Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg Prediction

Red Bull Arena, Salzburg·Alain Sadikovski, Austria 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.62
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+10.9%
Red Bull Salzburg Rest
7 days
TSV Hartberg Rest
6 days

Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg: the result in context

Red Bull Salzburg beat TSV Hartberg 1-0 in the Bundesliga on 1 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Red Bull Salzburg have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.5 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.29
X
22%5.25
2
20%9.25
Double Chance
1X
80%1.06
X2
42%3.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.80
No
45%1.90
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.69 + 1.1 = 2.79
Over 1.5
78%1.14
Over 2.5
57%1.49
Over 3.5
32%2.25
Under 1.5
22%5.15
Under 2.5
43%2.45
Under 3.5
68%1.62
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

46'F. Gerstl INL. Pazourek out
46'M. Postl INA. Gattermayer out
60'Y. Vertessen INH. Tabakovic out
69'A. Barry INK. Konate out
70'E. Aguilar INB. Mazurek out
71'M. Hoffmann INA. Urrutia out
80'G. Diakite INF. Kratzig out
89'K. KonateAssist: D. Schmid
90'Y. Diarra INN. Feldhofer out
90'F. Wilfinger INJ. Drew out

Lineups

Red Bull Salzburg
4-2-3-1Coach: Danny Rohl
TSV Hartberg
5-3-2Coach: Markus Schopp
Avg rating7.20
Avg rating6.89
Christian Zawieschitzky7.052C. Zawieschitzky
Nikolas VeratschnigC7.918N. Veratschnig
Kévin Boma7.944K. Boma
Valentin Zabransky7.747V. Zabransky
Dominik Schmid8.031D. Schmid
Soumaïla Diabaté7.35S. Diabaté
Abubakr Barry6.332A. Barry
Damir Redzic7.023D. Redzic
Gaoussou Diakite7.530G. Diakite
Enrique Aguilar6.543E. Aguilar
Yorbe Vertessen6.911Y. Vertessen
Ármin Pécsi7.991Á. Pécsi
Fabian Wilfinger7.218F. Wilfinger
Paul Komposch6.514P. Komposch
Konstantin Schopp7.627K. Schopp
Habib Anas Coulibaly6.96H. Anas Coulibaly
Florian Gerstl7.228F. Gerstl
Tobias KainzC7.523T. Kainz
Benjamin Markuš6.94B. Markuš
Youba Diarra6.35Y. Diarra
Marco Hoffmann6.722M. Hoffmann
Matthias Postl6.38M. Postl

Red Bull Salzburg Substitutes

9Haris Tabaković60'for Y. Vertessen6.5
19Karim Konaté69'for A. Barry89'7.9
15Bartosz Mazurek70'for E. Aguilar7.0
13Frans Krätzig80'for G. Diakite6.6
41Nikola Sarcevic
21Tim Drexler
39Leandro Morgalla
14Maurits Kjaergaard
33Aboubacar Camara

TSV Hartberg Substitutes

2Luca Pazourek46'for F. Gerstl6.9
7Angelo Gattermayer46'for M. Postl6.3
9Agustín Urrutia71'replaced by M. Hoffmann6.2
95Nikolaus Feldhofer90'for Y. Diarra
11Jed Drew90'for F. Wilfinger
21Luka Marić
16Magnus Dalpiaz
19Lukas Spendlhofer
17Jonas Karner

Match Stats

Red Bull SalzburgTSV Hartberg
73%Ball Possession27%
19Corner Kicks2
36Total Shots4
7Shots on Goal1
17Shots off Goal2
22Shots Inside Box2
14Shots Outside Box2
12Blocked Shots1
3Fouls9
1Goalkeeper Saves6
652Total Passes254
586Passes Accurate182
90%Pass Accuracy72%

