Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 20
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG: the result in context
Atletico-MG beat Palmeiras 2-1 in the Serie A on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Palmeiras have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.5 goals a game. Atletico-MG tend to win more corners, 6.3 a game to 2.9 for Palmeiras.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Palmeiras
Avg ratingAvg rating
1C. Miguel
4A. Giay
15G. Gómez
26Murilo
22J. Piquerez
17M. Freitas
32E. Martínez
8A. Pereira
18Mauricio
11J. Arias
10Paulinho
22Everson
2Natanael
4Ruan
13Lyanco
16R. Lodi
25T. Pérez
8Maycon
23Á. Preciado
30V. Hugo
11Bernard
9M. CassierraPalmeiras Substitutes
Atletico-MG Substitutes
Match Stats
PalmeirasAtletico-MG Team Comparison
PalmeirasAtletico-MGAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Palmeiras- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico-MG- Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Palmeiras6Wins · 60%1Wins · 10%Previous meetings
28/01/2026Atletico-MGPalmeiras04/12/2025Atletico-MGPalmeiras20/07/2025PalmeirasAtletico-MG28/09/2024PalmeirasAtletico-MG18/06/2024Atletico-MGPalmeiras20/10/2023PalmeirasAtletico-MG
10/08/2023PalmeirasAtletico-MG03/08/2023Atletico-MGPalmeiras28/05/2023Atletico-MGPalmeiras29/09/2022Atletico-MGPalmeirasRecent Form
Palmeiras
CoritibaPalmeirasPalmeiras
Chapecoense-scPalmeiras
Junior
FlamengoPalmeirasPalmeiras
Cerro PortenoPalmeiras
Cruzeiro
JacuipensePalmeiras
RemoPalmeiras
Sporting CristalPalmeirasPalmeiras
SantosAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
Bahia
Vasco DA GamaAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
Puerto Cabello
CorinthiansAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
CiencianoAtletico-MG
Mirassol
CearaAtletico-MGAtletico-MG
Botafogo
JuventudAtletico-MGCruzeiroAtletico-MGReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.65 cards a match, 0.48 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.17).
Cards come from 199 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64:27 | +37 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 70 | DWWWW |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 | WWWLW |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | +12 | 54 | DLWDW |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 52:42 | +10 | 54 | WLLLW |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 48:42 | +6 | 53 | WDLWL |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | +6 | 50 | LWWDW |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 47 | DDWLD |
| 9 |  RB Bragantino | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 42:38 | +4 | 44 | WLDWD |
| 10 |  Sao Paulo | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 43 | LDWWL |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 39 | LLWDL |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 38 | WLDWW |
| 14 |  Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW |
| 16 |  Internacional | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 35 | LWLDW |
| 17 |  Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 34 | WLDDD |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 29 | WLDDD |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 32:66 | -34 | 21 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 33 | 56:22 | 70 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 33 | 52:42 | 54 |
| 6 | Bahia | 33 | 48:42 | 53 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 33 | 49:47 | 47 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 33 | 42:38 | 44 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo | 33 | 39:39 | 43 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 33 | 45:53 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 39:45 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 33 | 37:42 | 35 |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 35:44 | 34 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 33 | 36:51 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 32 | 32:66 | 21 |
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This match
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About the Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG forecast
The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Palmeiras and Atletico-MG in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Palmeiras are 2nd and Atletico-MG 7th, 20 points apart. League goal record so far: Palmeiras 56-22, Atletico-MG 44-38. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Palmeiras have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.