Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 Prediction

Tondela
3-2
Finished
HT 2-1
Felgueiras 1932
Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela·Iancu Ioan Vasilica 01/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
79%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.16
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.7%
Tondela Rest
7 days
Felgueiras 1932 Rest
7 days

Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932: result, form and history

Tondela beat Felgueiras 1932 3-2 in the Segunda Liga on 1 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Tondela had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Felgueiras 1932.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.3 goals a game across 3 matches. Tondela tend to win more corners, 8.0 a game to 4.0 for Felgueiras 1932.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
50%1.75
X
28%3.38
2
22%4.63
Double Chance
1X
78%1.16
X2
50%1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%2.12
No
54%1.64
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.02 = 2.34
Over 1.5
66%1.44
Over 2.5
42%2.29
Over 3.5
22%4.33
Under 1.5
34%2.70
Under 2.5
58%1.57
Under 3.5
78%1.20
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

20'Lucas da Costa DuarteAssist: Bilal Ouacharaf
28'Antonio Tomane
28'Antonio Tomane
29'Afonso Freitas
45+5'Hugo FélixAssist: José María Pérez García
53'Joao Reis PintoAssist: Francisco Paulo Franco Franca
65'Arjen Van Der Heide INXabier Huarte Armendáriz out
65'Hélder Tavares INTiago Dias out
72'Tiago Leite INMario Rivas Viondi out
80'Rodrigo Cascavel INHenry Addo out
80'Hugo Félix INGaston Novero out
83'Beni Jetour INRodrigo Santos Ribeiro out
88'Antonio TomaneAssist: Tiago Dias
90+3'Michel Costa INJoaozinho out
90+3'Joao Reis Pinto INFilipe Cruz out
90+3'Armando Roberto·Torres Lopes INAfonso Peixoto out

Lineups

Tondela
4-2-3-1Coach: Ricardo Costa
Felgueiras 1932
3-5-2Coach: Moreno
Carlos28Carlos
Carraça15Carraça
Christian Marques4C. Marques
Farru6Farru
Zé Ricardo12Z. Ricardo
Hélder Tavares8H. Tavares
Sarará37Sarará
A. van der Heide26A. van der Heide
Hugo Félix20H. Félix
Cascavel7Cascavel
Tómané19Tómané
Mateus Pasinato14M. Pasinato
B. Ouacharaf70B. Ouacharaf
João Pinto3J. Pinto
Afonso de Freitas23A. de Freitas
8080T. Ventura da Silva
1616B. Jetour
Michel Costa10M. Costa
Francisco França77F. França
Armando Lopes15A. Lopes
Tiago Rafael Fernandes Leiite9T. Rafael Fernandes Leiite
Lucas da Costa Duarte19L. da Costa Duarte

Tondela Substitutes

77Tiago Dias65'for Hélder Tavares
9João Lima
17G. Novero80'for Hugo Félix
14Xabi Huarte65'for Arjen Van Der Heide
13S. Sithole
11Alves Richarllyson Carvalho
10H. Addo80'for Rodrigo Cascavel
22B. Almeida
5João Afonso
3ian kamga
2Bebeto
1Lucas Cañizares

Felgueiras 1932 Substitutes

5Afonso Peixoto90+3'for Armando Roberto·Torres Lopes
95Nuno Namora
24Rui Rampa
17Filipe Cruz90+3'for Joao Reis Pinto
25Felipe Scheibig
7Mario Rivas72'for Tiago Leite
13Joãozinho90+3'for Michel Costa
96Martim Duarte
20Rodrigo Santos Ribeiro83'replaced by Beni Jetour

Match Stats

TondelaFelgueiras 1932
63%Ball Possession37%
10Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards1
14Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal5
8Shots off Goal5
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0

Team Comparison

TondelaTondela
Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 1932
1562Elo Rating 1532
1.57Attack 1.24
2.30Defense 1.98
50%Hit Rate 39%
23.0Shots per Game 12.0
5.0Shots on Target 4.0
8.0Corners per Game 4.0
3.4Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

