WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz Prediction

WSG Wattens
1-1
Finished
HT 1-1
Sturm Graz
Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck·Stefan Ebner, Austria 01/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.95
SignalNEUTRALModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+5.7%
WSG Wattens Rest
7 days
Sturm Graz Rest
3 days

WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz: result, form and history

WSG Wattens and Sturm Graz drew 1-1 in the Bundesliga on 1 Aug 2026. Sturm Graz had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 2 for WSG Wattens.

Sturm Graz have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.1 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
21%3.65
X
26%3.60
2
53%1.95
Double Chance
1X
47%1.82
X2
79%1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.62
No
44%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 1.73 = 2.92
Over 1.5
82%1.22
Over 2.5
58%1.75
Over 3.5
32%2.76
Under 1.5
18%3.90
Under 2.5
42%2.04
Under 3.5
68%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.6 + 5.2 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.46
Over 9.5
50%1.78
Over 10.5
39%2.30
Under 8.5
38%2.41
Under 9.5
50%1.95
Under 10.5
61%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.1 = 4.5
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
44%-
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
56%-

Match Events

14'S. SeidlFoul
18'J. HodlFoul
19'E. SogloFoul
25'R. FossoFoul
29'S. WlodarczykAssist: E. Soglo
42'M. OlakigbeAssist: R. Gschosser
65'B. Beganovic INS. Jatta out
66'E. Soglo INL. Balbo out
72'J. Hodl ING. Mamageishvili out
72'S. Wlodarczyk INA. Kayombo out
75'N. Baden Frederiksen INA. Ola-Adebomi out
75'H. Balic INT. Goiginger out
84'R. GschosserFoul
85'D. Kubatta IND. Gugganig out
85'M. Olakigbe INM. Bambara out
89'L. Hinterseer IND. Falkner out
90'P. Koller INJ. Mitchell out

Lineups

WSG Wattens
4-1-3-2Coach: Philipp Semlic
Sturm Graz
4-2-3-1Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.57
Salko Hamzić7.71S. Hamzić
Drew Murray6.35D. Murray
Marco Boras8.223M. Boras
David Kubatta6.914D. Kubatta
Raphael Gschösser6.732R. Gschösser
Nemanja Čelić6.543N. Čelić
Husein Balić6.218H. Balić
Murat Satin7.011M. Satin
Michael Olakigbe7.517M. Olakigbe
Nikolai Frederiksen6.78N. Frederiksen
Lukas HinterseerC7.016L. Hinterseer
Daniil Khudyakov6.253D. Khudyakov
Jurgen Heil7.728J. Heil
Albert Vallci7.25A. Vallci
Paul Koller6.330P. Koller
Emran Soglo7.618E. Soglo
Ryan Fosso6.380R. Fosso
Jon Gorenc StankovićC7.04J. Gorenc Stanković
Belmin Beganović5.926B. Beganović
Simon Seidl5.619S. Seidl
Jacob Hödl6.243J. Hödl
Szymon Włodarczyk6.717S. Włodarczyk

WSG Wattens Substitutes

36Thomas Goiginger75'for H. Balic6.9
9Ademola Ola-Adebomi75'for N. Baden Frederiksen6.5
3David Gugganig85'for D. Kubatta6.9
15Mazou Bambara6.9
22David Falkner89'for L. Hinterseer6.7
13Alexander Eckmayr
27David Jaunegg
31Michael Neuner
38Simon Wieser

Sturm Graz Substitutes

20Seedy Jatta65'for B. Beganovic6.3
27Luís Balbo66'for E. Soglo6.3
15Gizo Mamageishvili72'for J. Hodl6.3
11Axel Kayombo72'for S. Wlodarczyk6.9
2Jeyland Mitchell90'for P. Koller
22Ammar Helac
21Petar Petrović
23Arjan Malić
40Julian Halwachs

Match Stats

WSG WattensSturm Graz
42%Ball Possession58%
1Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards4
8Total Shots15
1Shots on Goal6
4Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots3
11Fouls14
1Offsides9
5Goalkeeper Saves0
308Total Passes410
210Passes Accurate298
68%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

