San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca Prediction
Argentina · Semi-finals
Estadio 17 de Octubre, Formosa 18/10/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-2.5%
San Martin Formosa Rest
6 days
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Rest
6 days
San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca: result, form and history
San Martin Formosa beat Olimpo Bahia Blanca 2-0 in the Torneo Federal A on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 2.0 goals a game across 3 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
142%2.19
X35%2.70
223%3.50
Double Chance
1X76%1.25
X258%1.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes38%2.25
No62%1.56
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.06 + 0.69 = 1.75
Over 1.556%1.57
Over 2.528%2.85
Over 3.57%5.45
Under 1.544%2.25
Under 2.572%1.37
Under 3.593%1.12
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
11'lautaro ceratto
13'Néstor Moiraghi
14'Braian Guille
27'ricardo tapia
39'
57'
Lineups
San Martin FormosaOlimpo Bahia Blanca
Coach: C. MungoSan Martin Formosa Starting XI
9M. Siergiejuk
8R. Tapia27'
1K. Humeler
2O. Piris
10G. Núñez
6D. Leiva
3A. Griego
4B. Finardi
11G. Alegre
5M. Bobadilla
7L. Ceratto11'
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Starting XI
1J. Lungarzo
8C. Amarilla
4A. Bellone
6M. Ferreyra
10B. Guille14'
3L. Lapetina
2N. Moiraghi13'
7M. Olivera
11D. Ramírez
5A. Stancato
9J. Susvielles
San Martin Formosa Substitutes
13Bautista Sanchez
16R. Riquelme
19A. Aquino
18L. Calo
17E. Cuevas
15F. Illanes Machuca
14Matias Leguizamon
20A. Lopez
12P. Morichi
Olimpo Bahia Blanca Substitutes
20F. González
12C. Geist
15S. Fernández
18L. Espejo
14C. Chimino
Match Stats
San Martin FormosaOlimpo Bahia Blanca 57%Ball Possession43%
3Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots7
9Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal4
0Blocked Shots0
0Free Kicks0
Team Comparison
San Martin FormosaOlimpo Bahia Blanca1622Elo Rating 1590
1.13Attack 1.09
2.58Defense 1.73
44%Hit Rate 36%
14.0Shots per Game 10.6
5.4Shots on Target 4.6
4.7Corners per Game 3.2
0.8Cards per Game 2.9
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
San Martin Formosa- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.4 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Olimpo Bahia Blanca- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
San Martin Formosa0Wins · 0%Draws133%
Olimpo Bahia Blanca2Wins · 67%
2Wins · 67%2.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3
Previous meetings
11/10/2026Olimpo Bahia BlancaSan Martin Formosa11
19/10/2024San Martin FormosaOlimpo Bahia Blanca12
12/10/2024Olimpo Bahia BlancaSan Martin Formosa10
Recent Form
San Martin Formosa5W4D1L
11/10/2026Olimpo Bahia BlancaSan Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa
AtenasAtenasSan Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa
Sarmiento de La BandaSan Martin Formosa
9 de Julio Rafaela
Gimnasia ChivilcoySan Martin FormosaSan Martin Formosa
Sportivo Belgrano
Douglas HaigSan Martin Formosa
Olimpo Bahia BlancaSan Martin Formosa11
D04/10/2026San Martin FormosaAtenas11
D28/09/2026AtenasSan Martin Formosa01
W20/09/2026
Bartolomé MitreSan Martin Formosa
13/09/2026Bartolomé MitreSan Martin Formosa00
DSan Martin FormosaSarmiento de La Banda30
W06/09/2026
Defensores de Belgrano VRSan Martin Formosa
23/08/2026Defensores de Belgrano VRSan Martin Formosa10
LSan Martin Formosa9 de Julio Rafaela21
W16/08/2026Gimnasia ChivilcoySan Martin Formosa11
D12/08/2026San Martin FormosaSportivo Belgrano20
W08/08/2026Douglas HaigSan Martin Formosa14
WOlimpo Bahia Blanca5W4D1L
11/10/2026Olimpo Bahia BlancaSan Martin FormosaGimnasia ChivilcoyOlimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia BlancaGimnasia Chivilcoy
AlvaradoOlimpo Bahia BlancaOlimpo Bahia Blanca
CipollettiAtenasOlimpo Bahia Blanca
Argentino Monte MaízOlimpo Bahia Blanca
Huracan Las HerasOlimpo Bahia Blanca
Olimpo Bahia BlancaSan Martin Formosa11
D04/10/2026Gimnasia ChivilcoyOlimpo Bahia Blanca12
W27/09/2026Olimpo Bahia BlancaGimnasia Chivilcoy21
W20/09/2026AlvaradoOlimpo Bahia Blanca11
D06/09/2026Olimpo Bahia BlancaCipolletti11
D30/08/2026AtenasOlimpo Bahia Blanca10
L23/08/2026Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Kimberley Mar del Plata
16/08/2026Olimpo Bahia BlancaKimberley Mar del Plata10
WArgentino Monte MaízOlimpo Bahia Blanca11
D13/08/2026Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Villa Mitre
08/08/2026Olimpo Bahia BlancaVilla Mitre20
WHuracan Las HerasOlimpo Bahia Blanca01
WBracket
Round of 32
Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Circulo Deportivo
