Internacional vs Flamengo Prediction

Internacional
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Flamengo
Estádio Beira-Rio, Porto Alegre·Matheus Delgado Candançan, Brazil 30/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
1.52
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+9.5%
Internacional Rest
4 days
Flamengo Rest
3 days

Internacional vs Flamengo: the result in context

Internacional and Flamengo drew 1-1 in the Serie A on 29 Jul 2026. Flamengo had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against 1 for Internacional.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Matheus Delgado Candançan averages 4.59 cards a game, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%3.75
X
22%3.48
2
41%1.97
Double Chance
1X
60%1.80
X2
63%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.75
No
47%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.04 + 1.17 = 2.21
Over 1.5
70%1.29
Over 2.5
42%1.96
Over 3.5
25%3.40
Under 1.5
30%3.40
Under 2.5
58%1.84
Under 3.5
75%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 4.6 = 9.2
Over 8.5
53%1.41
Over 9.5
43%1.70
Over 10.5
29%2.10
Under 8.5
47%2.65
Under 9.5
57%2.00
Under 10.5
71%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.2 = 5.1
Over 3.5
74%1.44
Over 4.5
57%1.98
Under 3.5
26%2.52
Under 4.5
43%1.74

Match Events

27'Vitinho
46'Leo Pereira INDanilo out
46'Evertton Araujo INE. Pulgar out
63'J. Carrascal INBruno Henrique out
64'Alex Sandro INEmerson Royal out
64'VitaoTripping
68'Bruno Henrique INPaulinho Paula out
68'G. Maripan INJuninho out
79'Samuel LinoAssist: Bruno Henrique
81'Alan Patrick INCalebe out
84'J. Carbonero INAlerrandro out
84'R. Villagra INF. Torres out
84'Jorginho INN. de la Cruz out
90+4'E. PulgarElbowing
90+5'G. MercadoUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+7'N. de la Cruz

Lineups

Internacional
3-4-2-1Coach: Paulo Pezzolano
Flamengo
4-2-3-1Coach: Leonardo Jardim
Avg rating6.93
Avg rating6.74
Matheus Cunha7.623M. Cunha
Bruno Gomes7.615B. Gomes
Gabriel Mercado6.925G. Mercado
Guillermo Maripán7.33G. Maripán
Vitinho7.928Vitinho
Rodrigo Villagra7.25R. Villagra
Bruno Henrique6.78B. Henrique
Matheus Bahia7.26M. Bahia
Johan Carbonero6.27J. Carbonero
Alexandro Bernabei7.226A. Bernabei
Alan PatrickC6.910A. Patrick
Agustín Rossi7.21A. Rossi
Guillermo Varela6.22G. Varela
Vitão7.044Vitão
Léo Pereira6.64L. Pereira
Alex Sandro6.326A. Sandro
Evertton Araujo6.552E. Araujo
Jorginho6.521Jorginho
Jorge Carrascal6.915J. Carrascal
Giorgian de ArrascaetaC6.910G. de Arrascaeta
Samuel Lino6.916S. Lino
Pedro6.99Pedro

Internacional Substitutes

12Anthoni
4Félix Torres84'for R. Villagra6.6
18Jose Juninho68'for G. Maripan6.2
46Pedro Kauã
53Luiz Felipe
27Paulinho Paula68'for Bruno Henrique6.3
30Calebe Gonçalves81'for Alan Patrick6.7
31Allex
14Alan Rodríguez
52Gabriel Vinicius Oliveira da Silva
9Alerrandro84'for J. Carbonero6.3
49João Pedro Bezerra de Oliveira Lo

Flamengo Substitutes

42Andrew
22Emerson Royal64'for Alex Sandro6.5
6Ayrton Lucas
3Léo Ortiz
13Danilo46'for Leo Pereira7.3
5Erick Pulgar46'for Evertton Araujo90+4'6.9
8Saúl Ñíguez
11Everton
99Lorran
18Nicolás de la Cruz84'for Jorginho90+7'6.3
27Bruno Henrique63'for J. Carrascal6.9
64Wallace Yan

Match Stats

InternacionalFlamengo
27%Ball Possession73%
2Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots14
5Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal4
12Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots5
11Fouls14
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves4
259Total Passes705
198Passes Accurate645
76%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

InternacionalInternacional
FlamengoFlamengo
1632Elo Rating 1934
1.40Attack 2.26
1.76Defense 2.27
37%Hit Rate 66%
14.6Shots per Game 17.1
5.2Shots on Target 6.7
5.1Corners per Game 8.3
3.2Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