WSG WattensWSG Wattens
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
1576Elo Rating 1720
1.05Attack 2.19
1.75Defense 1.14
19%Hit Rate 36%
16.8Shots per Game 18.3
5.4Shots on Target 5.7
5.5Corners per Game 5.2
1.4Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.92 goals
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

WSG WattensWSG Wattens
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

WSG WattensWSG Wattens2Wins · 20%
Draws110%
Sturm GrazSturm Graz7Wins · 70%
3.1Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga14/02/2026
WSG WattensSturm Graz
10
Bundesliga03/12/2025
Sturm GrazWSG Wattens
13
Bundesliga07/12/2024
WSG WattensSturm Graz
03
Bundesliga31/08/2024
Sturm GrazWSG Wattens
42
Bundesliga25/02/2024
WSG WattensSturm Graz
02
Bundesliga01/10/2023
Sturm GrazWSG Wattens
10
Bundesliga19/03/2023
WSG WattensSturm Graz
02
Bundesliga09/10/2022
Sturm GrazWSG Wattens
21
Bundesliga12/02/2022
WSG WattensSturm Graz
22
Bundesliga19/09/2021
Sturm GrazWSG Wattens
50

Recent Form

WSG WattensWSG Wattens
3W3D4L
24/07/2026
WieselburgWSG Wattens
06
W
17/07/2026
Hertha BSCWSG Wattens
32
L
10/07/2026
WSG WattensPolessya
12
L
04/07/2026
WSG WattensGornik Zabrze
00
D
19/06/2026
ZirlWSG Wattens
116
W
16/05/2026
Wolfsberger ACWSG Wattens
20
L
09/05/2026
WSG WattensFC BW Linz
11
D
02/05/2026
Grazer AKWSG Wattens
40
L
25/04/2026
WSG WattensRied
10
W
21/04/2026
SCR AltachWSG Wattens
00
D
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
8W1D1L
28/07/2026
Heart Of MidlothianSturm Graz
02
W
24/07/2026
SeekirchenSturm Graz
03
W
21/07/2026
Sturm GrazHeart Of Midlothian
40
W
15/07/2026
Sturm GrazPogon Szczecin
10
W
11/07/2026
Sturm GrazSanfrecce Hiroshima
41
W
08/07/2026
Sturm GrazKalsdorf
41
W
03/07/2026
Sturm GrazFK Košice
22
D
30/06/2026
Sturm GrazLNZ Cherkasy
26
L
26/06/2026
Sturm GrazMura
50
W
17/05/2026
Sturm GrazRapid Vienna
20
W

Referee Profile

Stefan Ebner143 matches

4.67Cards per match
4.43Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
26.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Stefan Ebner4.67
Other referees4.42

4.67 cards a match, 0.25 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.42).

Cards come from 112 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna1090131:9+2227WWWWW
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1073024:5+1924WWDWD
3Lask LinzLask Linz1061324:12+1219LWLDL
4Sturm GrazSturm Graz1053218:12+618DWWLW
5TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1152420:19+117WWLWD
6RiedRied1144319:18+116DDWWW
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1033413:15-212DWLLD
8SCR AltachSCR Altach1131711:17-610DWLWL
9Grazer AKGrazer AK112458:27-1910LDLDD
10Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1022612:24-128LLLWL
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1021710:20-107LLLDW
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC101277:19-125LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna1031:927
2Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1024:524
3Lask LinzLask Linz1024:1219
4Sturm GrazSturm Graz1018:1218
5TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1120:1917
6RiedRied1119:1816
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1013:1512
8SCR AltachSCR Altach1111:1710
9Grazer AKGrazer AK118:2710
10Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1012:248
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1010:207
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC107:195
PromotionRelegation

About the WSG Wattens vs Sturm Graz forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

WSG Wattens and Sturm Graz in the Bundesliga table

In the Bundesliga table, Sturm Graz are 4th and WSG Wattens 7th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: WSG Wattens 13-15, Sturm Graz 18-12. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.