Team Comparison

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg
1771Elo Rating 1606
1.65Attack 2.06
1.68Defense 0.95
37%Hit Rate 46%
15.5Shots per Game 15.5
4.9Shots on Target 5.1
4.2Corners per Game 5.2
1.1Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+165 Elo
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.6 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg6Wins · 60%
Draws330%
TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1Wins · 10%
3.5Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga17/05/2026
Red Bull SalzburgTSV Hartberg
13
Bundesliga05/04/2026
TSV HartbergRed Bull Salzburg
12
Bundesliga01/03/2026
Red Bull SalzburgTSV Hartberg
00
Bundesliga16/08/2025
TSV HartbergRed Bull Salzburg
12
Bundesliga04/12/2024
Red Bull SalzburgTSV Hartberg
40
Bundesliga30/11/2024
TSV HartbergRed Bull Salzburg
11
Bundesliga12/05/2024
TSV HartbergRed Bull Salzburg
15
Bundesliga17/03/2024
Red Bull SalzburgTSV Hartberg
51
Bundesliga25/11/2023
Red Bull SalzburgTSV Hartberg
32
Cup01/11/2023
TSV HartbergRed Bull Salzburg
4151

Recent Form

Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg
4W1D5L
25/07/2026
OberwartRed Bull Salzburg
17
W
15/07/2026
Red Bull SalzburgBaşakşehir
12
L
15/07/2026
Red Bull SalzburgGamba Osaka
03
L
09/07/2026
Red Bull SalzburgMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
40
W
04/07/2026
Red Bull SalzburgGornik Zabrze
21
W
26/06/2026
SeekirchenRed Bull Salzburg
05
W
17/05/2026
Red Bull SalzburgTSV Hartberg
13
L
10/05/2026
Lask LinzRed Bull Salzburg
21
L
03/05/2026
Red Bull SalzburgSturm Graz
11
D
26/04/2026
Rapid ViennaRed Bull Salzburg
10
L
TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg
5W1D4L
26/07/2026
ImstTSV Hartberg
13
W
18/07/2026
TSV HartbergVoitsberg
02
L
18/07/2026
TSV HartbergFirst Vienna
20
W
08/07/2026
TSV HartbergZbrojovka Brno
20
W
04/07/2026
TSV HartbergUjpest
11
D
01/07/2026
WeizTSV Hartberg
32
L
27/06/2026
TSV HartbergAdmira Wacker
31
W
17/05/2026
Red Bull SalzburgTSV Hartberg
13
W
10/05/2026
TSV HartbergSturm Graz
24
L
03/05/2026
Austria ViennaTSV Hartberg
10
L

Referee Profile

Alain Sadikovski108 matches

4.46Cards per match
4.14Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alain Sadikovski4.46
Other referees4.65

4.46 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.65).

Cards come from 74 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna1090131:9+2227WWWWW
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1073024:5+1924WWDWD
3Lask LinzLask Linz1061324:12+1219LWLDL
4Sturm GrazSturm Graz1053218:12+618DWWLW
5RiedRied1043318:17+115DWWWD
6TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1042416:19-314WLWDD
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1033413:15-212DWLLD
8Grazer AKGrazer AK102448:23-1510DLDDW
9SCR AltachSCR Altach1030710:16-69WLWLL
10Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1022612:24-128LLLWL
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1021710:20-107LLLDW
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC101277:19-125LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna1031:927
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1024:524
3Lask LinzLask Linz1024:1219
4Sturm GrazSturm Graz1018:1218
5RiedRied1018:1715
6TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1016:1914
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1013:1512
8Grazer AKGrazer AK108:2310
9SCR AltachSCR Altach1010:169
10Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1012:248
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1010:207
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC107:195
PromotionRelegation

About the Red Bull Salzburg vs TSV Hartberg forecast

The forecasts for this Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Red Bull Salzburg and TSV Hartberg in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, Red Bull Salzburg are 2nd and TSV Hartberg 6th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Red Bull Salzburg 24-5, TSV Hartberg 16-19. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.