Padova vs Virtus Entella Prediction

Padova
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Virtus Entella
Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua·Dario Madonia 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.39
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseMediumGap-4.1%
Padova Rest
5 days
Virtus Entella Rest
7 days

Padova vs Virtus Entella: result, form and history

Virtus Entella beat Padova 2-1 in the Serie B on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.49
X
30%2.97
2
32%2.90
Double Chance
1X
68%1.39
X2
62%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.85
No
50%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 1.19 = 2.44
Over 1.5
68%1.36
Over 2.5
44%2.15
Over 3.5
22%4.00
Under 1.5
32%3.00
Under 2.5
56%1.65
Under 3.5
78%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.5 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.58
Over 9.5
52%2.00
Over 10.5
41%2.56
Under 8.5
36%2.22
Under 9.5
48%1.75
Under 10.5
59%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.3 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%-
Over 4.5
46%-
Under 3.5
35%-
Under 4.5
54%-

Match Events

28'Stefano Di MarioOG
54'Tommaso AnnoniAssist: Andrea Tiritiello
57'Marco Pompetti INPietro Fusi out
57'Kevin Lasagna INAlexander Seghetti out
68'M Tirelli INBernat Guiu out
68'Tommaso Annoni INLeonardo Benedetti out
71'Gabriele Artistico INLuca Moro out
71'Lorenzo Carissoni INAlessandro Capelli out
74'Giovanni·GiuntiFoul
76'Luigi Cuppone INGiacomo Corona out
76'Niccolo Squizzato INLuca Vignali out
80'Giovanni·Giunti INNicolas Galazzi out
84'Bernat GuiuAssist: Luca Vignali
90+2'Francesco Mezzoni INNicolas Previtali out
90+4'Andrea FranzoniFoul

Lineups

Padova
3-5-2Coach: N. Calabro
Virtus Entella
3-5-2Coach: A. Chiappella
Avg rating6.26
Avg rating6.68
A. Sorrentino6.622A. Sorrentino
Alessandro Dellavalle6.827A. Dellavalle
M. Lovato6.75M. Lovato
C. Pastina6.658C. Pastina
L. Carissoni6.124L. Carissoni
G. Giunti6.26G. Giunti
E. Zuelli6.321E. Zuelli
M. Pompetti6.514M. Pompetti
M. Cocchi5.534M. Cocchi
G. Artistico6.490G. Artistico
K. Lasagna6.415K. Lasagna
F. Del Frate6.522F. Del Frate
L. Parodi6.023L. Parodi
A. Tiritiello6.96A. Tiritiello
M. Alborghetti7.327M. Alborghetti
F. Mezzoni6.394F. Mezzoni
T. Annoni7.618T. Annoni
N. Squizzato6.75N. Squizzato
A. Franzoni6.224A. Franzoni
2626S. Di Mario
M. Tirelli6.817M. Tirelli
L. Cuppone6.410L. Cuppone

Padova Substitutes

9L. Moro71'for Gabriele Artistico6.3
74D. Marcolini
25N. Galazzi80'for Giovanni·Giunti6.1
8P. Fusi57'for Marco Pompetti5.9
17A. Capelli71'for Lorenzo Carissoni6.1
11A. Seghetti57'for Kevin Lasagna5.7
23F. Di Mariano
20M. Bortolussi
32F. Sgarbi
1L. Mouquet
18E. Silletti
7K. Varas

Virtus Entella Substitutes

91S. Colombi
9Giacomo Corona76'for Luigi Cuppone6.6
40Gabriele Costa
55Lucas Felippe
11Bernat Guiu68'for M Tirelli84'7.6
70Marwane Kritta
39M. Motolese
3N. Previtali90+2'for Francesco Mezzoni
12E. Torrielli
16R. Turicchia
8L. Vignali76'for Niccolo Squizzato6.6
80L. Benedetti68'for Tommaso Annoni6.4

Match Stats

PadovaVirtus Entella
45%Ball Possession55%
4Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards1
6Total Shots17
1Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal6
4Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box7
2Blocked Shots4
7Fouls7
4Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
395Total Passes478
304Passes Accurate386
5Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

