FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula Prediction

FC Sochi
5-0
Finished
HT 3-0
Arsenal Tula
Fisht Olympic Stadium, Sochi 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel33%SurpriseHighGap+5.5%
FC Sochi Rest
7 days
Arsenal Tula Rest
6 days

FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula: result, form and history

FC Sochi beat Arsenal Tula 5-0 in the First League on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 4.0 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them. FC Sochi tend to win more corners, 5.1 a game to 3.0 for Arsenal Tula.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.86
X
27%3.27
2
29%4.42
Double Chance
1X
71%1.18
X2
56%1.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.97
No
56%1.73
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.35
Over 2.5
38%2.17
Over 3.5
18%3.72
Under 1.5
36%2.75
Under 2.5
62%1.68
Under 3.5
82%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'M. Ignatov
24'K. Zaika
27'P. Meleshin
30'M. Ignatov
40'A. Osipov
44'Y. Krashevskiy
46'N. Razdorskikh IND. Shamkin out
46'I. Enin INM. Brnovic out
46'D. Plotnikov INE. Reyes out
53'D. Shamkin
56'M. Ignatov
60'V. Litvinov INR. Bart out
60'K. Zaika INI. Kalinin out
64'D. Davidyan
65'I. Gorbunov INN. Glushkov out
68'P. Meleshin INZ. Fedorov out
68'A. Osipov INM. Kaynov out
77'R. Magomedov INT. Melekestsev out
77'M. Ignatov INN. Stojic out
82'Z. Fedorov
86'Y. Krashevskiy
86'Y. Krashevskiy

Lineups

FC Sochi
3-4-3Coach: Igor Osinkin
Arsenal Tula
4-4-2Coach: Dmitry Gunko
Aleksandr Degtev35A. Degtev
Vyacheslav Litvinov4V. Litvinov
Marcelo Alves33M. Alves
Aleksandr Soldatenkov3A. Soldatenkov
Kirill Zaika27K. Zaika
Aleksandr Osipov5A. Osipov
Maksim Kuzmin6M. Kuzmin
Artem Makarchuk17A. Makarchuk
Ruslan Magal28R. Magal
Pavel Meleshin11P. Meleshin
Mikhail Ignatov8M. Ignatov
Aleksandr Melikhov42A. Melikhov
Daniil Penchikov4D. Penchikov
Kirill Gotsuk24K. Gotsuk
Nikita Karmaev45N. Karmaev
Yaroslav Krashevskiy5Y. Krashevskiy
David Davidyan9D. Davidyan
Ivan Enin35I. Enin
Daniil Plotnikov77D. Plotnikov
Igor Gorbunov17I. Gorbunov
Rashid Magomedov11R. Magomedov
Nikita Razdorskikh21N. Razdorskikh

FC Sochi Substitutes

13Igor Kalinin60'for K. Zaika
59Ruslan Bart60'for V. Litvinov
9Zakhar Fedorov68'for P. Meleshin82'
18Maksim Kaynov68'for A. Osipov
44Nemanja Stojić77'for M. Ignatov
39Matvey Lantrat
85Daniil Silev
37Makar Chirkov
60Mark Nosatiy
66Aleksandr Metsiev
97Roman Pasevich

Arsenal Tula Substitutes

7Edarlyn Reyes46'for D. Plotnikov
14Miloš Brnović46'for I. Enin
8Daniil Shamkin46'for N. Razdorskikh53'
19Nikita Glushkov65'for I. Gorbunov
23Timur Melekestsev77'for R. Magomedov
18Mikhail Tsulaya
44Oleg Isaenko
82Aleksandr Alekhin
10Ilya Zhigulev
25Artem Biryukov
22Georgiy Uridia
75Timur Zhamaletdinov

Match Stats

FC SochiArsenal Tula
56%Ball Possession44%
4Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
3Shots on Goal4
3Shots off Goal4

Team Comparison

FC SochiFC Sochi
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
1522Elo Rating 1396
1.68Attack 1.55
2.42Defense 0.09
83%Hit Rate 39%
7.3Shots per Game 3.4
2.7Shots on Target 2.7
5.1Corners per Game 3.0
2.6Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+126 Elo
📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

FC SochiFC Sochi
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

FC SochiFC Sochi4Wins · 57%
Draws229%
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1Wins · 14%
4.0Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
71%3+ goals5 of 7

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs26/06/2026
FC SochiArsenal Tula
33
First League03/05/2025
FC SochiArsenal Tula
51
First League13/10/2024
Arsenal TulaFC Sochi
11
Premier League26/02/2022
PFC SochiArsenal Tula
20
Premier League31/10/2021
Arsenal TulaPFC Sochi
12
Premier League27/02/2021
PFC SochiArsenal Tula
40
Premier League20/09/2020
Arsenal TulaPFC Sochi
32

Recent Form

FC SochiFC Sochi
3W3D4L
19/07/2026
FC SochiSpartak Kostroma
02
L
12/07/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlFC Sochi
22
D
03/07/2026
FC SochiTorpedo Moskva
03
L
30/06/2026
FC SochiSka-khabarovsk
42
W
26/06/2026
FC SochiArsenal Tula
33
D
17/05/2026
FC SochiAkhmat
11
D
10/05/2026
ZenitFC Sochi
21
L
03/05/2026
FC SochiFC Orenburg
31
W
26/04/2026
DynamoFC Sochi
20
L
21/04/2026
FC SochiKrylia Sovetov
21
W
Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula
1W5D4L
19/07/2026
Arsenal TulaFK Neftekhimik
01
L
13/07/2026
Arsenal TulaTekstilshchik
21
W
04/07/2026
CSKA MoscowArsenal Tula
11
D
26/06/2026
FC SochiArsenal Tula
33
D
21/06/2026
Arsenal TulaSpartak Kostroma
11
D
17/06/2026
Arsenal TulaVolga Ulyanovsk
12
L
16/05/2026
Arsenal TulaRodina Moskva
14
L
11/05/2026
EniseyArsenal Tula
10
L
04/05/2026
Arsenal TulaRotor Volgograd
22
D
25/04/2026
Spartak KostromaArsenal Tula
11
D

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod16141148:15+3343WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi16102426:17+932LWWWD
3UralUral1694327:11+1631WWLLW
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1685328:13+1529DDWWD
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1684422:16+628DLWLL
6VelesVeles1784521:20+128DLDWL
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1658320:17+323LWDWD
8FC UFAFC UFA1657418:15+322DLWLD
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1764722:23-122DWWDW
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1655623:18+520DDLDW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1654719:33-1419LWLWL
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1653821:26-518WLLWD
13LeningradetsLeningradets1645715:26-1117WDLLW
14KAMAZKAMAZ1635820:28-814DLWDW
15EniseyEnisey1635816:33-1714LLLLD
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1634920:28-813WWLDD
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik16411111:24-1313LDLLL
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1625912:26-1411DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1648:1543
2FC SochiFC Sochi1626:1732
3UralUral1627:1131
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1628:1329
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1622:1628
6VelesVeles1721:2028
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1620:1723
8FC UFAFC UFA1618:1522
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1722:2322
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1623:1820
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1619:3319
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1621:2618
13LeningradetsLeningradets1615:2617
14KAMAZKAMAZ1620:2814
15EniseyEnisey1616:3314
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1620:2813
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1611:2413
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1612:2611

About the FC Sochi vs Arsenal Tula forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FC Sochi and Arsenal Tula in the First League table

In the First League table, FC Sochi are 2nd and Arsenal Tula 11th, 13 points apart. League goal record so far: FC Sochi 26-17, Arsenal Tula 19-33. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.