InternacionalInternacional
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FlamengoFlamengo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

InternacionalInternacional1Wins · 10%
Draws550%
FlamengoFlamengo4Wins · 40%
2.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A04/02/2026
FlamengoInternacional
11
CONMEBOL Libertadores21/08/2025
InternacionalFlamengo
02
Serie A17/08/2025
InternacionalFlamengo
13
CONMEBOL Libertadores14/08/2025
FlamengoInternacional
10
Serie A30/03/2025
FlamengoInternacional
11
Serie A01/12/2024
FlamengoInternacional
32
Serie A30/10/2024
InternacionalFlamengo
11
Serie A26/08/2023
FlamengoInternacional
00
Serie A23/04/2023
InternacionalFlamengo
21
Serie A06/10/2022
FlamengoInternacional
00

Recent Form

InternacionalInternacional
4W2D4L
25/07/2026
Atletico ParanaenseInternacional
20
L
23/07/2026
InternacionalCruzeiro
12
L
31/05/2026
RB BragantinoInternacional
31
L
23/05/2026
VitoriaInternacional
20
L
16/05/2026
InternacionalVasco DA Gama
41
W
13/05/2026
InternacionalAthletic Club
32
W
09/05/2026
CoritibaInternacional
22
D
03/05/2026
InternacionalFluminense
20
W
25/04/2026
BotafogoInternacional
22
D
23/04/2026
Athletic ClubInternacional
12
W
FlamengoFlamengo
7W2D1L
26/07/2026
FlamengoSao Paulo
11
D
23/07/2026
Chapecoense-scFlamengo
04
W
18/07/2026
FlamengoOlimpia
42
W
11/07/2026
BenficaFlamengo
12
W
08/07/2026
FlamengoLausanne
20
W
03/07/2026
FlamengoRiver Plate
22
D
30/05/2026
FlamengoCoritiba
30
W
27/05/2026
FlamengoCusco
30
W
24/05/2026
FlamengoPalmeiras
03
L
21/05/2026
FlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
10
W

Referee Profile

Matheus Delgado Candançan153 matches

4.59Cards per match
4.29Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
26.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Matheus Delgado Candançan4.59
Other referees5.09

4.59 cards a match, 0.50 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.09).

Cards come from 140 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo33227468:28+4073WWWWD
2PalmeirasPalmeiras332010356:22+3470DWWWW
3CruzeiroCruzeiro331761052:46+657WWWLW
4FluminenseFluminense33159952:42+1054WLLLW
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense33159950:40+1054LDLWD
6BahiaBahia331411848:42+653WDLWL
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG331481144:39+550LLWWD
8SantosSantos3312111049:47+247DDWLD
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino331281342:38+444WLDWD
10Sao PauloSao Paulo331271439:39043LDWWL
11BotafogoBotafogo331091445:53-839LLWDL
12CoritibaCoritiba321091338:50-1239LLDLL
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama321081440:49-938LWLDW
14VitoriaVitoria321081435:46-1138DDLWL
15GremioGremio339101437:44-737WWLDD
16MirassolMirassol339101437:47-1037LDWLD
17CorinthiansCorinthians33991536:42-636WLDLL
18InternacionalInternacional338111437:42-535LWLDW
19RemoRemo336111636:51-1529WLDDD
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc32491932:66-3421LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo3368:2873
2PalmeirasPalmeiras3356:2270
3CruzeiroCruzeiro3352:4657
4FluminenseFluminense3352:4254
5Atletico ParanaenseAtletico Paranaense3350:4054
6BahiaBahia3348:4253
7Atletico-MGAtletico-MG3344:3950
8SantosSantos3349:4747
9RB BragantinoRB Bragantino3342:3844
10Sao PauloSao Paulo3339:3943
11BotafogoBotafogo3345:5339
12CoritibaCoritiba3238:5039
13Vasco DA GamaVasco DA Gama3240:4938
14VitoriaVitoria3235:4638
15GremioGremio3337:4437
16MirassolMirassol3337:4737
17CorinthiansCorinthians3336:4236
18InternacionalInternacional3337:4235
19RemoRemo3336:5129
20Chapecoense-scChapecoense-sc3232:6621
PromotionRelegation

About the Internacional vs Flamengo forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Internacional and Flamengo in the Serie A table

The table shows a wide gap: Flamengo are 1st in the Serie A, while Internacional sit 18th, 38 points behind. League goal record so far: Internacional 37-42, Flamengo 68-28. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Internacional have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.