Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl Prediction

Arena Khimki, Khimki 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel34%SurpriseHighGap+5.9%
Torpedo Moskva Rest
6 days
Shinnik Yaroslavl Rest
7 days

Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl: result, form and history

Torpedo Moskva and Shinnik Yaroslavl drew 1-1 in the First League on 26 Jul 2026. Torpedo Moskva had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 1 for Shinnik Yaroslavl.

Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.6 goals a game across 9 matches. Shinnik Yaroslavl tend to win more corners, 5.8 a game to 3.2 for Torpedo Moskva.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.79
X
25%3.40
2
26%4.45
Double Chance
1X
74%1.17
X2
51%1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.98
No
56%1.72
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.34
Over 2.5
38%2.19
Over 3.5
18%3.84
Under 1.5
36%2.88
Under 2.5
62%1.68
Under 3.5
82%1.18
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

17'D. Mironov
26'O. Lanin
42'A. Pogosov
46'A. Galoyan IND. Tsypchenko out
46'A. Pogosov INA. Orekhov out
52'A. Kashtanov
56'I. Porokhov INA. Gongapshev out
56'D. Martovoy IND. Samoylov out
62'N. Kotin INI. Shmakov out
65'I. Berkovsky INR. Apekov out
67'N. Chistyakov INM. Karaev out
67'D. Mironov INI. Azyavin out
69'A. Kosogorov
82'M. Camara INU. Ajibona out
88'A. Ivankov

Lineups

Torpedo Moskva
4-4-2Coach: Aleksandr Storozhuk
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3-5-2Coach: Denis Boyarintsev
Rostislav Soldatenko25R. Soldatenko
Gleb Shevchenko99G. Shevchenko
Nikita Bozov4N. Bozov
Sergey Borodin4S. Borodin
Daniil Kornyushin44D. Kornyushin
Mamadou Harouna Camara33M. Harouna Camara
Artem Pogosov24A. Pogosov
Vladimir Moskvichev5V. Moskvichev
Ilya Berkovskiy17I. Berkovskiy
Artur Galoyan21A. Galoyan
Aleksey Kashtanov79A. Kashtanov
Timofey Mitrov51T. Mitrov
Artur Chernyi27A. Chernyi
Vadim Karpov62V. Karpov
Nikita Kotin53N. Kotin
Artemiy Kosogorov32A. Kosogorov
Daniil Martovoy20D. Martovoy
Artem Golubev50A. Golubev
Oleg Lanin64O. Lanin
Nikita Chistyakov23N. Chistyakov
Denis Mironov88D. Mironov
Ilya Porokhov11I. Porokhov

Torpedo Moskva Substitutes

27Aleksandr Orekhov46'for A. Pogosov
10Dmitriy Tsypchenko46'for A. Galoyan
11Ruslan Apekov65'for I. Berkovsky
28Akorede Usman Ajibona
58Danil Ladokha
48Sergey Mokrousov
84Vadim Churilov
3Aleksandr Ivankov88'
90Bojan Roganović
97Mario Ćurić
19Abdurazak Isadibirov
Ivan Dubrovin

Shinnik Yaroslavl Substitutes

15Dmitriy Samoilov56'for D. Martovoy
77Albek Gongapshev56'for I. Porokhov
54Ivan Shmakov62'for N. Kotin
49Maksim Karaev67'for N. Chistyakov
24Ilya Azyavin67'for D. Mironov
95Denis Vambolt
17Eduard Valiakhmetov
7Anton Antonov
15Denis Pushkarev

Team Comparison

Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva
Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
1548Elo Rating 1510
1.45Attack 1.10
2.17Defense 1.72
42%Hit Rate 44%
5.8Shots per Game 5.5
2.2Shots on Target 3.0
3.2Corners per Game 5.8
0.9Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1Wins · 11%
Draws556%
Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl3Wins · 33%
1.6Avg Goals
56%Both teams scored5 of 9
11%3+ goals1 of 9

Previous meetings

First League11/05/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlTorpedo Moskva
11
First League20/10/2025
Torpedo MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
00
First League11/05/2025
Torpedo MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
10
First League21/09/2024
Shinnik YaroslavlTorpedo Moskva
11
First League20/05/2024
Torpedo MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
11
First League28/10/2023
Shinnik YaroslavlTorpedo Moskva
11
First League15/05/2021
Torpedo MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
01
Cup26/08/2020
Torpedo MoskvaShinnik Yaroslavl
12
First League02/08/2020
Shinnik YaroslavlTorpedo Moskva
10

Recent Form

Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva
7W2D1L
19/07/2026
Torpedo MoskvaVolga Ulyanovsk
31
W
13/07/2026
UralTorpedo Moskva
01
W
03/07/2026
FC SochiTorpedo Moskva
03
W
27/06/2026
DynamoTorpedo Moskva
02
W
22/06/2026
Torpedo MoskvaVolga Ulyanovsk
10
W
16/05/2026
Torpedo MoskvaEnisey
10
W
11/05/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlTorpedo Moskva
11
D
03/05/2026
ChaykaTorpedo Moskva
02
W
27/04/2026
Torpedo MoskvaFakel
22
D
22/04/2026
UralTorpedo Moskva
20
L
Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl
5W5D0L
19/07/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlLeningradets
20
W
12/07/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlFC Sochi
22
D
30/06/2026
CSKA MoscowShinnik Yaroslavl
11
D
16/05/2026
ChelyabinskShinnik Yaroslavl
22
D
11/05/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlTorpedo Moskva
11
D
04/05/2026
UralShinnik Yaroslavl
01
W
26/04/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlSka-khabarovsk
30
W
22/04/2026
FakelShinnik Yaroslavl
22
D
18/04/2026
Shinnik YaroslavlArsenal Tula
20
W
12/04/2026
Volga UlyanovskShinnik Yaroslavl
01
W

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod16141148:15+3343WWWWW
2FC SochiFC Sochi16102426:17+932LWWWD
3UralUral1694327:11+1631WWLLW
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1685328:13+1529DDWWD
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1684422:16+628DLWLL
6VelesVeles1784521:20+128DLDWL
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1658320:17+323LWDWD
8FC UFAFC UFA1657418:15+322DLWLD
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1764722:23-122DWWDW
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1655623:18+520DDLDW
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1654719:33-1419LWLWL
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1653821:26-518WLLWD
13LeningradetsLeningradets1645715:26-1117WDLLW
14KAMAZKAMAZ1635820:28-814DLWDW
15EniseyEnisey1635816:33-1714LLLLD
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1634920:28-813WWLDD
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik16411111:24-1313LDLLL
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1625912:26-1411DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod1648:1543
2FC SochiFC Sochi1626:1732
3UralUral1627:1131
4Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva1628:1329
5Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma1622:1628
6VelesVeles1721:2028
7Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl1620:1723
8FC UFAFC UFA1618:1522
9Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk1722:2322
10Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd1623:1820
11Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula1619:3319
12ChelyabinskChelyabinsk1621:2618
13LeningradetsLeningradets1615:2617
14KAMAZKAMAZ1620:2814
15EniseyEnisey1616:3314
16Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk1620:2813
17FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik1611:2413
18TekstilshchikTekstilshchik1612:2611

About the Torpedo Moskva vs Shinnik Yaroslavl forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Torpedo Moskva and Shinnik Yaroslavl in the First League table

In the First League table, Torpedo Moskva are 4th and Shinnik Yaroslavl 7th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Torpedo Moskva 28-13, Shinnik Yaroslavl 20-17. The full standings are on the First League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Torpedo Moskva have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Shinnik Yaroslavl have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.