Torpedo Moskva vs FC Sochi Prediction

Torpedo Moskva
1-2
Finished
HT 1-1
FC Sochi
Arena Khimki, Khimki·O. Gusakov 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.70
SignalSOLIDModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+6.7%
Torpedo Moskva Rest
6 days
FC Sochi Rest
7 days

Torpedo Moskva vs FC Sochi: result, form and history

FC Sochi beat Torpedo Moskva 2-1 in the First League on 8 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Torpedo Moskva had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for FC Sochi.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%2.44
X
22%3.11
2
13%2.88
Double Chance
1X
87%1.36
X2
35%1.49
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.82
No
56%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.34
Over 2.5
38%2.15
Over 3.5
18%3.69
Under 1.5
36%2.88
Under 2.5
62%1.70
Under 3.5
82%1.21
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

13'I. Kalinin
18'D. Tsypchenko
26'A. Osipov
42'A. Kashtanov
45'M. Camara
45+3'S. Borodin
58'A. Soldatenkov
58'
60'M. Camara INR. Apekov out
64'Z. Fedorov INP. Meleshin out
64'M. Kuzmin INM. Kaynov out
64'M. Ignatov INR. Ezhov out
76'R. Magal
80'I. Berkovsky INA. Isadibirov out
82'K. Zaika INA. Makarchuk out
82'A. Pogosov INA. Galoyan out
83'R. Ezhov
87'I. Kalinin INR. Bart out
89'P. Meleshin

Lineups

Torpedo Moskva
Coach: Aleksandr Storozhuk
FC Sochi
Coach: Igor Osinkin

Torpedo Moskva Starting XI

25Rostislav Soldatenko
99Gleb Shevchenko
2Nikita Bozov
4Sergey Borodin45+3'
17Ilya Berkovskiy80'replaced by A. Isadibirov
33Mamadou Harouna Camara45'60'replaced by R. Apekov
27Aleksandr Orekhov
10Dmitriy Tsypchenko18'
44Daniil Kornyushin
24Artem Pogosov82'replaced by A. Galoyan
79Aleksey Kashtanov42'

FC Sochi Starting XI

35Aleksandr Degtev
3Aleksandr Soldatenkov58'
13Igor Kalinin13'87'replaced by R. Bart
4Vyacheslav Litvinov
27Kirill Zaika82'replaced by A. Makarchuk
5Aleksandr Osipov26'
6Maksim Kuzmin64'replaced by M. Kaynov
44Nemanja Stojić
28Ruslan Magal76'
9Zakhar Fedorov64'replaced by P. Meleshin
8Mikhail Ignatov64'replaced by R. Ezhov

Torpedo Moskva Substitutes

11Ruslan Apekov60'for M. Camara
19Abdurazak Isadibirov80'for I. Berkovsky
21Artur Galoyan82'for A. Pogosov
58Danil Ladokha
23Egor Baburin
84Vadim Churilov
3Aleksandr Ivankov
8Akorede Usman Ajibona
97Mario Ćurić
90Bojan Roganović
5Vladimir Moskvichev

FC Sochi Substitutes

18Maksim Kaynov64'for M. Kuzmin
29Roman Ezhov64'for M. Ignatov83'
11Pavel Meleshin64'for Z. Fedorov89'
17Artem Makarchuk82'for K. Zaika
59Ruslan Bart87'for I. Kalinin
85Daniil Silev
33Marcelo Alves
66Aleksandr Metsiev
60Mark Nosatiy
97Roman Pasevich

Team Comparison

Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva
FC SochiFC Sochi
1548Elo Rating 1522
1.45Attack 1.68
2.17Defense 2.42
42%Hit Rate 83%
5.8Shots per Game 7.3
2.2Shots on Target 2.7
3.2Corners per Game 5.1
0.9Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FC SochiFC Sochi
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva3Wins · 43%
Draws229%
FC SochiFC Sochi2Wins · 28%
3.1Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs03/07/2026
FC SochiTorpedo Moskva
03
First League17/05/2025
FC SochiTorpedo Moskva
01
First League29/09/2024
Torpedo MoskvaFC Sochi
22
Premier League30/04/2023
PFC SochiTorpedo Moskva
31
Cup22/11/2022
Torpedo MoskvaPFC Sochi
11
Cup14/09/2022
PFC SochiTorpedo Moskva
13
Premier League17/07/2022
Torpedo MoskvaPFC Sochi
13

Recent Form

Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva
7W2D1L
02/08/2026
Arsenal TulaTorpedo Moskva
10
L
26/07/2026
Torpedo MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
11
D
19/07/2026
Torpedo MoskvaVolga Ulyanovsk
31
W
13/07/2026
UralTorpedo Moskva
01
W
03/07/2026
FC SochiTorpedo Moskva
03
W
27/06/2026
DynamoTorpedo Moskva
02
W
22/06/2026
Torpedo MoskvaVolga Ulyanovsk
10
W
16/05/2026
Torpedo MoskvaEnisey
10
W
11/05/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlTorpedo Moskva
11
D
03/05/2026
ChaykaTorpedo Moskva
02
W
FC SochiFC Sochi
3W3D4L
01/08/2026
LeningradetsFC Sochi
21
L
26/07/2026
FC SochiArsenal Tula
50
W
19/07/2026
FC SochiSpartak Kostroma
02
L
12/07/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlFC Sochi
22
D
03/07/2026
FC SochiTorpedo Moskva
03
L
30/06/2026
FC SochiSka-khabarovsk
42
W
26/06/2026
FC SochiArsenal Tula
33
D
17/05/2026
FC SochiAkhmat
11
D
10/05/2026
ZenitFC Sochi
21
L
03/05/2026
FC SochiFC Orenburg
31
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod16141148:15+3343WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi16102426:17+932LWWWD
3UralUral1694327:11+1631WWLLW
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1685328:13+1529DDWWD
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1684422:16+628DLWLL
6VelesVeles1784521:20+128DLDWL
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1658320:17+323LWDWD
8FC UFAFC UFA1657418:15+322DLWLD
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1764722:23-122DWWDW
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1655623:18+520DDLDW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1654719:33-1419LWLWL
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1653821:26-518WLLWD
13LeningradetsLeningradets1645715:26-1117WDLLW
14KAMAZKAMAZ1635820:28-814DLWDW
15EniseyEnisey1635816:33-1714LLLLD
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1634920:28-813WWLDD
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik16411111:24-1313LDLLL
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1625912:26-1411DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1648:1543
2FC SochiFC Sochi1626:1732
3UralUral1627:1131
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1628:1329
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1622:1628
6VelesVeles1721:2028
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1620:1723
8FC UFAFC UFA1618:1522
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1722:2322
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1623:1820
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1619:3319
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1621:2618
13LeningradetsLeningradets1615:2617
14KAMAZKAMAZ1620:2814
15EniseyEnisey1616:3314
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1620:2813
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1611:2413
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1612:2611

About the Torpedo Moskva vs FC Sochi forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Torpedo Moskva and FC Sochi in the First League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: FC Sochi are 2nd in the First League, 3 points ahead of Torpedo Moskva in 4th. League goal record so far: Torpedo Moskva 28-13, FC Sochi 26-17. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Torpedo Moskva have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.