Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv Prediction

Pakhtakor
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Lokomotiv
Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent·I. Tantashev 17/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.58
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Pakhtakor Rest
75 days
Lokomotiv Rest
74 days

Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv: the result in context

Pakhtakor and Lokomotiv drew 1-1 in the Super League on 17 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Pakhtakor have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.58
X
18%3.75
2
9%5.00
Double Chance
1X
91%1.13
X2
27%2.17
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.79
No
56%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.22
Over 2.5
39%1.75
Over 3.5
19%2.73
Under 1.5
37%3.72
Under 2.5
61%1.98
Under 3.5
81%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'K. Abraev
11'R. Turdimurodov
46'R. Turdimurodov INS. Chinedu out
46'I. Ibrokhimov INFlamarion out
57'O. Zoteev
61'M. Reimov IND. Turopov out
61'K. Abraev INS. Shodiboev out
62'O. Bozorov IND. Khamdamov out
62'K. Erkinov INB. Resan out
64'S. ShodiboevAssist: S. Nurulloev
76'S. Nurulloev INJ. Yakhshiboev out
76'S. Sobirkhuzhaev INA. Mozgovoy out
87'J. Nisic INN. Ivanov out
87'S. Mirzaev INN. Ibraimov out
90+2'A. Susnjar
90+3'S. Chinedu
90+4'Z. Tahseen

Team Comparison

PakhtakorPakhtakor
LokomotivLokomotiv
1680Elo Rating 1595
1.47Attack 1.80
1.46Defense 1.91
31%Hit Rate 61%
19.0Shots per Game -
4.0Shots on Target -
5.0Corners per Game -
1.0Cards per Game -

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

PakhtakorPakhtakor
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LokomotivLokomotiv
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

PakhtakorPakhtakor5Wins · 83%
Draws00%
LokomotivLokomotiv1Wins · 17%
2.8Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored2 of 6
67%3+ goals4 of 6

Previous meetings

Super League18/08/2024
PakhtakorLokomotiv
31
Super League14/03/2024
LokomotivPakhtakor
30
Super League24/10/2022
PakhtakorLokomotiv
20
Super League23/05/2022
LokomotivPakhtakor
02
Super League20/11/2021
LokomotivPakhtakor
03
Super League04/07/2021
PakhtakorLokomotiv
21

Recent Form

PakhtakorPakhtakor
6W2D2L
03/05/2026
SurkhonPakhtakor
11
D
28/04/2026
PakhtakorNasaf
22
D
22/04/2026
BuxoroPakhtakor
01
W
18/04/2026
PakhtakorDinamo Samarqand
42
W
13/04/2026
PakhtakorMash'al
21
W
09/04/2026
NeftchiPakhtakor
01
W
04/04/2026
PakhtakorOlmaliq
31
W
20/03/2026
SogdianaPakhtakor
24
W
15/03/2026
NeftchiPakhtakor
10
L
10/03/2026
PakhtakorNavbahor
02
L
LokomotivLokomotiv
4W2D4L
04/05/2026
LokomotivQizilqum
10
W
27/04/2026
OlmaliqLokomotiv
21
L
23/04/2026
NasafLokomotiv
23
W
17/04/2026
LokomotivNavbahor
02
L
12/04/2026
Dinamo SamarqandLokomotiv
12
W
07/04/2026
LokomotivXorazm
11
D
02/04/2026
BunyodkorLokomotiv
20
L
20/03/2026
NeftchiLokomotiv
31
L
11/03/2026
LokomotivKokand-1912
00
D
05/03/2026
Mash'alLokomotiv
02
W

Referee Profile

I. Tantashev143 matches

3.68Cards per match
3.44Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

I. Tantashev3.68
Other referees3.62

3.68 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.62).

Cards come from 59 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NeftchiNeftchi25184359:22+3758WWDWW
2PakhtakorPakhtakor25158244:25+1953LDWWW
3NavbahorNavbahor25147444:25+1949WDDWW
4OlmaliqOlmaliq25126736:32+442WWDWL
5NasafNasaf25118637:23+1441WDWWW
6BuxoroBuxoro25125837:32+541DWWLL
7LokomotivLokomotiv25117740:31+940DDWLW
8QizilqumQizilqum251041125:31-634DWDWL
9AndijanAndijan25941230:33-331DLLLW
10Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand25871036:39-331DLLLW
11SogdianaSogdiana25851242:49-729LDLLD
12SurkhonSurkhon25781019:28-929DDDWL
13BunyodkorBunyodkor25821526:41-1526WDLWL
14Kokand-1912Kokand-191225581225:36-1123LLWLL
15XorazmXorazm25581221:36-1523LDDLD
16Mash'alMash'al25112312:50-384LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NeftchiNeftchi2559:2258
2PakhtakorPakhtakor2544:2553
3NavbahorNavbahor2544:2549
4OlmaliqOlmaliq2536:3242
5NasafNasaf2537:2341
6BuxoroBuxoro2537:3241
7LokomotivLokomotiv2540:3140
8QizilqumQizilqum2525:3134
9AndijanAndijan2530:3331
10Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand2536:3931
11SogdianaSogdiana2542:4929
12SurkhonSurkhon2519:2829
13BunyodkorBunyodkor2526:4126
14Kokand-1912Kokand-19122525:3623
15XorazmXorazm2521:3623
16Mash'alMash'al2512:504
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pakhtakor and Lokomotiv in the Super League table

In the Super League table, Pakhtakor are 2nd and Lokomotiv 7th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: Pakhtakor 44-25, Lokomotiv 40-31. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Pakhtakor have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.