Penafiel vs Feirense Prediction

Penafiel
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Feirense
Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel·Joao Afonso 02/11/2026
PenafielPenafiel
1-0
Finished
FeirenseFeirense

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
Penafiel Rest
9 days
Feirense Rest
9 days

Penafiel vs Feirense: result, form and history

Penafiel beat Feirense 1-0 in the Segunda Liga on 2 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Penafiel had won 3 of their previous five, compared with none for Feirense.

Feirense have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game. Feirense tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 3.9 for Penafiel.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.87
X
28%3.40
2
24%3.87
Double Chance
1X
76%1.22
X2
51%1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.87
No
49%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 0.99 = 2.65
Over 1.5
70%1.33
Over 2.5
46%2.08
Over 3.5
26%3.75
Under 1.5
30%3.00
Under 2.5
54%1.70
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Jair Monteiro
19'Jair Monteiro INAlexandre Guedes out
28'Antonio Leal Mateos
29'Max Svensson
45+2'Iano Simão
48'Jaime Sánchez
54'João Pinto
59'Antonio Leal Mateos INTiago Castro out
59'Ricardo Schutte INfrancisco varela out
61'Claudio Silva
68'Diogo Mendes
71'Luís Teixeira Pinto INPeter Adejimi out
71'diego moreno INAndré Lopes out
71'Juanda Fuentes INDuarte Oliveira out
71'Claudio Silva INAntonio David Álvarez Rey out
78'Tiago Castro
90+1'Max Svensson INClaudio Mendes out
90+1'João Pinto INKonrad Sinyam out

Lineups

Penafiel
3-4-3Coach: José Manuel Aira
Feirense
5-4-1Coach: Rui Ferreira
Miguel Oliveira1M. Oliveira
Jaime Sánchez5J. Sánchez
Adrián Pica6A. Pica
Cláudio Silva3C. Silva
Douglas Borel7D. Borel
João Pinto17J. Pinto
Pedro Sá21P. Sá
Iano Imbene2I. Imbene
J. Fuentes11J. Fuentes
Max Svensson9M. Svensson
Ricardo Schutte33R. Schutte
Diego Altube26D. Altube
João Oliveira20J. Oliveira
Antonio Leal4A. Leal
Pedro Pinto14P. Pinto
João Queirós40J. Queirós
Diego Moreno15D. Moreno
Pedro Henrique23P. Henrique
Diogo Mendes6D. Mendes
Luisinho90Luisinho
Henrique Pereira25H. Pereira
J. Monteiro9J. Monteiro

Penafiel Substitutes

50Francisco Varela59'for Ricardo Schutte
38M. Ramon
14Jorge Meré
4João Miguel
12Alexei Rojas Fedorushchenko
10Davo71'for Claudio Silva
18Konrad Sinyam90+1'replaced by João Pinto
99Claudio90+1'for Max Svensson
13Eric Puerto
23Duarte Oliveira71'replaced by Juanda Fuentes
22Martim Alberto
79Tomás Teixeira

Feirense Substitutes

19Alexandre Guedes19'for Jair Monteiro
30Peter Adejimi71'replaced by Luís Teixeira Pinto
1Francisco Meixedo
16André Lopes71'for diego moreno
8Gui Santos
24M. Diaby
47Piri
27Tiago Castro59'replaced by Antonio Leal Mateos78'
3Kaiquy

Match Stats

PenafielFeirense
54%Ball Possession46%
3Corner Kicks3
4Yellow Cards4
10Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal5
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

PenafielPenafiel
FeirenseFeirense
1567Elo Rating 1417
1.89Attack 0.37
1.81Defense 1.76
58%Hit Rate 0%
20.7Shots per Game 8.2
7.9Shots on Target 3.0
3.9Corners per Game 7.0
1.0Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+151 Elo

Game State Tendencies

PenafielPenafiel
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FeirenseFeirense
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

