Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Prediction

Pakhtakor
2-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Xorazm
Pakhtakor Central Stadium, Tashkent 21/07/2026
PakhtakorPakhtakor
2-1
Finished
XorazmXorazm

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalHIGHModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+5.6%
Pakhtakor Rest
4 days
Xorazm Rest
5 days

Pakhtakor vs Xorazm: the result in context

Pakhtakor beat Xorazm 2-1 in the Super League on 21 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
79%1.36
X
13%4.30
2
8%7.24
Double Chance
1X
92%1.06
X2
21%2.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.93
No
56%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.21
Over 2.5
39%1.72
Over 3.5
19%2.73
Under 1.5
37%3.74
Under 2.5
61%2.00
Under 3.5
81%1.38
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'LohanAssist: R. Abdukhamidov
18'S. SobirkhuzhaevAssist: B. Resan
32'D. Ortikboev
54'R. Abdukhamidov INY. Lhery out
64'D. Nugumanov INA. Pirmukhamedov out
64'Lohan INT. Ismoilov out
66'Rafael Sabino
68'S. ChineduAssist: B. Resan
69'O. Bozorov INK. Erkinov out
69'B. Resan IND. Saitov out
76'S. Chinedu INR. Turdimurodov out
80'Y. Lhery INA. Akhrorov out
80'D. Ortikboev INU. Sultonov out
82'S. Sobirkhuzhaev INI. Ibrokhimov out
82'Flamarion INA. Buriev out
87'A. Buriev
90+3'

Team Comparison

PakhtakorPakhtakor
XorazmXorazm
1666Elo Rating 1383
0.77Attack 0.70
1.88Defense 1.52
27%Hit Rate 0%
15.3Shots per Game -
2.1Shots on Target -
8.1Corners per Game -
1.6Cards per Game -

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+284 Elo
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

PakhtakorPakhtakor
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
XorazmXorazm
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

PakhtakorPakhtakor2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
XorazmXorazm0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Super League23/10/2025
XorazmPakhtakor
01
Super League25/05/2025
PakhtakorXorazm
21

Recent Form

PakhtakorPakhtakor
6W3D1L
17/07/2026
PakhtakorLokomotiv
11
D
03/05/2026
SurkhonPakhtakor
11
D
28/04/2026
PakhtakorNasaf
22
D
22/04/2026
BuxoroPakhtakor
01
W
18/04/2026
PakhtakorDinamo Samarqand
42
W
13/04/2026
PakhtakorMash'al
21
W
09/04/2026
NeftchiPakhtakor
01
W
04/04/2026
PakhtakorOlmaliq
31
W
20/03/2026
SogdianaPakhtakor
24
W
15/03/2026
NeftchiPakhtakor
10
L
XorazmXorazm
2W4D4L
16/07/2026
SogdianaXorazm
20
L
04/05/2026
XorazmAndijan
03
L
29/04/2026
QizilqumXorazm
00
D
24/04/2026
XorazmNeftchi
02
L
18/04/2026
Mash'alXorazm
01
W
14/04/2026
XorazmKokand-1912
22
D
07/04/2026
LokomotivXorazm
11
D
03/04/2026
XorazmDinamo Samarqand
21
W
18/03/2026
XorazmBunyodkor
12
L
11/03/2026
BuxoroXorazm
11
D

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1NeftchiNeftchi25184359:22+3758WWDWW
2PakhtakorPakhtakor26168245:25+2056WLDWW
3NavbahorNavbahor26157445:25+2052WWDDW
4NasafNasaf26119638:24+1442DWDWW
5BuxoroBuxoro26126838:33+542DDWWL
6OlmaliqOlmaliq25126736:32+442WWDWL
7LokomotivLokomotiv25117740:31+940DDWLW
8QizilqumQizilqum261051125:31-635DDWDW
9Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand26971039:39034WDLLL
10AndijanAndijan26941330:34-431LDLLL
11SogdianaSogdiana26861243:50-730DLDLL
12SurkhonSurkhon26791020:29-930DDDDW
13BunyodkorBunyodkor25821526:41-1526WDLWL
14Kokand-1912Kokand-191226591225:36-1124DLLWL
15XorazmXorazm26581321:37-1623LLDDL
16Mash'alMash'al26112412:53-414LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1NeftchiNeftchi2559:2258
2PakhtakorPakhtakor2645:2556
3NavbahorNavbahor2645:2552
4NasafNasaf2638:2442
5BuxoroBuxoro2638:3342
6OlmaliqOlmaliq2536:3242
7LokomotivLokomotiv2540:3140
8QizilqumQizilqum2625:3135
9Dinamo SamarqandDinamo Samarqand2639:3934
10AndijanAndijan2630:3431
11SogdianaSogdiana2643:5030
12SurkhonSurkhon2620:2930
13BunyodkorBunyodkor2526:4126
14Kokand-1912Kokand-19122625:3624
15XorazmXorazm2621:3723
16Mash'alMash'al2612:534
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Pakhtakor vs Xorazm forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Pakhtakor and Xorazm in the Super League table

The table shows a wide gap: Pakhtakor are 2nd in the Super League, while Xorazm sit 15th, 33 points behind. League goal record so far: Pakhtakor 45-25, Xorazm 21-37. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Pakhtakor and Xorazm have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.