Reims vs Guingamp Prediction

Reims
2-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Guingamp
Stade Auguste-Delaune, Reims·Tifenn Leprodhomme, France 05/09/2026
ReimsReims
2-2
Finished
GuingampGuingamp

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
91%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+7.8%
Reims Rest
7 days
Guingamp Rest
6 days

Reims vs Guingamp: the result in context

Reims and Guingamp drew 2-2 in the Ligue 2 on 5 Sep 2026. Reims had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Guingamp.

Referee Tifenn Leprodhomme averages 3.21 cards a game, 1.06 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
73%1.78
X
20%3.66
2
7%4.30
Double Chance
1X
94%1.22
X2
27%1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.66
No
43%2.12
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.15 + 1.06 = 3.21
Over 1.5
84%1.22
Over 2.5
62%1.73
Over 3.5
44%2.75
Under 1.5
16%3.95
Under 2.5
38%2.07
Under 3.5
56%1.40
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4 = 9.7
Over 8.5
61%1.77
Over 9.5
51%2.15
Over 10.5
40%2.80
Under 8.5
39%1.93
Under 9.5
49%1.60
Under 10.5
60%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.3 + 1.7 = 3
Over 3.5
36%-
Over 4.5
19%-
Under 3.5
64%-
Under 4.5
81%-

Match Events

5'Stanislas KieltAssist: Teddy Andami Averlant
48'Yaya Fofana
50'Yaya FofanaAssist: Youssef el Kachati
62'John Patrick INJohn Otomewo out
62'Youssef el Kachati INSambou Soumano out
64'John OtomewoFoul
67'Stanislas Kielt INBrandon Bokangu out
67'Tuomas Ollila INV. Muntu Wa Mungu out
67'Tom Ducrocq INFlorent Sanchez Da Silva out
73'Teddy Andami Averlant INJasser Chamakh out
73'Tanguy Ahile INAmadou Samoura out
79'Yaya Fofana INChamsedin Kouranfal out
82'Samir Ben BrahimFoul
88'Brandon BokanguAssist: Erwin Koffi
89'Mohammed Daramy INArone Gadou out

Lineups

Reims
4-2-3-1Coach: Nicolas Usai
Guingamp
4-1-4-1Coach: Sylvain Ripoll
Avg rating6.48
Avg rating6.76
T. Hulsmann6.61T. Hulsmann
J. Mambuku6.121J. Mambuku
Elie6.728Elie
S. Kotto6.622S. Kotto
D. Guindo6.227D. Guindo
T. Leoni6.46T. Leoni
J. Patrick6.330J. Patrick
M. Tia6.287M. Tia
Y. Fofana8.68Y. Fofana
M. Daramy6.29M. Daramy
Y. El Kachati6.810Y. El Kachati
A. Ortola6.016A. Ortola
E. Koffi7.62E. Koffi
D. Gomis7.07D. Gomis
A. Demouchy6.536A. Demouchy
T. Ollila6.65T. Ollila
D. Louiserre7.54D. Louiserre
T. Averlant7.211T. Averlant
T. Ahile6.621T. Ahile
T. Ducrocq6.125T. Ducrocq
S. Ben Brahim5.720S. Ben Brahim
S. Kielt7.818S. Kielt

Reims Substitutes

12E. Omeragic
63A. Zohouri
44M. Okwaro
5J. Otomewo62'for John Patrick64'5.8
61C. Kouranfal79'for Yaya Fofana6.0
62A. Kashi
7T. Diarrassouba
99S. Soumano62'for Youssef el Kachati6.3
48A. Gadou89'for Mohammed Daramy6.5

Guingamp Substitutes

1T. Bartouche-Selbonne
39V. Muntu Wa Mungu67'for Tuomas Ollila6.4
24J. Dianganga
3J. Matumona
23J. Chamakh73'for Teddy Andami Averlant6.6
8F. Sanchez Da Silva67'for Tom Ducrocq6.1
31J. Matondo
17A. Samoura73'for Tanguy Ahile7.2
22B. Bokangu67'for Stanislas Kielt88'7.3