PadovaPadova
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
1536Elo Rating 1563
0.81Attack 1.22
1.82Defense 2.17
41%Hit Rate 37%
10.5Shots per Game 15.2
2.1Shots on Target 4.3
4.5Corners per Game 4.5
1.9Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

PadovaPadova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

PadovaPadova2Wins · 67%
Draws00%
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella1Wins · 33%
2.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie B25/04/2026
Virtus EntellaPadova
10
Serie B21/09/2025
PadovaVirtus Entella
21
Coppa Italia Serie C03/11/2021
PadovaVirtus Entella
21

Recent Form

PadovaPadova
3W2D5L
11/10/2026
PadovaCarrarese
02
L
19/09/2026
PalermoPadova
21
L
12/09/2026
PadovaAscoli
10
W
06/09/2026
CremonesePadova
31
L
29/08/2026
PadovaHellas Verona
11
D
23/08/2026
PisaPadova
01
W
15/08/2026
UdinesePadova
10
L
07/08/2026
MonzaPadova
33
D
01/08/2026
CittadellaPadova
02
W
25/07/2026
PadovaOspitaletto
13
L
Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella
2W3D5L
10/10/2026
Virtus EntellaJuve Stabia
11
D
19/09/2026
CremoneseVirtus Entella
00
D
11/09/2026
PisaVirtus Entella
14
W
06/09/2026
Virtus EntellaVicenza Virtus
22
D
29/08/2026
Virtus EntellaCesena
12
L
22/08/2026
SudtirolVirtus Entella
10
L
16/08/2026
Hellas VeronaVirtus Entella
3222
L
08/08/2026
Virtus EntellaCarrarese
01
L
05/08/2026
Virtus EntellaNovara
21
W
25/07/2026
EmpoliVirtus Entella
10
L

League Table

Serie B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PalermoPalermo972021:11+1023DWWWW
2ModenaModena961217:9+819WWLWW
3AscoliAscoli953116:6+1018WWDDW
4MantovaMantova952214:10+417LWLWD
5BeneventoBenevento943214:8+615DWDWW
6PisaPisa943218:13+515DDWWD
7PadovaPadova94149:10-113WWLLL
8SudtirolSudtirol934210:9+113LDLDW
9Hellas VeronaHellas Verona933316:13+312WDDLW
10AvellinoAvellino933313:10+312DLDWL
11CesenaCesena925210:13-311WLDLD
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella924311:10+110DLWDD
13CarrareseCarrarese93159:10-110WLWWL
14ArezzoArezzo93159:19-1010LLWDL
15CremoneseCremonese92348:11-39WLLDD
16Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus923412:17-59LWDLL
17Juve StabiaJuve Stabia93339:908LWWDD
18EmpoliEmpoli92168:15-77LLDLL
19SampdoriaSampdoria91268:18-105LDLLW
20CatanzaroCatanzaro912610:21-115DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1PalermoPalermo921:1123
2ModenaModena917:919
3AscoliAscoli916:618
4MantovaMantova914:1017
5BeneventoBenevento914:815
6PisaPisa918:1315
7PadovaPadova99:1013
8SudtirolSudtirol910:913
9Hellas VeronaHellas Verona916:1312
10AvellinoAvellino913:1012
11CesenaCesena910:1311
12Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella911:1010
13CarrareseCarrarese99:1010
14ArezzoArezzo99:1910
15CremoneseCremonese98:119
16Vicenza VirtusVicenza Virtus912:179
17Juve StabiaJuve Stabia99:98
18EmpoliEmpoli98:157
19SampdoriaSampdoria98:185
20CatanzaroCatanzaro910:215
PromotionRelegation

About the Padova vs Virtus Entella forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Padova and Virtus Entella in the Serie B table

In the Serie B table, Padova are 7th and Virtus Entella 12th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Padova 9-10, Virtus Entella 11-10. The full standings are on the Serie B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.