St. Louis City II vs Real Monarchs Prediction

CITYPARK 03/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel36%SurpriseHighGap+6.4%
St. Louis City II Rest
7 days
Real Monarchs Rest
7 days

St. Louis City II vs Real Monarchs: result, form and history

St. Louis City II beat Real Monarchs 3-0 in the MLS Next Pro on 3 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Real Monarchs had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for St. Louis City II.

St. Louis City II have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.80
X
23%3.70
2
28%3.60
Double Chance
1X
71%1.22
X2
51%1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.46
No
37%2.42
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.98 + 1.47 = 3.45
Over 1.5
85%1.12
Over 2.5
66%1.50
Over 3.5
46%2.25
Under 1.5
15%4.80
Under 2.5
34%2.35
Under 3.5
54%1.54
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'Z. Lillington
24'A. Jundt
46'D. Kropp
46'T. Pearce INR. Lynch out
46'L. Moisa INA. Riquelme out
51'Z. Zengue
58'O. Marquez
58'
64'A. De Gannes
67'A. Jundt INP. McDonald out
67'L. Djiro INN. Silva out
74'S. Paris INE. Chavez out
77'I. Amparo INL. Ream out
83'C. Rios INC. Cowell out
83'R. Mesalles INL. Rivera out
86'R. LynchAssist: P. Ault
86'O. Jorgensen INS. Marion out
86'M. Perez INA. Gbadehan out
87'C. Cowell

Team Comparison

St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II
Real MonarchsReal Monarchs
1485Elo Rating 1382
0.67Attack 1.13
1.50Defense 1.29
17%Hit Rate 41%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+103 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.44 goals

Game State Tendencies

St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Real MonarchsReal Monarchs
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II6Wins · 100%
Draws00%
Real MonarchsReal Monarchs0Wins · 0%
3.2Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

MLS Next Pro07/07/2025
Real MonarchsSt. Louis City II
13
MLS Next Pro20/04/2024
St. Louis City IIReal Monarchs
20
MLS Next Pro07/08/2023
St. Louis City IIReal Monarchs
40
MLS Next Pro19/06/2023
Real MonarchsSt. Louis City II
14
MLS Next Pro26/06/2022
St. Louis City IIReal Monarchs
20
MLS Next Pro30/04/2022
Real MonarchsSt. Louis City II
02

Recent Form

St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II
2W0D8L
27/07/2026
St. Louis City IIVancouver Whitecaps II
3151
L
19/07/2026
St. Louis City IIPortland Timbers II
12
L
12/07/2026
Houston Dynamo FC IISt. Louis City II
21
L
05/07/2026
North TexasSt. Louis City II
30
L
29/06/2026
St. Louis City IIAustin II
02
L
20/06/2026
Minnesota United IISt. Louis City II
52
L
07/06/2026
Colorado Rapids IISt. Louis City II
3141
W
30/05/2026
St. Louis City IINorth Texas
20
W
24/05/2026
Los Angeles FC IISt. Louis City II
7161
L
18/05/2026
Austin IISt. Louis City II
41
L
Real MonarchsReal Monarchs
4W0D6L
26/07/2026
Portland Timbers IIReal Monarchs
10
L
20/07/2026
Real MonarchsTacoma Defiance
24
L
12/07/2026
Real MonarchsVancouver Whitecaps II
21
W
06/07/2026
Los Angeles FC IIReal Monarchs
8292
W
28/06/2026
Ventura CountyReal Monarchs
31
L
22/06/2026
Tacoma DefianceReal Monarchs
10
L
13/06/2026
Real MonarchsPortland Timbers II
41
W
08/06/2026
The TownReal Monarchs
30
L
30/05/2026
Real MonarchsSporting KC II
13
L
25/05/2026
Vancouver Whitecaps IIReal Monarchs
13
W

League Table

MLS Next Pro 2026

Pacific Division

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II28190937:29+857DDDWD
2Ventura CountyVentura County281801058:36+2253LWWDW
3Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II281401450:48+245LWDLL
4The TownThe Town281401451:36+1542WWLLW
5Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance281401440:44-441DLWLW
6Real MonarchsReal Monarchs281201638:55-1733WDLLW
7Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II281001839:62-2327LLDWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II2837:2957
2Ventura CountyVentura County2858:3653
3Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II2850:4845
4The TownThe Town2851:3642
5Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance2840:4441
6Real MonarchsReal Monarchs2838:5533
7Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II2839:6227

Frontier Division

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Austin IIAustin II28210754:21+3365WWWLW
2Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II281801053:33+2052LDWLL
3Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II281501343:39+445WDWWW
4St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II281401442:40+244LDWDD
5North TexasNorth Texas281401442:41+140LDLWD
6Sporting KC IISporting KC II28702136:75-3923WLLLL
7Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II28602228:52-2421WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Austin IIAustin II2854:2165
2Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II2853:3352
3Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II2843:3945
4St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II2842:4044
5North TexasNorth Texas2842:4140
6Sporting KC IISporting KC II2836:7523
7Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II2828:5221

Eastern Conference — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Austin IIAustin II28210754:21+3365WWWLW
2Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II28190937:29+857DDDWD
3Ventura CountyVentura County281801058:36+2253LWWDW
4Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II281801053:33+2052LDWLL
5Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II281501343:39+445WDWWW
6Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II281401450:48+245LWDLL
7St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II281401442:40+244LDWDD
8The TownThe Town281401451:36+1542WWLLW
9Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance281401440:44-441DLWLW
10North TexasNorth Texas281401442:41+140LDLWD
11Real MonarchsReal Monarchs281201638:55-1733WDLLW
12Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II281001839:62-2327LLDWW
13Sporting KC IISporting KC II28702136:75-3923WLLLL
14Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II28602228:52-2421WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Austin IIAustin II2854:2165
2Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II2837:2957
3Ventura CountyVentura County2858:3653
4Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II2853:3352
5Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II2843:3945
6Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II2850:4845
7St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II2842:4044
8The TownThe Town2851:3642
9Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance2840:4441
10North TexasNorth Texas2842:4140
11Real MonarchsReal Monarchs2838:5533
12Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II2839:6227
13Sporting KC IISporting KC II2836:7523
14Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II2828:5221
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About the St. Louis City II vs Real Monarchs forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

St. Louis City II and Real Monarchs in the MLS Next Pro table

In the MLS Next Pro table, St. Louis City II are 7th and Real Monarchs 11th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: St. Louis City II 42-40, Real Monarchs 38-55. The full standings are on the MLS Next Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.