Match Stats

ReimsGuingamp
52%Ball Possession48%
0Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots17
3Shots on Goal7
5Shots off Goal6
5Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots4
13Fouls12
3Offsides1
4Goalkeeper Saves1
502Total Passes454
433Passes Accurate386
12Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

ReimsReims
GuingampGuingamp
1751Elo Rating 1556
1.89Attack 1.22
1.82Defense 1.71
44%Hit Rate 41%
11.9Shots per Game 12.7
4.9Shots on Target 4.7
3.2Corners per Game 4.5
1.3Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+195 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.21 goals
📈BTTS Trend
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

ReimsReims
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
GuingampGuingamp
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

ReimsReims2Wins · 100%
Draws00%
GuingampGuingamp0Wins · 0%
1.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Ligue 221/03/2026
GuingampReims
02
Ligue 216/08/2025
ReimsGuingamp
10

Recent Form

ReimsReims
5W4D1L
29/08/2026
RED Star FC 93Reims
14
W
24/08/2026
ReimsAnnecy
31
W
14/08/2026
ReimsDunkerque
33
D
08/08/2026
Clermont FootReims
00
D
01/08/2026
KortrijkReims
12
W
25/07/2026
ReimsCercle Brugge
30
W
22/07/2026
AmiensReims
11
D
18/07/2026
Paris FCReims
10
L
15/07/2026
ReimsFrancs Borains
41
W
11/07/2026
CharleroiReims
22
D
GuingampGuingamp
1W2D7L
29/08/2026
GuingampNantes
33
D
21/08/2026
SochauxGuingamp
10
L
14/08/2026
GuingampBoulogne
10
W
08/08/2026
MetzGuingamp
21
L
01/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Guingamp
33
D
25/07/2026
GuingampLorient
02
L
22/07/2026
GuingampConcarneau
01
L
17/07/2026
RennesGuingamp
31
L
09/05/2026
Clermont FootGuingamp
10
L
02/05/2026
GuingampBastia
01
L

Referee Profile

Tifenn Leprodhomme76 matches

3.21Cards per match
3.05Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
27.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tifenn Leprodhomme3.21
Other referees4.27

3.21 cards a match, 1.06 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.27).

Cards come from 19 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Ligue 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1081123:8+1525WWWDL
2MontpellierMontpellier1063113:6+721WWWDW
3NancyNancy1061312:8+419WWWWL
4ReimsReims1046020:12+818DWDDW
5PAUPAU1052313:10+317WWWWL
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931052313:12+117LLWWW
7AnnecyAnnecy1051414:12+216WLWLL
8MetzMetz1035216:14+214DWLDL
9DijonDijon1033417:18-112LLWWW
10DunkerqueDunkerque1033414:16-212DWLLW
11GuingampGuingamp1032513:15-211WLLLW
12SochauxSochaux102538:12-411LLDDW
13BoulogneBoulogne101727:7010DWDLD
14RodezRodez1031616:22-610WLLLL
15NantesNantes1022611:17-68LLDWL
16GrenobleGrenoble102269:17-88LLLDW
17Clermont FootClermont Foot100739:14-57LDLDD
18LavalLaval1013613:21-86LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Saint EtienneSaint Etienne1023:825
2MontpellierMontpellier1013:621
3NancyNancy1012:819
4ReimsReims1020:1218
5PAUPAU1013:1017
6RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 931013:1217
7AnnecyAnnecy1014:1216
8MetzMetz1016:1414
9DijonDijon1017:1812
10DunkerqueDunkerque1014:1612
11GuingampGuingamp1013:1511
12SochauxSochaux108:1211
13BoulogneBoulogne107:710
14RodezRodez1016:2210
15NantesNantes1011:178
16GrenobleGrenoble109:178
17Clermont FootClermont Foot109:147
18LavalLaval1013:216
PromotionRelegation

About the Reims vs Guingamp forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 2 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Reims and Guingamp in the Ligue 2 table

In the Ligue 2 table, Reims are 4th and Guingamp 11th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Reims 20-12, Guingamp 13-15. The full standings are on the Ligue 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Reims and Guingamp have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.