Sol de MayoDefensores de Belgrano VRCipollettiSan Martin FormosaAlvaradoOlimpo Bahia BlancaCirculo DeportivoSol de MayoDefensores de Belgrano VRCipollettiSan Martin FormosaCirculo DeportivoSol de MayoCirculo DeportivoSol de MayoCirculo DeportivoSol de MayoLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 13:4 | +9 | 31 | WWDDD |
| 2 | Douglas Haig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 22:15 | +7 | 31 | WLDWD |
| 3 | Sportivo Belgrano | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 21:9 | +12 | 30 | DDDDD |
| 4 | San Martin Formosa | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 25:19 | +6 | 30 | WLDLW |
| 5 | Alvarado | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 19:7 | +12 | 27 | DWLWD |
| 6 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 17:12 | +5 | 27 | DDWLW |
| 7 | Defensores de Belgrano VR | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | +4 | 27 | DWDDW |
| 8 | Kimberley Mar del Plata | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 15:9 | +6 | 26 | DWWDD |
| 9 | Bartolomé Mitre | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 13:7 | +6 | 26 | LWLDD |
| 10 |  Sol de América | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:14 | +5 | 26 | LWWWL |
| 11 |  Juventud Antoniana | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:11 | +8 | 25 | DWWDW |
| 12 | Cipolletti | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 19:15 | +4 | 25 | WWDDW |
| 13 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 25 | DWLWW |
| 14 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 28:27 | +1 | 25 | DLLLW |
| 15 |  Sportivo Las Parejas | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 24 | DDDDW |
| 16 | Villa Mitre | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 14:8 | +6 | 23 | DWDWW |
| 17 | Argentino Monte Maíz | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 23 | DDDDD |
| 18 | Atenas | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 12:13 | -1 | 23 | LDDLW |
| 19 | Huracan Las Heras | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 23 | DWWLW |
| 20 |  Atletico Escobar | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 22 | DWDWL |
| 21 |  Fundacion Amigos | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:14 | +3 | 21 | DDWDD |
| 22 |  Deportivo Rincon | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13:16 | -3 | 19 | WLLLL |
| 23 |  San Martín Mendoza | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 19 | DDDWL |
| 24 |  Defensores de Vilelas | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 19 | LWLWL |
| 25 |  Independiente De Chivilcoy | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 19 | DLDLL |
| 26 |  El Linqueño | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 19 | WWLDL |
| 27 |  Costa Brava | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 12:13 | -1 | 18 | LLWDW |
| 28 | Sol de Mayo | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 18 | DLLWD |
| 29 |  Boca Unidos | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 | LLWLW |
| 30 |  Germinal de Rawson | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 18 | LLLWD |
| 31 |  Juventud Unida Univ. | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 | LDLDD |
| 32 |  Tucuman Central | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14:19 | -5 | 17 | DLLLW |
| 33 |  Gimnasia Concepción | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 17 | LDWLL |
| 34 |  Guillermo Brown | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 17 | WLWLL |
| 35 |  Sarmiento Resistencia | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 12:23 | -11 | 15 | LWLWL |
| 36 |  Santamarina | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 13 | LDLLD |
| 37 | Circulo Deportivo | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 13 | DWLDL |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Torneo Federal A matches
- Huracan Las Heras vs Juventud Antoniana 17/10/26
- Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Defensores de Vilelas 17/10/26
- Atenas vs Fundacion Amigos 18/10/26
- Bartolomé Mitre vs Boca Unidos 18/10/26
- Alvarado vs Cipolletti 18/10/26
- 9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Concepción 18/10/26
- Douglas Haig vs El Linqueño 18/10/26
- Argentino Monte Maíz vs Kimberley Mar del Plata 24/10/26
About the San Martin Formosa vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca forecast
As a knockout tie in the Torneo Federal A, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
San Martin Formosa and Olimpo Bahia Blanca in the Torneo Federal A table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Olimpo Bahia Blanca are 1st in the Torneo Federal A, 1 point ahead of San Martin Formosa in 4th. League goal record so far: San Martin Formosa 25-19, Olimpo Bahia Blanca 13-4. The full standings are on the Torneo Federal A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.