Rotor Volgograd vs FC Sochi Prediction

Rotor Volgograd
0-1
Finished
HT 0-1
FC Sochi
Volgograd Arena, Volgograd 16/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.41
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseMediumGap-2.1%
Rotor Volgograd Rest
6 days
FC Sochi Rest
5 days

Rotor Volgograd vs FC Sochi: the result in context

FC Sochi beat Rotor Volgograd 1-0 in the First League on 16 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
38%2.55
X
31%3.18
2
31%2.70
Double Chance
1X
69%1.41
X2
62%1.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.84
No
54%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.25 + 0.95 = 2.20
Over 1.5
67%1.33
Over 2.5
43%2.18
Over 3.5
22%3.80
Under 1.5
33%2.83
Under 2.5
57%1.69
Under 3.5
78%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'Nikolay Pokidyshev INGeorgiy Yudintsev out
17'Mikhail Ignatov
42'Nemanja Stojic
51'Ilya Rodionov
59'Artem Simonyan INSaid Aliev out
63'Aleksandr Troshechkin
67'Abu-Said Eldarushev INAleksandr Khubulov out
67'Ilya Rodionov INAleksandr Khokhlachev out
67'Irakliy Manelov INEgor Danilkin out
75'Aleksandr Osipov INOleg Kozhemyakin out
83'Zakhar Fedorov INPavel Meleshin out
83'Mikhail Ignatov INMaksim Kuzmin out
83'Aleksandr Metsiev INRamil Sheydayev out
88'Mikhail Umnikov
90+2'Ruslan Magal INRoman Pasevich out
90+2'Timofey Mitrov

Lineups

Rotor Volgograd
4-1-4-1Coach: Dmitriy Parfenov
FC Sochi
3-4-2-1Coach: Igor Osinjkin
N. Chagrov13N. Chagrov
N. Pokidyshev17N. Pokidyshev
Emmersón25Emmersón
A. Kleshchenko24A. Kleshchenko
A. Khityaev29A. Khityaev
M. Umnikov6M. Umnikov
I. Manelov2I. Manelov
A. Simonyan10A. Simonyan
A. Troshechkin5A. Troshechkin
I. Rodionov18I. Rodionov
A. Eldarushev11A. Eldarushev
T. Mitrov51T. Mitrov
N. Stojić44N. Stojić
Marcelo Alves33M. Alves
A. Soldatenkov3A. Soldatenkov
K. Zaika27K. Zaika
A. Osipov5A. Osipov
A. Metsiev66A. Metsiev
A. Makarchuk17A. Makarchuk
M. Ignatov8M. Ignatov
R. Magal28R. Magal
Z. Fedorov9Z. Fedorov

Rotor Volgograd Substitutes

1V. Sugrobov
9S. Aliev59'for Artem Simonyan
12A. Revazov
22A. Tsaraev
8T. Ayupov
4G. Yudintsev17'for Nikolay Pokidyshev
15E. Danilkin67'for Irakliy Manelov
7A. Khokhlachev67'for Ilya Rodionov
28A. Khubulov67'for Abu-Said Eldarushev
20I. Litvenok

FC Sochi Substitutes

85D. Silev
7R. Şeydayev83'for Aleksandr Metsiev
97R. Pasevich90+2'for Ruslan Magal
60M. Nosaty
11P. Meleshin83'for Zakhar Fedorov
6M. Kuzmin83'for Mikhail Ignatov
22O. Kozhemyakin75'for Aleksandr Osipov
59R. Bart

Match Stats

Rotor VolgogradFC Sochi
61%Ball Possession39%
3Corner Kicks3
3Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots6
4Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal3
0Blocked Shots0

Team Comparison

Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd
FC SochiFC Sochi
1489Elo Rating 1522
1.55Attack 1.68
2.11Defense 2.42
31%Hit Rate 83%
8.4Shots per Game 7.3
3.7Shots on Target 2.7
4.4Corners per Game 5.1
2.4Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FC SochiFC Sochi
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd0Wins · 0%
Draws250%
FC SochiFC Sochi2Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

First League08/11/2024
Rotor VolgogradFC Sochi
11
First League14/09/2024
FC SochiRotor Volgograd
00
Premier League07/05/2021
PFC SochiRotor Volgograd
21
Premier League22/08/2020
Rotor VolgogradPFC Sochi
12

Recent Form

Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd
3W3D4L
10/10/2026
Rotor VolgogradVolga Ulyanovsk
22
D
17/09/2026
TekstilshchikRotor Volgograd
02
W
13/09/2026
Rotor VolgogradEnisey
40
W
09/09/2026
Volna NizhegorodskayaRotor Volgograd
20
L
05/09/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlRotor Volgograd
22
D
31/08/2026
Spartak KostromaRotor Volgograd
10
L
24/08/2026
Rotor VolgogradFK Neftekhimik
01
L
20/08/2026
Arsenal TulaRotor Volgograd
21
L
14/08/2026
Rotor VolgogradUral
11
D
09/08/2026
Rotor VolgogradChelyabinsk
41
W
FC SochiFC Sochi
7W1D2L
11/10/2026
FC SochiFC UFA
10
W
18/09/2026
FC SochiSka-khabarovsk
11
D
14/09/2026
VelesFC Sochi
12
W
09/09/2026
Dinamo St. PetersburgFC Sochi
20
L
05/09/2026
FC SochiNizhny Novgorod
01
L
30/08/2026
FC SochiChelyabinsk
21
W
24/08/2026
KAMAZFC Sochi
23
W
20/08/2026
FK NeftekhimikFC Sochi
12
W
16/08/2026
FC SochiVolga Ulyanovsk
10
W
08/08/2026
Torpedo MoskvaFC Sochi
12
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod16141148:15+3343WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi16102426:17+932LWWWD
3UralUral1694327:11+1631WWLLW
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1685328:13+1529DDWWD
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1684422:16+628DLWLL
6VelesVeles1784521:20+128DLDWL
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1658320:17+323LWDWD
8FC UFAFC UFA1657418:15+322DLWLD
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1764722:23-122DWWDW
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1655623:18+520DDLDW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1654719:33-1419LWLWL
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1653821:26-518WLLWD
13LeningradetsLeningradets1645715:26-1117WDLLW
14KAMAZKAMAZ1635820:28-814DLWDW
15EniseyEnisey1635816:33-1714LLLLD
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1634920:28-813WWLDD
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik16411111:24-1313LDLLL
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1625912:26-1411DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1648:1543
2FC SochiFC Sochi1626:1732
3UralUral1627:1131
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1628:1329
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1622:1628
6VelesVeles1721:2028
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1620:1723
8FC UFAFC UFA1618:1522
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1722:2322
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1623:1820
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1619:3319
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1621:2618
13LeningradetsLeningradets1615:2617
14KAMAZKAMAZ1620:2814
15EniseyEnisey1616:3314
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1620:2813
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1611:2413
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1612:2611

About the Rotor Volgograd vs FC Sochi forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Rotor Volgograd and FC Sochi in the First League table

In the First League table, FC Sochi are 2nd and Rotor Volgograd 10th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Rotor Volgograd 23-18, FC Sochi 26-17. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.