Real San Joaquín vs Provincial Ovalle Prediction

01/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-5.2%
Real San Joaquín Rest
21 days
Provincial Ovalle Rest
7 days

Real San Joaquín vs Provincial Ovalle: result, form and history

Real San Joaquín and Provincial Ovalle drew 1-1 in the Segunda División on 1 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.28
X
26%3.20
2
33%2.80
Double Chance
1X
67%1.36
X2
59%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.75
No
46%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.53 + 1.34 = 2.87
Over 1.5
73%1.30
Over 2.5
50%1.94
Over 3.5
29%3.34
Under 1.5
27%3.05
Under 2.5
50%1.74
Under 3.5
71%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

33'E. Millalen
41'D. Ceron
48'I. Farias
55'I. Farias INL. Leger out
60'F. Rosales
63'B. Cortes INL. Maluenda out
65'R. Carrasco
69'F. Rosales INB. Araya out
79'E. Millalen INR. Tarifeno out
79'A. Becica INM. Avila out
80'L. Marcotti IND. Maureira out
80'M. Escalona Armijo
85'A. Benavente INF. Mercado out
85'N. Rojas INB. Duarte out
87'D. Maureira
87'D. Ceron
90'

Team Comparison

Real San JoaquínReal San Joaquín
Provincial OvalleProvincial Ovalle
1368Elo Rating 1367
0.99Attack 1.05
1.21Defense 1.12
27%Hit Rate 36%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.87 goals

Game State Tendencies

Real San JoaquínReal San Joaquín
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)
Provincial OvalleProvincial Ovalle
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Real San JoaquínReal San Joaquín3Wins · 43%
Draws229%
Provincial OvalleProvincial Ovalle2Wins · 28%
3.1Avg Goals
57%Both teams scored4 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Segunda División22/08/2026
Provincial OvalleReal San Joaquín
11
Segunda División21/06/2026
Provincial OvalleReal San Joaquín
16
Segunda División19/04/2026
Real San JoaquínProvincial Ovalle
32
Segunda División08/11/2025
Real San JoaquínProvincial Ovalle
10
Segunda División30/05/2025
Provincial OvalleReal San Joaquín
00
Segunda División12/10/2024
Real San JoaquínProvincial Ovalle
12
Segunda División19/05/2024
Provincial OvalleReal San Joaquín
40

League Table

Segunda División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Provincial OsornoProvincial Osorno1266015:5+1024WDWDD
2Municipal SalamancaMunicipal Salamanca1257011:5+622LWWDW
3ColchaguaColchagua1264215:11+422LLWDD
4Concón NationalConcón National1263316:10+621LWLDW
5Santiago CitySantiago City1255218:19-120LWLWD
6Linares UnidoLinares Unido1261516:12+419WWWLD
7TrasandinoTrasandino1253419:17+218LLWWD
8General VelásquezGeneral Velásquez1251611:15-416WLWWD
9Real San JoaquínReal San Joaquín1234516:17-113LLDWL
10Lota SchwagerLota Schwager1234511:13-213DWLDW
11ColinaColina1233615:14+112WLDLL
12Deportes RengoDeportes Rengo1232710:17-711WLWLL
13Santiago MorningSantiago Morning122469:14-510LLDLD
14Provincial OvalleProvincial Ovalle1213811:24-136LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Provincial OsornoProvincial Osorno1215:524
2Municipal SalamancaMunicipal Salamanca1211:522
3ColchaguaColchagua1215:1122
4Concón NationalConcón National1216:1021
5Santiago CitySantiago City1218:1920
6Linares UnidoLinares Unido1216:1219
7TrasandinoTrasandino1219:1718
8General VelásquezGeneral Velásquez1211:1516
9Real San JoaquínReal San Joaquín1216:1713
10Lota SchwagerLota Schwager1211:1313
11ColinaColina1215:1412
12Deportes RengoDeportes Rengo1210:1711
13Santiago MorningSantiago Morning129:1410
14Provincial OvalleProvincial Ovalle1211:246

About the Real San Joaquín vs Provincial Ovalle forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Real San Joaquín and Provincial Ovalle in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, Real San Joaquín are 9th and Provincial Ovalle 14th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Real San Joaquín 16-17, Provincial Ovalle 11-24. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.