Ural vs FC UFA Prediction

First LeagueRussia Russia · Regular Season - 5
Ural
3-0
Finished
HT 1-0
FC UFA
Yekaterinburg Arena, Yekaterinburg·S. Fedotov 08/08/2026
UralUral
3-0
Finished
FC UFAFC UFA

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.66
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
Ural Rest
6 days
FC UFA Rest
5 days

Ural vs FC UFA: the result in context

Ural beat FC UFA 3-0 in the First League on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Ural have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.55
X
26%3.75
2
20%6.10
Double Chance
1X
80%1.09
X2
46%2.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.22
No
56%1.59
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.34
Over 2.5
38%2.19
Over 3.5
18%3.94
Under 1.5
36%2.83
Under 2.5
62%1.66
Under 3.5
82%1.18
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

38'V. Malkevich
54'D. Tikhiy
56'A. Gilyazetdinov
64'D. Akhatov INM. Yakuev out
68'K. Bayramyan INI. Skoropupov out
71'D. Lipovoy INM. Ageyan out
77'M. Sekulic
78'M. Sekulic
79'M. Sekulic INB. Fourrier out
79'S. Begic INR. Shoronov out
81'I. Khanenko IND. Ozmanov out
81'S. Isaev INT. Shipunov out
86'I. Ishkov IND. Bokov out
86'Leo Cordeiro INV. Bondarev out
89'T. Shipunov
90'I. Skoropupov

Lineups

Ural
Coach: Sergey Yuran
FC UFA
Coach: Omari Tetradze

Ural Starting XI

57Aleksandr Selikhov
2Silvije Begić79'for R. Shoronov
15Dmitriy Tikhiy54'
46Artem Mamin
44Vladislav Malkevich38'
19Khoren Bayramyan68'replaced by I. Skoropupov
6Fanil Sungatulin
24Aleksandr Korotkov
97Ilya Ishkov86'replaced by D. Bokov
22Léo Cordeiro86'replaced by V. Bondarev
10Martin Sekulić77'78'79'replaced by B. Fourrier

FC UFA Starting XI

31Aleksandr Belenov
43Artur Gilyazetdinov56'
5Denis Kutin
14Ilya Agapov
69Ilya Khanenko81'replaced by D. Ozmanov
6Zaur Tarba
23Danil Akhatov64'replaced by M. Yakuev
9Danil Lipovoy71'replaced by M. Ageyan
8Shamil Isaev81'replaced by T. Shipunov
79Konstantin Troyanov
70Dilan Ortíz

Ural Substitutes

28Ilya Skoropupov68'for K. Bayramyan90'
43Roman Shoronov
37Vitaliy Bondarev86'for Leo Cordeiro
11Denis Bokov86'for I. Ishkov
86Ivan Kuznetsov
17Vladislav Karapuzov
9Egor Mosin
35Dmitriy Prishchepa
18Nikita Morozov
99Bertrand Fourrier79'for M. Sekulic

FC UFA Substitutes

11Magomed Yakuev64'for D. Akhatov
88Migran Ageyan71'for D. Lipovoy
17David Ozmanov81'for I. Khanenko
20Timofey Shipunov81'for S. Isaev89'
1Timur Kraykov
99Andrey Evdokimov
7Akhmed Davlitgereev
48Aleksandr Lukyanov
97Artem Polesovshchikov

Team Comparison

UralUral
FC UFAFC UFA
1552Elo Rating 1443
1.70Attack 0.60
1.72Defense 2.25
58%Hit Rate 23%
6.1Shots per Game 5.9
2.7Shots on Target 3.2
5.5Corners per Game 4.3
3.8Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+108 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

UralUral
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FC UFAFC UFA
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

UralUral6Wins · 67%
Draws222%
FC UFAFC UFA1Wins · 11%
2.2Avg Goals
44%Both teams scored4 of 9
56%3+ goals5 of 9

Previous meetings

First League12/04/2026
UralFC UFA
00
First League15/09/2025
FC UFAUral
23
First League11/05/2025
UralFC UFA
21
First League12/08/2024
FC UFAUral
02
Premier League23/04/2022
UralFC UFA
21
Premier League03/10/2021
FC UFAUral
01
Premier League07/03/2021
UralFC UFA
00
Cup03/03/2021
FC UFAUral
30
Premier League01/11/2020
FC UFAUral
12

Recent Form

UralUral
3W2D5L
02/08/2026
Ska-khabarovskUral
03
W26/07/2026
LeningradetsUral
00
D19/07/2026
UralEnisey
30
W
13/07/2026
UralTorpedo Moskva
01
L
04/07/2026
UralChelyabinsk
11
D
23/05/2026
Dinamo MakhachkalaUral
20
L
20/05/2026
UralDinamo Makhachkala
01
L
16/05/2026
ChernomoretsUral
21
L
11/05/2026
UralKAMAZ
20
W
04/05/2026
UralShinnik Yaroslavl
01
L
FC UFAFC UFA
4W2D4L
03/08/2026
FC UFAKAMAZ
11
D26/07/2026
FC UFASka-khabarovsk
10
W19/07/2026
TekstilshchikFC UFA
22
D11/07/2026
FC UFALeningradets
30
W
28/06/2026
Rotor VolgogradFC UFA
10
L
16/05/2026
Spartak KostromaFC UFA
01
W
10/05/2026
FC UFARotor Volgograd
10
W
03/05/2026
Ska-khabarovskFC UFA
30
L
26/04/2026
Rodina MoskvaFC UFA
10
L
22/04/2026
FC UFAKAMAZ
01
L

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod16141148:15+3343WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi16102426:17+932LWWWD
3UralUral1694327:11+1631WWLLW
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1685328:13+1529DDWWD
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1684422:16+628DLWLL
6VelesVeles1784521:20+128DLDWL
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1658320:17+323LWDWD
8FC UFAFC UFA1657418:15+322DLWLD
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1764722:23-122DWWDW
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1655623:18+520DDLDW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1654719:33-1419LWLWL
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1653821:26-518WLLWD
13LeningradetsLeningradets1645715:26-1117WDLLW
14KAMAZKAMAZ1635820:28-814DLWDW
15EniseyEnisey1635816:33-1714LLLLD
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1634920:28-813WWLDD
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik16411111:24-1313LDLLL
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1625912:26-1411DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1648:1543
2FC SochiFC Sochi1626:1732
3UralUral1627:1131
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1628:1329
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1622:1628
6VelesVeles1721:2028
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1620:1723
8FC UFAFC UFA1618:1522
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1722:2322
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1623:1820
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1619:3319
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1621:2618
13LeningradetsLeningradets1615:2617
14KAMAZKAMAZ1620:2814
15EniseyEnisey1616:3314
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1620:2813
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1611:2413
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1612:2611

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About the Ural vs FC UFA forecast

The forecasts for this First League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ural and FC UFA in the First League table

In the First League table, Ural are 3rd and FC UFA 8th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Ural 27-11, FC UFA 18-15. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.