Shenyang Urban vs Qingdao Youth Island Prediction
China · Regular Season - 20
Tiexi Stadium, Shenyang·Xin He, China 25/07/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap-3.6%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.61
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+10.0%
Shenyang Urban Rest
8 days
Qingdao Youth Island Rest
4 days
Shenyang Urban vs Qingdao Youth Island: the result in context
Qingdao Youth Island beat Shenyang Urban 1-0 in the Super League on 25 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Qingdao Youth Island have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 5 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
143%2.05
X30%3.50
227%3.30
Double Chance
1X73%1.30
X257%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes58%1.56
No42%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.49 + 1.39 = 2.88
Over 1.582%1.20
Over 2.555%1.67
Over 3.531%2.63
Under 1.518%4.10
Under 2.545%2.12
Under 3.569%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 4.4 = 9.7
Over 8.561%1.50
Over 9.551%1.80
Over 10.539%2.23
Under 8.539%2.38
Under 9.549%1.89
Under 10.561%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.1 = 4.3
Over 3.563%-
Over 4.538%-
Under 3.537%-
Under 4.562%-
Match Events
23'Li Haoran INChen Binbin out
29'Aziz YakubuFoul
31'Guy MbenzaViolent conduct
37'Davidson da Luz PereiraTime wasting
45'Elnizar Lohman INHe Longhai out
45+4'Elnizar LohmanFoul
49'Zhi ZhengDissent
54'Samir MemisevicDissent
58'Yang ZhanpengFoul
59'Jefferson Ruan Pereira dos SantosDissent
62'Zhang Xiuwei INMeng Jingchao out
66'Zang Yifeng INYan Dinghao out
66'Pan Ximing INGao Jiarun out
73'Yang Zhanpeng
79'Zhang Chengdong INJin Shiming out
83'Luis Antonio Ferreira Rodrigues INZhang Hongfu out
84'He LonghaiFoul
87'Yang Zhanpeng INNan Song out
Lineups
Shenyang UrbanQingdao Youth Island
5-4-1Coach: Zheng ZhiAvg ratingAvg rating
29Z. Yan
3P. Ximing
26Y. Mincheng
15F. Ferreira
14Z. Yifeng
10T. Kunimoto
18L. Tixiang
35L. Haoran
7A. Kouamé
9G. Mbenza
47Jeffinho
16L. Hao
15W. Peng
28Z. Chengdong
5S. Memišević
22G. Wang
10N. Luz
8Z. Xiuwei
11Davidson
9A. YakubuShenyang Urban Substitutes
36Tian Deao
6P. Vagić
33Tian Yinong
28Xu Dong
27Gao Jiarun66'for Pan Ximing
8Yan Dinghao66'for Zang Yifeng
22Liu Guobo
17Tian Yuda
11Chen Binbin23'for Li Haoran
Qingdao Youth Island Substitutes
6Jin Shiming79'for Zhang Chengdong
20He Longhai45'replaced by Elnizar Lohman84'
21Meng Jingchao62'for Zhang Xiuwei
26Liu Shibo
27Asqer Afrden
29W. Jia
32Ding Haifeng
35Nan Song87'replaced by Yang Zhanpeng
36Sun Jie
37Dong Hang
Match Stats
Shenyang UrbanQingdao Youth Island 42%Ball Possession58%
2Corner Kicks10
1Yellow Cards6
1Red Cards0
8Total Shots16
1Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal10
7Shots Inside Box8
1Shots Outside Box8
1Blocked Shots1
10Fouls18
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
305Total Passes424
252Passes Accurate363
83%Pass Accuracy86%
Team Comparison
Shenyang UrbanQingdao Youth Island1493Elo Rating 1564
1.65Attack 0.74
0.86Defense 1.25
23%Hit Rate 0%
15.9Shots per Game 12.6
3.6Shots on Target 4.0
3.2Corners per Game 4.9
1.9Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Shenyang Urban- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
Qingdao Youth Island- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 5 meetings, all competitions
Shenyang Urban1Wins · 20%Draws120%
Qingdao Youth Island3Wins · 60%
3Wins · 60%2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored3 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5
Previous meetings
11/04/2026Qingdao Youth IslandShenyang Urban11
17/09/2023Shenyang UrbanQingdao Youth Island02
11/06/2023Qingdao Youth IslandShenyang Urban31
08/12/2022Shenyang UrbanQingdao Youth Island12
13/11/2022Qingdao Youth IslandShenyang Urban02
Recent Form
Shenyang Urban4W2D4L
17/07/2026
Beijing GuoanShenyang UrbanShenyang Urban
Chongqing Tongliang LongShenyang Urban
Shandong Luneng
Dalian KeweiShenyang Urban
Beijing GuoanShenyang Urban11
D04/07/2026Shenyang UrbanChongqing Tongliang Long31
W27/06/2026Shenyang UrbanShandong Luneng15
L19/06/2026Dalian KeweiShenyang Urban10
L29/05/2026Shenyang Urban
SHANGHAI SIPG
Shenyang UrbanSHANGHAI SIPG32
W24/05/2026
Hangzhou GreentownShenyang Urban
Hangzhou GreentownShenyang Urban05
W20/05/2026Shenyang Urban
Qingdao Jonoon
Shenyang UrbanQingdao Jonoon21
W16/05/2026
Wuhan Three TownsShenyang Urban
Wuhan Three TownsShenyang Urban22
D10/05/2026Shenyang Urban
Yunnan Yukun
Shenyang UrbanYunnan Yukun12