PenafielPenafiel3Wins · 30%
Draws00%
FeirenseFeirense7Wins · 70%
2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Segunda Liga15/03/2026
FeirensePenafiel
10
Segunda Liga19/10/2025
PenafielFeirense
12
Segunda Liga19/04/2025
PenafielFeirense
12
Segunda Liga07/12/2024
FeirensePenafiel
30
Segunda Liga29/01/2024
PenafielFeirense
21
Segunda Liga20/08/2023
FeirensePenafiel
20
Segunda Liga08/04/2023
FeirensePenafiel
21
Segunda Liga23/10/2022
PenafielFeirense
01
Segunda Liga24/04/2022
PenafielFeirense
20
Segunda Liga11/12/2021
FeirensePenafiel
12

Recent Form

PenafielPenafiel
6W1D3L
24/10/2026
FarensePenafiel
14
W
17/10/2026
PenafielLeça
01
L
09/10/2026
PenafielAVS
12
L
19/09/2026
OliveirensePenafiel
12
W
12/09/2026
Felgueiras 1932Penafiel
12
W
05/09/2026
PenafielAcademica
41
W
30/08/2026
FC Porto BPenafiel
03
W
23/08/2026
PenafielSporting CP B
20
W
15/08/2026
TorreensePenafiel
22
D
08/08/2026
PenafielPortimonense
01
L
FeirenseFeirense
0W2D8L
24/10/2026
FeirenseBenfica B
00
D
11/10/2026
FarenseFeirense
21
L
19/09/2026
SalgueirosFeirense
10
L
13/09/2026
ChavesFeirense
10
L
05/09/2026
FeirenseSporting CP B
13
L
30/08/2026
AVSFeirense
20
L
24/08/2026
FeirenseFC Porto B
01
L
14/08/2026
AcademicaFeirense
10
L
09/08/2026
FeirenseFelgueiras 1932
00
D
01/08/2026
União LamasFeirense
4232
L

Referee Profile

Joao Afonso74 matches

5.20Cards per match
5.00Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
29.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joao Afonso5.20
Other referees5.67

5.20 cards a match, 0.47 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.67).

Cards come from 25 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sporting CP BSporting CP B970215:7+821WWWLW
2PenafielPenafiel961219:8+1119WWLWW
3Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa954015:8+719DDDWW
4Benfica BBenfica B952211:6+517WDWWL
5FarenseFarense943215:11+415DLWWD
6AcademicaAcademica950415:12+315LWWLL
7TondelaTondela950412:10+215WLWWW
8VizelaVizela942310:9+114WLLDW
9União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria942313:11+214WDLDW
10AVSAVS933311:10+112LWWDL
11PortimonensePortimonense93246:10-411DLWLL
12TorreenseTorreense92438:10-210DWLDW
13LeixoesLeixoes931510:14-410LLLDW
14AmaranteAmarante92258:12-48WLLDL
15ChavesChaves92259:18-98LWDLW
16FC Porto BFC Porto B92258:17-98LDWDL
17Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193291449:12-37LDLLL
18FeirenseFeirense90272:11-92LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sporting CP BSporting CP B915:721
2PenafielPenafiel919:819
3Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa915:819
4Benfica BBenfica B911:617
5FarenseFarense915:1115
6AcademicaAcademica915:1215
7TondelaTondela912:1015
8VizelaVizela910:914
9União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria913:1114
10AVSAVS911:1012
11PortimonensePortimonense96:1011
12TorreenseTorreense98:1010
13LeixoesLeixoes910:1410
14AmaranteAmarante98:128
15ChavesChaves99:188
16FC Porto BFC Porto B98:178
17Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193299:127
18FeirenseFeirense92:112
PromotionRelegation

About the Penafiel vs Feirense forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Penafiel and Feirense in the Segunda Liga table

The table shows a wide gap: Penafiel are 2nd in the Segunda Liga, while Feirense sit 18th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: Penafiel 19-8, Feirense 2-11. The full standings are on the Segunda Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.