Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Arsenal Tula Prediction
Russia · Regular Season - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Arsenal Tula: result, form and history
Shinnik Yaroslavl and Arsenal Tula drew 2-2 in the First League on 8 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Shinnik Yaroslavl have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 8 previous meetings, which averaged 2.0 goals a game. Referee A. Lapatukhin is among the more lenient referees we track, at 3.7 cards a game.
Match Forecasts
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl Starting XI
Arsenal Tula Starting XI
Shinnik Yaroslavl Substitutes
Arsenal Tula Substitutes
Team Comparison
Shinnik YaroslavlArsenal TulaAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Shinnik Yaroslavl- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0 in second half)
Arsenal Tula- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Shinnik Yaroslavl5Wins · 63%1Wins · 12%Previous meetings
18/04/2026Shinnik YaroslavlArsenal Tula25/07/2025Arsenal TulaShinnik Yaroslavl20/04/2025Shinnik YaroslavlArsenal Tula26/10/2024Arsenal TulaShinnik Yaroslavl25/05/2024Shinnik YaroslavlArsenal Tula17/09/2023Arsenal TulaShinnik Yaroslavl21/05/2023Arsenal TulaShinnik Yaroslavl28/10/2022Shinnik YaroslavlArsenal TulaRecent Form
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Nizhny NovgorodShinnik Yaroslavl
Torpedo MoskvaShinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
LeningradetsShinnik Yaroslavl
FC Sochi
CSKA MoscowShinnik Yaroslavl
ChelyabinskShinnik YaroslavlShinnik YaroslavlTorpedo Moskva
UralShinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
Ska-khabarovsk
FakelShinnik YaroslavlArsenal TulaArsenal TulaTorpedo MoskvaFC SochiArsenal TulaArsenal Tula
FK NeftekhimikArsenal Tula
TekstilshchikCSKA MoscowArsenal TulaFC SochiArsenal TulaArsenal Tula
Spartak KostromaArsenal Tula
Volga UlyanovskArsenal Tula
Rodina Moskva
EniseyArsenal TulaReferee Profile
Strictness
Stricter than 9% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 16 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 48:15 | +33 | 43 | WWWWW |
| 2 | FC Sochi | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 26:17 | +9 | 32 | LWWWD |
| 3 | Ural | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 27:11 | +16 | 31 | WWLLW |
| 4 | Torpedo Moskva | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28:13 | +15 | 29 | DDWWD |
| 5 | Spartak Kostroma | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 28 | DLWLL |
| 6 |  Veles | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21:20 | +1 | 28 | DLDWL |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 23 | LWDWD |
| 8 |  FC UFA | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:15 | +3 | 22 | DLWLD |
| 9 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 22 | DWWDW |
| 10 |  Rotor Volgograd | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:18 | +5 | 20 | DDLDW |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:33 | -14 | 19 | LWLWL |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 | WLLWD |
| 13 | Leningradets | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:26 | -11 | 17 | WDLLW |
| 14 |  KAMAZ | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 20:28 | -8 | 14 | DLWDW |
| 15 | Enisey | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:33 | -17 | 14 | LLLLD |
| 16 | Ska-khabarovsk | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 20:28 | -8 | 13 | WWLDD |
| 17 | FK Neftekhimik | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 11:24 | -13 | 13 | LDLLL |
| 18 | Tekstilshchik | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 12:26 | -14 | 11 | DLWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nizhny Novgorod | 16 | 48:15 | 43 |
| 2 | FC Sochi | 16 | 26:17 | 32 |
| 3 | Ural | 16 | 27:11 | 31 |
| 4 | Torpedo Moskva | 16 | 28:13 | 29 |
| 5 | Spartak Kostroma | 16 | 22:16 | 28 |
| 6 | Veles | 17 | 21:20 | 28 |
| 7 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 16 | 20:17 | 23 |
| 8 | FC UFA | 16 | 18:15 | 22 |
| 9 | Volga Ulyanovsk | 17 | 22:23 | 22 |
| 10 | Rotor Volgograd | 16 | 23:18 | 20 |
| 11 | Arsenal Tula | 16 | 19:33 | 19 |
| 12 | Chelyabinsk | 16 | 21:26 | 18 |
| 13 | Leningradets | 16 | 15:26 | 17 |
| 14 | KAMAZ | 16 | 20:28 | 14 |
| 15 | Enisey | 16 | 16:33 | 14 |
| 16 | Ska-khabarovsk | 16 | 20:28 | 13 |
| 17 | FK Neftekhimik | 16 | 11:24 | 13 |
| 18 | Tekstilshchik | 16 | 12:26 | 11 |
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About the Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Arsenal Tula forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Shinnik Yaroslavl and Arsenal Tula in the First League table
In the First League table, Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th and Arsenal Tula 11th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Shinnik Yaroslavl 20-17, Arsenal Tula 19-33. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Shinnik Yaroslavl have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.