Vitoria vs Palmeiras Prediction
Brazil · Regular Season - 21
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Over 2.5
1.95
SignalSOLIDModel43%SurpriseHighGap+11.5%
Vitoria Rest
3 days
Palmeiras Rest
3 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
126%4.00
X31%3.15
243%2.05
Double Chance
1X57%1.74
X274%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.95
No47%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.14 + 1.2 = 2.34
Over 1.571%1.40
Over 2.548%2.25
Over 3.525%4.20
Under 1.529%2.90
Under 2.552%1.65
Under 3.575%1.22
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.5 = 9.2
Over 8.555%1.34
Over 9.543%1.61
Over 10.529%1.98
Under 8.545%2.95
Under 9.557%2.20
Under 10.571%1.73
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.7 = 5.6
Over 3.579%1.30
Over 4.561%1.57
Under 3.521%3.15
Under 4.539%2.17
Match Events
14'Marlon FreitasRoughing
27'MauricioElbowing
32'Emmanuel MartinezTripping
37'CacaTripping
40'Luan CandidoUnsportsmanlike conduct
41'Emmanuel Martinez INZe Vitor out
45+1'MauricioAssist: J. Arias
45+6'FabianoOG
46'Rene INT. Pochettino out
46'G. Gomez INJ. Lopez out
46'Marlon Freitas INE. Martinez out
46'Mauricio INKhellven out
46'Matheuzinho IND. Tarzia out
56'FabianoTripping
65'A. Barboza INLucas Evangelista out
66'E. BritezHolding
67'Fabiano INJamerson out
70'J. AriasAssist: J. Piquerez
74'J. Arias INVitor Roque out
74'Baralhas INWalace out
84'R. Sosa
Lineups
VitoriaPalmeiras
3-4-1-2Coach: Ferreira AbelAvg ratingAvg rating
1L. Arcanjo
70F. Souza
25Cacá
2E. Brítez
36L. Cândido
13Ramon
10Matheuzinho
C44G. Baralhas
95C. Gonçalves
6E. Martínez
91R. Sousa
1C. Miguel
26Murilo
C15G. Gómez
2A. Barboza
40Allan
8A. Pereira
17M. Freitas
22J. Piquerez
11J. Arias
18Mauricio
19R. SosaVitoria Substitutes
88Zé Vitor41'for Emmanuel Martinez
12Diego Tarzia46'for Matheuzinho
8Tomás Pochettino46'for Rene
83Jamerson67'for Fabiano
15Walace74'for Baralhas
71Yuri Sena
98Mateusinho
33Erick
11Osvaldo
23Fabrício Santos
79Renato Kayzer
7Marinho
Palmeiras Substitutes
12Khellven46'for Mauricio
32Emiliano Martínez46'for Marlon Freitas
42José Manuel López46'for G. Gomez
30Lucas Evangelista65'for A. Barboza
9Vitor Roque74'for J. Arias
14Marcelo Lomba
21Kaique
43Luis Benedetti
4Agustín Giay
56Arthur Gabriel
7Felipe Anderson
37Riquelme Fillipi
Match Stats
VitoriaPalmeiras 32%Ball Possession68%
6Corner Kicks1
3Yellow Cards2
2Red Cards0
10Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal8
7Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box9
3Blocked Shots3
10Fouls15
0Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves3
229Total Passes508
162Passes Accurate462
71%Pass Accuracy91%
Team Comparison
VitoriaPalmeiras1627Elo Rating 1850
1.50Attack 1.65
1.69Defense 2.37
17%Hit Rate 73%
12.7Shots per Game 13.1
5.1Shots on Target 4.8
3.1Corners per Game 2.9
2.0Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Vitoria- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Palmeiras- Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Vitoria1Wins · 20%Draws240%
Palmeiras2Wins · 40%
2Wins · 40%2.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5
Previous meetings
05/02/2026PalmeirasVitoria51
19/11/2025PalmeirasVitoria00
04/08/2025VitoriaPalmeiras22
28/07/2024PalmeirasVitoria02
14/04/2024VitoriaPalmeiras01
Recent Form
Vitoria6W1D3L
27/07/2026
RemoVitoria
BotafogoVitoriaVitoria
Vasco DA Gama
RemoVitoria20
L24/07/2026BotafogoVitoria00
D17/07/2026VitoriaVasco DA Gama10
W06/06/2026Vitoria
Fortaleza EC
VitoriaFortaleza EC21
W03/06/2026Fortaleza ECVitoria
Fortaleza ECVitoria12
W31/05/2026
SantosVitoria
SantosVitoria31
L28/05/2026
ABCVitoria
ABCVitoria34
W23/05/2026Vitoria
Internacional
VitoriaInternacional20
W21/05/2026VitoriaABC
VitoriaABC62
W17/05/2026
RB BragantinoVitoria
RB BragantinoVitoria20
LPalmeiras6W2D2L
27/07/2026Palmeiras
Atletico-MG
CoritibaPalmeiras
PalmeirasAtletico-MG12
L23/07/2026CoritibaPalmeiras13
W31/05/2026Palmeiras