L05/05/2026Shenyang Urban
Chengdu Better City
Shenyang UrbanChengdu Better City01
LQingdao Youth Island5W3D2L
21/07/2026Chongqing Tongliang LongQingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth IslandChengdu Better City
Sichuan JiuniuQingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth IslandSHANGHAI SIPGQingdao Youth IslandHangzhou Greentown
Xi'an RonghaiQingdao Youth Island
Chongqing Tongliang LongQingdao Youth Island20
L17/07/2026Qingdao Youth IslandChengdu Better City11
D11/07/2026Sichuan JiuniuQingdao Youth Island30
L04/07/2026Qingdao Youth IslandSHANGHAI SIPG21
W28/06/2026Qingdao Youth IslandHangzhou Greentown31
W19/06/2026Xi'an RonghaiQingdao Youth Island4151
W30/05/2026Qingdao Youth Island
Shanghai Shenhua
Qingdao Youth IslandShanghai Shenhua22
D24/05/2026Yunnan YukunQingdao Youth Island
Yunnan YukunQingdao Youth Island23
W19/05/2026Qingdao Youth IslandBeijing Guoan
Qingdao Youth IslandBeijing Guoan11
D15/05/2026
Dalian ZhixingQingdao Youth Island
Dalian ZhixingQingdao Youth Island23
WReferee Profile
4.68Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.29Red cards per match
25.0Fouls per match
Strictness
Stricter than 56% of referees analysed
Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.
League Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 51:35 | +16 | 52 | LLLDW |
| 2 | Dalian Zhixing | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 46:43 | +3 | 49 | WWWWD |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 57:36 | +21 | 47 | WWWDD |
| 4 | Shandong Luneng | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 57:47 | +10 | 44 | WWDDW |
| 5 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 50:36 | +14 | 42 | WWWDW |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 57:60 | -3 | 40 | DDLWL |
| 7 | Qingdao Youth Island | 29 | 8 | 15 | 6 | 32:38 | -6 | 39 | DLLDD |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 63:50 | +13 | 37 | LWWWL |
| 9 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 36 | WDDLD |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:54 | -3 | 34 | WLLWL |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 39:51 | -12 | 32 | WLDDL |
| 12 |  Tianjin Teda | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | +4 | 31 | LWWWW |
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 41:52 | -11 | 29 | LWDLL |
| 14 |  Henan Jianye | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 28 | LLDDD |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 44:55 | -11 | 22 | LLDLD |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 29 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 34:62 | -28 | 14 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 29 | 51:35 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Zhixing | 29 | 46:43 | 49 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 29 | 57:36 | 47 |
| 4 | Shandong Luneng | 29 | 57:47 | 44 |
| 5 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 29 | 50:36 | 42 |
| 6 | Yunnan Yukun | 29 | 57:60 | 40 |
| 7 | Qingdao Youth Island | 29 | 32:38 | 39 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 29 | 63:50 | 37 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 29 | 31:34 | 36 |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 29 | 51:54 | 34 |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 29 | 39:51 | 32 |
| 12 | Tianjin Teda | 29 | 39:35 | 31 |
| 13 | Shenyang Urban | 29 | 41:52 | 29 |
| 14 | Henan Jianye | 29 | 38:42 | 28 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 29 | 44:55 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 29 | 34:62 | 14 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Super League matches
- Dalian Zhixing vs Shandong Luneng 18/07/26
- Shanghai Shenhua vs Tianjin Teda 18/07/26
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Sichuan Jiuniu 18/07/26
- Qingdao Jonoon vs Tianjin Teda 25/07/26
- SHANGHAI SIPG vs Shanghai Shenhua 25/07/26
- Wuhan Three Towns vs Chongqing Tongliang Long 25/07/26
- Yunnan Yukun vs Sichuan Jiuniu 26/07/26
- Chengdu Better City vs Beijing Guoan 26/07/26
About the Shenyang Urban vs Qingdao Youth Island forecast
The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Shenyang Urban and Qingdao Youth Island in the Super League table
In the Super League table, Qingdao Youth Island are 7th and Shenyang Urban 13th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Shenyang Urban 41-52, Qingdao Youth Island 32-38. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.