Portland Timbers II vs Real Monarchs Prediction

Providence Park 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalSTRONGModel52%SurpriseMediumGap-0.6%
Portland Timbers II Rest
7 days
Real Monarchs Rest
6 days

Portland Timbers II vs Real Monarchs: result, form and history

Portland Timbers II beat Real Monarchs 1-0 in the MLS Next Pro on 26 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Portland Timbers II had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Real Monarchs.

Real Monarchs have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
55%1.75
X
25%3.80
2
20%3.60
Double Chance
1X
80%1.24
X2
45%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.45
No
41%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.05 + 1.21 = 3.26
Over 1.5
84%1.11
Over 2.5
67%1.45
Over 3.5
47%2.10
Under 1.5
16%4.95
Under 2.5
33%2.51
Under 3.5
53%1.62
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'I. Amparo
35'L. O'Gara
41'L. Fernandez-Kim
56'O. Marquez
59'B. Barjolo INC. Griffith out
65'Lineker Rodrigues
66'D. Cervantes(Penalty)
67'L. Fernandez-Kim INO. Fernandez out
67'D. Cervantes INM. Kissel out
70'I. Amparo INF. Ewald out
75'V. Enriquez
77'K. Henry
78'L. Moisa INL. Djiro out
84'R. Mesalles INN. Silva out
88'E. Izoita
90+3'O. Anderson
90+4'V. Enriquez INC. Cruthers out

Team Comparison

Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II
Real MonarchsReal Monarchs
1551Elo Rating 1382
0.82Attack 1.13
2.37Defense 1.29
23%Hit Rate 41%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+168 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.26 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Real MonarchsReal Monarchs
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
Real MonarchsReal Monarchs6Wins · 60%
3.3Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

MLS Next Pro13/06/2026
Real MonarchsPortland Timbers II
41
MLS Next Pro03/05/2026
Real MonarchsPortland Timbers II
03
MLS Next Pro04/08/2025
Portland Timbers IIReal Monarchs
12
MLS Next Pro29/05/2025
Real MonarchsPortland Timbers II
41
MLS Next Pro16/03/2025
Portland Timbers IIReal Monarchs
23
MLS Next Pro30/09/2024
Real MonarchsPortland Timbers II
20
MLS Next Pro15/07/2024
Portland Timbers IIReal Monarchs
2141
MLS Next Pro16/03/2024
Real MonarchsPortland Timbers II
5040
MLS Next Pro24/09/2023
Portland Timbers IIReal Monarchs
21
MLS Next Pro26/06/2023
Portland Timbers IIReal Monarchs
23

Recent Form

Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II
7W0D3L
19/07/2026
St. Louis City IIPortland Timbers II
12
W
12/07/2026
Los Angeles FC IIPortland Timbers II
2040
W
06/07/2026
Tacoma DefiancePortland Timbers II
02
W
27/06/2026
Portland Timbers IIThe Town
23
L
21/06/2026
Colorado Rapids IIPortland Timbers II
02
W
13/06/2026
Real MonarchsPortland Timbers II
41
L
06/06/2026
Vancouver Whitecaps IIPortland Timbers II
01
W
31/05/2026
Portland Timbers IITacoma Defiance
10
W
24/05/2026
Portland Timbers IIHouston Dynamo FC II
03
L
18/05/2026
The TownPortland Timbers II
01
W
Real MonarchsReal Monarchs
5W0D5L
20/07/2026
Real MonarchsTacoma Defiance
24
L
12/07/2026
Real MonarchsVancouver Whitecaps II
21
W
06/07/2026
Los Angeles FC IIReal Monarchs
8292
W
28/06/2026
Ventura CountyReal Monarchs
31
L
22/06/2026
Tacoma DefianceReal Monarchs
10
L
13/06/2026
Real MonarchsPortland Timbers II
41
W
08/06/2026
The TownReal Monarchs
30
L
30/05/2026
Real MonarchsSporting KC II
13
L
25/05/2026
Vancouver Whitecaps IIReal Monarchs
13
W
21/05/2026
Real MonarchsColorado Rapids II
20
W

League Table

MLS Next Pro 2026

Pacific Division

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II28190937:29+857DDDWD
2Ventura CountyVentura County281801058:36+2253LWWDW
3Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II281401450:48+245LWDLL
4The TownThe Town281401451:36+1542WWLLW
5Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance281401440:44-441DLWLW
6Real MonarchsReal Monarchs281201638:55-1733WDLLW
7Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II281001839:62-2327LLDWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II2837:2957
2Ventura CountyVentura County2858:3653
3Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II2850:4845
4The TownThe Town2851:3642
5Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance2840:4441
6Real MonarchsReal Monarchs2838:5533
7Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II2839:6227

Eastern Conference — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Austin IIAustin II28210754:21+3365WWWLW
2Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II28190937:29+857DDDWD
3Ventura CountyVentura County281801058:36+2253LWWDW
4Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II281801053:33+2052LDWLL
5Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II281501343:39+445WDWWW
6Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II281401450:48+245LWDLL
7St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II281401442:40+244LDWDD
8The TownThe Town281401451:36+1542WWLLW
9Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance281401440:44-441DLWLW
10North TexasNorth Texas281401442:41+140LDLWD
11Real MonarchsReal Monarchs281201638:55-1733WDLLW
12Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II281001839:62-2327LLDWW
13Sporting KC IISporting KC II28702136:75-3923WLLLL
14Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II28602228:52-2421WLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Austin IIAustin II2854:2165
2Portland Timbers IIPortland Timbers II2837:2957
3Ventura CountyVentura County2858:3653
4Houston Dynamo FC IIHouston Dynamo FC II2853:3352
5Minnesota United IIMinnesota United II2843:3945
6Los Angeles FC IILos Angeles FC II2850:4845
7St. Louis City IISt. Louis City II2842:4044
8The TownThe Town2851:3642
9Tacoma DefianceTacoma Defiance2840:4441
10North TexasNorth Texas2842:4140
11Real MonarchsReal Monarchs2838:5533
12Vancouver Whitecaps IIVancouver Whitecaps II2839:6227
13Sporting KC IISporting KC II2836:7523
14Colorado Rapids IIColorado Rapids II2828:5221
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About the Portland Timbers II vs Real Monarchs forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Portland Timbers II and Real Monarchs in the MLS Next Pro table

In the MLS Next Pro table, Portland Timbers II are 1st and Real Monarchs 6th, 24 points apart. League goal record so far: Portland Timbers II 37-29, Real Monarchs 38-55. The full standings are on the MLS Next Pro Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.