North District vs Kowloon City Prediction

North District
3-3
After Penalties
HT 1-2AET 1-1PEN 4-5
Kowloon City
25/10/2026
North DistrictNorth District
3-3
After Penalties
Kowloon CityKowloon City

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
5.6 / 10
Value Analysis
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.33
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
North District Rest
7 days
Kowloon City Rest
15 days

North District vs Kowloon City: the result in context

Kowloon City beat North District on penalties (5-4) after a 3-3 draw in the Senior Shield on 25 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: North District had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Kowloon City.

North District have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 4.6 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
71%1.33
X
18%5.00
2
11%6.50
Double Chance
1X
89%1.11
X2
29%3.00
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

15'Mikael
19'C. Paez
23'G. Muens
27'C. Law
30'Kayke David
40'Kwok Chun-Nok
46'C. Law INT. W. Fung out
53'Samuel Granada
62'D. Eli
63'Mikael
70'Lo Kong-Wai INJ. Khan out
71'Rikelmi INKim Min-sub out
74'Wong Tsz-Ho
79'F. Navarro INVinicius Soares out
85'Fung Kwun-Ming INB. K. Singh out
85'Wong Tsz-Ho INLaw Hiu-Chung out
87'Kwok Chun-Nok INChen Ngo-Hin out
87'Wong Chun-Ho
90+3'Chen Ngo-Hin

Extra Time1 - 1

93'Vinicius Soares
96'W. Chiu INTsang Kam-To out
99'Chen Ngo-Hin
102'K. Mosquera
111'Wong Chun-Ho INL. Tsui out

Penalty Shootout4 - 5

1(Penalty)
1(Penalty)
2(Penalty)
2(Penalty missed)
3(Penalty)
3(Penalty)
4(Penalty missed)
4(Penalty)
5(Penalty)
5(Penalty)
6(Penalty missed)
6(Penalty)

Team Comparison

North DistrictNorth District
Kowloon CityKowloon City
1521Elo Rating 1361
2.39Attack 1.92
2.10Defense 1.34
73%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+159 Elo
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

North DistrictNorth District
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Kowloon CityKowloon City
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

North DistrictNorth District3Wins · 60%
Draws120%
Kowloon CityKowloon City1Wins · 20%
4.6Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored5 of 5
100%3+ goals5 of 5

Previous meetings

Premier League17/01/2026
North DistrictKowloon City
21
Premier League19/10/2025
Kowloon CityNorth District
22
Premier League30/03/2025
Kowloon CityNorth District
34
Premier League12/01/2025
North DistrictKowloon City
31
Premier League15/09/2024
North DistrictKowloon City
23

Recent Form

North DistrictNorth District
6W1D3L
18/10/2026
BC RangersNorth District
01
W
09/10/2026
EasternNorth District
13
W
01/10/2026
North DistrictSouthern District
21
W
13/09/2026
North DistrictBC Rangers
50
W
06/09/2026
ShatinNorth District
05
W
29/08/2026
North DistrictKitchee
00
D
23/08/2026
North DistrictWofoo Tai Po
20
W
24/05/2026
Eastern DistrictNorth District
3212
L
10/05/2026
North DistrictWarriors
24
L
01/05/2026
EasternNorth District
31
L
Kowloon CityKowloon City
3W2D5L
10/10/2026
Wofoo Tai PoKowloon City
11
D
04/10/2026
Kowloon CityEastern District
12
L
19/09/2026
Kowloon CityHong Kong FC
41
W
13/09/2026
ShatinKowloon City
23
W
05/09/2026
EasternKowloon City
40
L
29/08/2026
Southern DistrictKowloon City
21
L
23/08/2026
WarriorsKowloon City
30
L
16/05/2026
Kowloon CityHong Kong FC
11
D
03/05/2026
BC RangersKowloon City
12
W
26/04/2026
Southern DistrictKowloon City
31
L

Bracket

Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Kowloon City4
Hong Kong FC1
Shatin0
Warriors1
Southern District2
Eastern District1
Eastern
Seeded
Wofoo Tai Po
Seeded
Kitchee
Seeded
BC Rangers
Seeded
North District
Seeded
Eastern5
Southern District3
Wofoo Tai Po4
Kitchee2
BC Rangers2
Warriors4
Eastern5
Southern District3
Wofoo Tai Po4
Kitchee2
BC Rangers2
Warriors4

About the North District vs Kowloon City forecast

As a knockout tie in the Senior Shield, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Senior Shield

More Senior Shield fixtures and forecasts are on the Senior Shield Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.