TondelaTondela
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 1932
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

TondelaTondela1Wins · 34%
Draws133%
Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 19321Wins · 33%
1.3Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3

Previous meetings

Segunda Liga08/02/2025
Felgueiras 1932Tondela
10
Segunda Liga31/08/2024
TondelaFelgueiras 1932
11
Taça de Portugal22/11/2020
Felgueiras 1932Tondela
01

Recent Form

TondelaTondela
6W0D4L
25/10/2026
AVSTondela
21
L
18/10/2026
TondelaAlverca
2000
W
10/10/2026
TondelaTorreense
10
W
19/09/2026
Imortal AlbufeiraTondela
15
W
12/09/2026
PortimonenseTondela
02
W
05/09/2026
TondelaFC Porto B
30
W
28/08/2026
União de LeiriaTondela
20
L
21/08/2026
TondelaAcademica
02
L
16/08/2026
LeixoesTondela
10
L
08/08/2026
TondelaAmarante
21
W
Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 1932
3W4D3L
25/10/2026
Felgueiras 1932Lusitânia Lourosa
22
D
18/10/2026
Felgueiras 1932Fafe
10
W
12/10/2026
Benfica BFelgueiras 1932
10
L
19/09/2026
Naval 1893Felgueiras 1932
02
W
12/09/2026
Felgueiras 1932Penafiel
12
L
06/09/2026
VizelaFelgueiras 1932
10
L
30/08/2026
Felgueiras 1932Chaves
21
W
24/08/2026
FarenseFelgueiras 1932
11
D
17/08/2026
Felgueiras 1932AVS
11
D
09/08/2026
FeirenseFelgueiras 1932
00
D

Referee Profile

Iancu Ioan Vasilica114 matches

4.98Cards per match
4.66Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
30.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Iancu Ioan Vasilica4.98
Other referees5.41

4.98 cards a match, 0.43 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.41).

Cards come from 82 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Segunda Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Sporting CP BSporting CP B970215:7+821WWWLW
2PenafielPenafiel961219:8+1119WWLWW
3Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa954015:8+719DDDWW
4Benfica BBenfica B952211:6+517WDWWL
5FarenseFarense943215:11+415DLWWD
6AcademicaAcademica950415:12+315LWWLL
7TondelaTondela950412:10+215WLWWW
8VizelaVizela942310:9+114WLLDW
9União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria942313:11+214WDLDW
10AVSAVS933311:10+112LWWDL
11PortimonensePortimonense93246:10-411DLWLL
12TorreenseTorreense92438:10-210DWLDW
13LeixoesLeixoes931510:14-410LLLDW
14AmaranteAmarante92258:12-48WLLDL
15ChavesChaves92259:18-98LWDLW
16FC Porto BFC Porto B92258:17-98LDWDL
17Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193291449:12-37LDLLL
18FeirenseFeirense90272:11-92LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Sporting CP BSporting CP B915:721
2PenafielPenafiel919:819
3Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa915:819
4Benfica BBenfica B911:617
5FarenseFarense915:1115
6AcademicaAcademica915:1215
7TondelaTondela912:1015
8VizelaVizela910:914
9União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria913:1114
10AVSAVS911:1012
11PortimonensePortimonense96:1011
12TorreenseTorreense98:1010
13LeixoesLeixoes910:1410
14AmaranteAmarante98:128
15ChavesChaves99:188
16FC Porto BFC Porto B98:178
17Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 193299:127
18FeirenseFeirense92:112
PromotionRelegation

About the Tondela vs Felgueiras 1932 forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Tondela and Felgueiras 1932 in the Segunda Liga table

In the Segunda Liga table, Tondela are 7th and Felgueiras 1932 17th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Tondela 12-10, Felgueiras 1932 9-12. The full standings are on the Segunda Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.