Form

New York City IINew York City II
6W0D4L
26/07/2026
Atlanta United IINew York City II
32
L
23/07/2026
New England IINew York City II
30
L
12/07/2026
Crown LegacyNew York City II
03
W
27/06/2026
Connecticut FCNew York City II
14
W
22/06/2026
New York City IIChattanooga
4151
L
18/06/2026
New York City IICarolina Core
32
W
14/06/2026
Philadelphia Union IINew York City II
01
W
31/05/2026
New York City IIColumbus Crew II
23
L
24/05/2026
New York City IIFC Cincinnati II
20
W
18/05/2026
New York RB IINew York City II
23
W
Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II
3W0D7L
26/07/2026
ChattanoogaPhiladelphia Union II
40
L
19/07/2026
Columbus Crew IIPhiladelphia Union II
20
L
12/07/2026
Philadelphia Union IIHuntsville City
5030
W
05/07/2026
New England IIPhiladelphia Union II
04
W
29/06/2026
New York RB IIPhiladelphia Union II
50
L
22/06/2026
Orlando City IIPhiladelphia Union II
12
W
14/06/2026
Philadelphia Union IINew York City II
01
L
09/06/2026
Philadelphia Union IIIvory Coast
02
L
06/06/2026
Crown LegacyPhiladelphia Union II
10
L
30/05/2026
Toronto IIPhiladelphia Union II
21
L

League Table

MLS Next Pro 2026

Northeast Division

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Columbus Crew IIColumbus Crew II281701149:43+648DDLWL
2New England IINew England II281601247:42+548WDDLL
3New York City IINew York City II281601250:44+647DWWLL
4Connecticut FCConnecticut FC281601259:52+746WLLLW
5New York RB IINew York RB II281501358:48+1046LDLWW
6Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II281401437:40-343DWWWL
7Toronto IIToronto II281301548:56-839LLWWL
8FC Cincinnati IIFC Cincinnati II28702132:62-3020LDLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Columbus Crew IIColumbus Crew II2849:4348
2New England IINew England II2847:4248
3New York City IINew York City II2850:4447
4Connecticut FCConnecticut FC2859:5246
5New York RB IINew York RB II2858:4846
6Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II2837:4043
7Toronto IIToronto II2848:5639
8FC Cincinnati IIFC Cincinnati II2832:6220

Eastern Conference — Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Crown LegacyCrown Legacy28200867:39+2858WDWLW
2ChattanoogaChattanooga28190956:39+1756WWWWL
3Atlanta United IIAtlanta United II281501362:46+1648WLWDW
4Columbus Crew IIColumbus Crew II281701149:43+648DDLWL
5New England IINew England II281601247:42+548WDDLL
6New York City IINew York City II281601250:44+647DWWLL
7Connecticut FCConnecticut FC281601259:52+746WLLLW
8New York RB IINew York RB II281501358:48+1046LDLWW
9Huntsville CityHuntsville City281401449:47+244WWLWW
10Orlando City IIOrlando City II281501355:56-144LWWWL
11Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II281401437:40-343DWWWL
12Toronto IIToronto II281301548:56-839LLWWL
13Chicago Fire IIChicago Fire II281301550:48+239LLLLW
14Carolina CoreCarolina Core281001840:53-1331DDDLL
15FC Cincinnati IIFC Cincinnati II28702132:62-3020LDLLW
16Inter Miami IIInter Miami II28402430:74-4415LLLWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Crown LegacyCrown Legacy2867:3958
2ChattanoogaChattanooga2856:3956
3Atlanta United IIAtlanta United II2862:4648
4Columbus Crew IIColumbus Crew II2849:4348
5New England IINew England II2847:4248
6New York City IINew York City II2850:4447
7Connecticut FCConnecticut FC2859:5246
8New York RB IINew York RB II2858:4846
9Huntsville CityHuntsville City2849:4744
10Orlando City IIOrlando City II2855:5644
11Philadelphia Union IIPhiladelphia Union II2837:4043
12Toronto IIToronto II2848:5639
13Chicago Fire IIChicago Fire II2850:4839
14Carolina CoreCarolina Core2840:5331
15FC Cincinnati IIFC Cincinnati II2832:6220
16Inter Miami IIInter Miami II2830:7415
Promotion

About the New York City II vs Philadelphia Union II forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

New York City II and Philadelphia Union II in the MLS Next Pro table

In the MLS Next Pro table, New York City II are 3rd and Philadelphia Union II 6th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: New York City II 50-44, Philadelphia Union II 37-40. The full standings are on the MLS Next Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.