Riga Mariners vs Skanste Prediction

1. LigaLatvia Latvia · Regular Season - 23
Riga Mariners
4-3
Finished
HT 1-2
Skanste
17/10/2026
Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
4-3
Finished
SkansteSkanste

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.27
SignalHIGHModel73%SurpriseMediumGap-3.2%
Riga Mariners Rest
7 days
Skanste Rest
7 days

Riga Mariners vs Skanste: the result in context

Riga Mariners beat Skanste 4-3 in the 1. Liga on 17 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.27
X
15%5.37
2
11%6.85
Double Chance
1X
89%1.02
X2
26%3.12
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'D. BaltrusaitisAssist: P. Pinkulis
27'D. BaltrusaitisAssist: M. Lampty
38'M. Lampty
38'M. Lampty
40'A. Grazis
49'R. OwusuAssist: A. Pavlovskis
54'A. PavlovskisAssist: R. Owusu
57'L. Livcans
82'A. PavlovskisAssist: A. Grazis

Team Comparison

Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
SkansteSkanste
1690Elo Rating 1416
3.34Attack 1.52
0.37Defense 0.30
66%Hit Rate 14%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+273 Elo
📈BTTS Trend33% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.3 vs 1.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
SkansteSkanste
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Riga MarinersRiga Mariners3Wins · 100%
Draws00%
SkansteSkanste0Wins · 0%
2.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

1. Liga14/06/2026
SkansteRiga Mariners
02
1. Liga02/08/2025
SkansteRiga Mariners
23
1. Liga05/04/2025
Riga MarinersSkanste
10

Recent Form

Riga MarinersRiga Mariners
6W1D3L
10/10/2026
Metta / LURiga Mariners
40
L
19/09/2026
Valmiera / BSSRiga Mariners
24
W
12/09/2026
SmilteneRiga Mariners
41
L
05/09/2026
Riga MarinersRēzekne FA
50
W
29/08/2026
Riga MarinersRīgas FS II
31
W
24/08/2026
Riga FC IIRiga Mariners
13
W
09/08/2026
Riga MarinersTukums II
42
W
31/07/2026
Super Nova 2Riga Mariners
03
W
25/07/2026
Riga MarinersJFK Ventspils
11
D
18/07/2026
Leevon / PPKRiga Mariners
21
L
SkansteSkanste
4W1D5L
10/10/2026
SkansteJDFS Alberts
02
L
20/09/2026
JFK VentspilsSkanste
10
L
14/09/2026
Rīgas FS IISkanste
34
W
07/09/2026
Riga FC IISkanste
32
L
30/08/2026
SkansteTukums II
62
W
23/08/2026
Super Nova 2Skanste
11
D
08/08/2026
SkansteRēzekne FA
51
W
01/08/2026
SkansteMārupe
42
W
25/07/2026
Leevon / PPKSkanste
21
L
18/07/2026
SkansteValmiera / BSS
03
L

League Table

1. Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Metta / LUMetta / LU252131100:19+8166WWWWW
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS25176266:26+4057DWDDL
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners25175363:32+3156WWWLW
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK25166349:29+2054DLDWW
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts25135752:36+1644LWDWL
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2597940:40034DWDWD
7MārupeMārupe251041139:41-234DLDWD
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 225781035:40-529LWLDL
9SkansteSkanste25821548:53-526LLLLL
10SmilteneSmiltene25661338:63-2524DWDWW
11Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II25631641:70-2921WLWLL
12Tukums IITukums II25551532:69-3720DLDLW
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils25471429:48-1919WLDLL
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA25132117:83-666LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Metta / LUMetta / LU25100:1966
2Valmiera / BSSValmiera / BSS2566:2657
3Riga MarinersRiga Mariners2563:3256
4Leevon / PPKLeevon / PPK2549:2954
5JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts2552:3644
6Riga FC IIRiga FC II2540:4034
7MārupeMārupe2539:4134
8Super Nova 2Super Nova 22535:4029
9SkansteSkanste2548:5326
10SmilteneSmiltene2538:6324
11Rīgas FS IIRīgas FS II2541:7021
12Tukums IITukums II2532:6920
13JFK VentspilsJFK Ventspils2529:4819
14Rēzekne FARēzekne FA2517:836

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About the Riga Mariners vs Skanste forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Riga Mariners and Skanste in the 1. Liga table

In the 1. Liga table, Riga Mariners are 3rd and Skanste 9th, 30 points apart. League goal record so far: Riga Mariners 63-32, Skanste 48-53. The full standings are on the 1. Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.