Chapecoense-sc
PalmeirasChapecoense-sc10
W29/05/2026Palmeiras
Junior
PalmeirasJunior41
W24/05/2026
FlamengoPalmeiras
FlamengoPalmeiras03
W21/05/2026Palmeiras
Cerro Porteno
PalmeirasCerro Porteno01
L17/05/2026Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
PalmeirasCruzeiro11
D14/05/2026
JacuipensePalmeiras
JacuipensePalmeiras14
W10/05/2026RemoPalmeiras
RemoPalmeiras11
D06/05/2026
Sporting CristalPalmeiras
Sporting CristalPalmeiras02
WReferee Profile
5.16Cards per match
4.86Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
29.1Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.16 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.26).
Cards come from 94 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64:27 | +37 | 70 | WWWDW |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 56:22 | +34 | 69 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | +5 | 54 | WWLWW |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 50:38 | +12 | 54 | DLWDW |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 50:41 | +9 | 51 | LLLWW |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 44:38 | +6 | 50 | LWWDW |
| 7 |  Bahia | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 45:40 | +5 | 50 | DLWLL |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 49:47 | +2 | 46 | DWLDW |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 37:36 | +1 | 43 | DWWLL |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39:38 | +1 | 41 | LDWDL |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 44:51 | -7 | 39 | LWDLL |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 38:50 | -12 | 39 | LLDLL |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 38 | WLDWW |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 38 | DDLWL |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 37:45 | -8 | 37 | DWLDW |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 35 | WLDWL |
| 17 |  Gremio | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 34 | WLDDD |
| 18 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | LDLLL |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 26 | LDDDL |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 32:63 | -31 | 21 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 32 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 32 | 56:22 | 69 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 32 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 4 | Atletico Paranaense | 32 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 5 | Fluminense | 32 | 50:41 | 51 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | 32 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 7 | Bahia | 32 | 45:40 | 50 |
| 8 | Santos | 32 | 49:47 | 46 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo | 32 | 37:36 | 43 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 32 | 39:38 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo | 32 | 44:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba | 32 | 38:50 | 39 |
| 13 | Vasco DA Gama | 31 | 39:45 | 38 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 32 | 35:46 | 38 |
| 15 | Mirassol | 32 | 37:45 | 37 |
| 16 | Internacional | 32 | 36:40 | 35 |
| 17 | Gremio | 32 | 35:44 | 34 |
| 18 | Corinthians | 32 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 19 | Remo | 32 | 34:50 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 31 | 32:63 | 21 |
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About the Vitoria vs Palmeiras forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Vitoria and Palmeiras in the Serie A table
In the Serie A table, Palmeiras are 2nd and Vitoria 14th, 31 points apart. League goal record so far: Vitoria 35-46, Palmeiras 56-22. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Vitoria have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Palmeiras have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.