Dalian Zhixing vs Shandong Luneng Prediction

Dalian Suoyuwan Football Stadium, Dalian·M. Xiangkun 18/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel35%SurpriseMediumGap+9.1%
Dalian Zhixing Rest
14 days
Shandong Luneng Rest
8 days

Dalian Zhixing vs Shandong Luneng: the result in context

Dalian Zhixing beat Shandong Luneng 3-1 in the Super League on 18 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.3 a game across 3 meetings, with both teams scoring in 2.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.20
X
31%3.70
2
35%2.80
Double Chance
1X
65%1.40
X2
66%1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.41
No
42%2.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.26 + 1.77 = 3.03
Over 1.5
81%1.13
Over 2.5
55%1.47
Over 3.5
36%2.15
Under 1.5
19%5.47
Under 2.5
45%2.58
Under 3.5
64%1.67
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.7 = 10.3
Over 8.5
64%1.35
Over 9.5
52%1.61
Over 10.5
41%1.98
Under 8.5
36%2.81
Under 9.5
48%2.16
Under 10.5
59%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2 = 4
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
37%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
63%-

Match Events

16'F. AcheampongAssist: C. Malele
22'C. Malele
26'Guilherme Madruga INMijit Mewlan out
36'V. QazaishviliAssist: Chen Pu
46'Chen Pu INCryzan out
53'Peng XiaoFoul
56'N. StanciuAssist: F. Acheampong
57'Luo Jing INYang Mingrui out
59'Peng Xiao INZheng Zheng out
67'Huang ZhengyuFoul
71'Xie Wenneng INY. Peng out
71'Wang Tong INMemet Imran out
78'F. Acheampong INFeng Boxuan out
85'Liao Jintao INZhang Huachen out

Lineups

Dalian Zhixing
4-3-3Coach: Guoxu Li
Shandong Luneng
4-4-2Coach: Peng Han
Avg rating7.24
Avg rating6.64
Weiguo Liu7.020W. Liu
Lü Zhuoyi6.538L. Zhuoyi
Mamadou Traoré6.92M. Traoré
Yue Song7.36Y. Song
Weijie Mao7.222W. Mao
Jintao Liao7.040J. Liao
Nicolae StanciuC9.210N. Stanciu
Isnik Alimi8.04I. Alimi
Luo Jing6.77L. Jing
Cephas Malele7.611C. Malele
Frank Acheampong8.230F. Acheampong
Dalei WangC8.214D. Wang
Tong Wang6.36T. Wang
Peng Xiao5.23P. Xiao
Zhunyi Gao6.333Z. Gao
Yang Liu6.211Y. Liu
Chen Pu6.929C. Pu
Guilherme Madruga6.58G. Madruga
Zhengyu Huang6.335Z. Huang
Wenneng Xie6.27W. Xie
Zeca6.619Zeca
Valeri Qazaishvili7.210V. Qazaishvili

Dalian Zhixing Substitutes

27Yang Mingrui57'for Luo Jing6.9
12Feng Boxuan78'for F. Acheampong6.6
8Huachen Zhang85'for Liao Jintao6.3
1Ge Peng
26Zihao Huang
15Jiabao Wen
28Kangbo Sun
33Haiqing Cao
5Peng Shunjie
21Peng Lü
23Shan Huang
16Zhu Pengyu

Shandong Luneng Substitutes

28Maiwulang Mijiti6.6
9Cryzan46'for Chen Pu7.2
5Zheng Zheng59'for Peng Xiao6.9
38Memet Imran71'for Wang Tong6.9
42Yixiang Peng71'for Xie Wenneng6.7
36Qiwei Liu
1Yu Jinyong
2Yang Ruiqi
15Songchen Shi
34Jiaxi Yin
41Junwei Lu
17Raphaël Merkies

Match Stats

Dalian ZhixingShandong Luneng
53%Ball Possession47%
6Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards2
20Total Shots18
11Shots on Goal6
7Shots off Goal5
19Shots Inside Box13
1Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots7
10Fouls12
3Offsides0
5Goalkeeper Saves9
474Total Passes404
399Passes Accurate330
84%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
1647Elo Rating 1647
2.21Attack 2.85
2.61Defense 1.41
100%Hit Rate 50%
15.7Shots per Game 16.2
7.1Shots on Target 6.8
4.9Corners per Game 3.6
1.9Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.03 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.7 vs 1.2 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2Wins · 67%
Draws00%
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng1Wins · 33%
3.3Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Super League04/04/2026
Shandong LunengDalian Zhixing
12
Super League19/07/2025
Dalian ZhixingShandong Luneng
20
Super League28/02/2025
Shandong LunengDalian Zhixing
41

Recent Form

Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing
4W1D5L
04/07/2026
Dalian ZhixingWuhan Three Towns
32
W
28/06/2026
Dalian ZhixingShanghai Shenhua
14
L
19/06/2026
Langfang Glory CityDalian Zhixing
4151
W
31/05/2026
Tianjin TedaDalian Zhixing
10
L
23/05/2026
Dalian ZhixingChengdu Better City
20
W
19/05/2026
Sichuan JiuniuDalian Zhixing
11
D
15/05/2026
Dalian ZhixingQingdao Youth Island
23
L
10/05/2026
Qingdao JonoonDalian Zhixing
31
L
06/05/2026
Beijing GuoanDalian Zhixing
30
L
01/05/2026
Dalian ZhixingChongqing Tongliang Long
10
W
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
6W1D3L
10/07/2026
Shandong LunengYunnan Yukun
43
W
04/07/2026
Beijing GuoanShandong Luneng
20
L
27/06/2026
Shenyang UrbanShandong Luneng
15
W
20/06/2026
Guangxi HengchenShandong Luneng
05
W
30/05/2026
Chengdu Better CityShandong Luneng
10
L
24/05/2026
Shandong LunengWuhan Three Towns
33
D
20/05/2026
Hangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
41
L
16/05/2026
Shandong LunengChongqing Tongliang Long
31
W
10/05/2026
Sichuan JiuniuShandong Luneng
12
W
05/05/2026
Shandong LunengShanghai Shenhua
41
W

Referee Profile

M. Xiangkun3 matches analysed

4.63Cards per match
4.37Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 55% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City29157751:35+1652LLLDW
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing291541046:43+349WWWWD
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan291410557:36+2147WWWDD
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng29155957:47+1044WWDDW
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG29138850:36+1442WWWDW
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun291171157:60-340DDLWL
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island29815632:38-639DLLDD
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua291451063:50+1337LWWWL
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long29812931:34-336WDDLD
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown291161251:54-334WLLWL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu29951539:51-1232WLDDL
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda291181039:35+431LWWWW
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban29851641:52-1129LWDLL
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye298101138:42-428LLDDD
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns295121244:55-1122LLDLD
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon29632034:62-2814LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City2951:3552
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2946:4349
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2957:3647
4Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2957:4744
5SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG2950:3642
6Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun2957:6040
7Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island2932:3839
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua2963:5037
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long2931:3436
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2951:5434
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu2939:5132
12Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2939:3531
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban2941:5229
14Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2938:4228
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns2944:5522
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2934:6214
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Dalian Zhixing vs Shandong Luneng forecast

The forecasts for this Super League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dalian Zhixing and Shandong Luneng in the Super League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Dalian Zhixing are 2nd in the Super League, 5 points ahead of Shandong Luneng in 4th. League goal record so far: Dalian Zhixing 46-43, Shandong Luneng 57-47. The full standings are on the Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Dalian Zhixing have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Shandong Luneng have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.