Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava Prediction

Slovácko
2-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Baník Ostrava
Mestsky Fotbalovy Stadion, Uherske Hradiste·Jan Machalek, Czechia 19/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.91
SignalNEUTRALModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+4.0%
Slovácko Rest
3 days
Baník Ostrava Rest
6 days

Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava: the result in context

Slovácko and Baník Ostrava drew 2-2 in the Czech Liga on 19 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
35%2.45
X
31%3.20
2
34%2.75
Double Chance
1X
66%1.40
X2
65%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.70
No
46%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.31 = 2.60
Over 1.5
75%1.29
Over 2.5
51%1.91
Over 3.5
27%3.40
Under 1.5
25%3.42
Under 2.5
49%1.84
Under 3.5
73%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4.5 = 8.8
Over 8.5
37%1.65
Over 9.5
35%2.10
Over 10.5
22%2.66
Under 8.5
63%2.11
Under 9.5
65%1.66
Under 10.5
78%1.37
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.2 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.50
Over 4.5
37%1.98
Under 3.5
43%2.30
Under 4.5
63%1.67

Match Events

25'M. Frydrych(Penalty)
46'R. NoghaHolding
49'G. Ndefe
51'P. BlahutAssist: M. Havlik
56'A. Bewene INR. Smith out
56'F. Kubala INV. Jurecka out
58'J. BehiratcheHolding
60'D. Puskac INJ. Fiala out
61'M. Dyachuk INY. Skyba out
74'G. Ndefe INA. Alabi out
74'L. Vorlicky INP. Juroska out
75'D. Gilbert INM. Kmet out
75'A. Musak INF. Sancl out
83'M. Havlik INA. Marinelli out
83'T. Kostadinov ING. Sosseh out
87'F. Sancl
89'M. KmetHolding
90+3'Y. SkybaTripping

Lineups

Slovácko
3-4-2-1Coach: Jan Jelinek
Baník Ostrava
3-4-2-1Coach: Roman Skuhravy
Avg rating6.69
Avg rating6.59
Milan Heča6.929M. Heča
Simon Sloncik5.921S. Sloncik
Jocelin Behiratche6.322J. Behiratche
Andrej Stojchevski6.24A. Stojchevski
Gigli Ndefe7.72G. Ndefe
Michal TrávníkC7.910M. Trávník
Tihomir Kostadinov7.026T. Kostadinov
Patrik Blahút7.515P. Blahút
Marek Havlík7.020M. Havlík
Lukáš Vorlický6.772L. Vorlický
David Puškáč6.230D. Puškáč
Martin Jedlička6.523M. Jedlička
Michal FrydrychC7.517M. Frydrych
Roan Nogha6.283R. Nogha
Maksym Diachuk6.216M. Diachuk
Aboubacar Traore6.38A. Traore
Jiří Boula6.35J. Boula
Artúr Musák6.355A. Musák
Abdullahi Bewene6.234A. Bewene
Filip Kubala7.028F. Kubala
Dantaye Gilbert7.27D. Gilbert
Vit Skrkon6.222V. Skrkon

Slovácko Substitutes

18Jan Fiala60'for D. Puskac6.2
14Adam Alabi74'for G. Ndefe6.3
77Pavel Juroška74'for L. Vorlicky6.7
34Pavel Halouska
28Leos Prior
19Tomas Kral
17Filip Hruska
16Gibril Sosseh83'for T. Kostadinov6.3
27Artur Dolznikov
11Filip Horský
9Alan Marinelli83'for M. Havlik6.2

Baník Ostrava Substitutes

3Rhodri Smith56'for A. Bewene6.3
15Václav Jurečka56'for F. Kubala6.3
44Yevgeniy Skyba6.5
81Matúš Kmeť75'for D. Gilbert89'6.5
19Filip Šancl75'for A. Musak87'7.9
1Viktor Budinský
37Matěj Chaluš
95Daniel Holzer
21Michal Kohút

Match Stats

SlováckoBaník Ostrava
51%Ball Possession49%
2Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
13Total Shots15
3Shots on Goal7
8Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box4
2Blocked Shots1
9Fouls18
2Offsides2
5Goalkeeper Saves1
327Total Passes316
272Passes Accurate257
83%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

SlováckoSlovácko
Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava
1523Elo Rating 1528
1.78Attack 0.67
1.79Defense 1.96
39%Hit Rate 0%
10.4Shots per Game 12.1
2.5Shots on Target 3.7
3.6Corners per Game 4.6
1.8Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SlováckoSlovácko
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.4 in first half)
Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SlováckoSlovácko3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava5Wins · 50%
2.7Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Czech Liga12/05/2026
SlováckoBaník Ostrava
21
Czech Liga01/02/2026
SlováckoBaník Ostrava
22
Czech Liga24/08/2025
Baník OstravaSlovácko
20
Czech Liga14/12/2024
Baník OstravaSlovácko
31
Czech Liga18/08/2024
SlováckoBaník Ostrava
10
Czech Liga26/05/2024
Baník OstravaSlovácko
60
Czech Liga26/11/2023
SlováckoBaník Ostrava
20
Czech Liga29/07/2023
Baník OstravaSlovácko
00
Czech Liga08/04/2023
SlováckoBaník Ostrava
01
Czech Liga16/10/2022
Baník OstravaSlovácko
31

Referee Profile

Jan Machalek133 matches

4.12Cards per match
3.85Yellow cards per match
0.27Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Jan Machalek4.12
Other referees4.43

4.12 cards a match, 0.31 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.43).

Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Czech Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha1284027:7+2028DDWWW
2Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1271425:13+1222WDWWW
3Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1263319:14+521DWLLW
4Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1263319:15+421DWDLW
5Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1162313:7+620LLDWW
6FK JablonecFK Jablonec1262416:13+320WLWDL
7Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1262416:16020DWLLW
8TepliceTeplice1253418:17+118DLDWL
9PlzenPlzen1244424:21+316LWWLL
10Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051144313:13016DWWLW
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1243511:15-415LDLLW
12PardubicePardubice1242614:17-314WWLWW
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava113267:18-1111DLDLL
14ArtisArtis1123611:20-99DWDLL
15SlováckoSlovácko1214711:23-127LLWDL
16ZlinZlin1202109:24-152DLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha1227:728
2Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1225:1322
3Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1219:1421
4Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1219:1521
5Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1113:720
6FK JablonecFK Jablonec1216:1320
7Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1216:1620
8TepliceTeplice1218:1718
9PlzenPlzen1224:2116
10Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051113:1316
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1211:1515
12PardubicePardubice1214:1714
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava117:1811
14ArtisArtis1111:209
15SlováckoSlovácko1211:237
16ZlinZlin129:242
Relegation

About the Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava forecast

The forecasts for this Czech Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Slovácko and Baník Ostrava in the Czech Liga table

Baník Ostrava and Slovácko are close in the Czech Liga table, 13th and 15th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Slovácko 11-23, Baník Ostrava 7-18. The full standings are on the Czech Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.