Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland Prediction

Sonderjyske
2-3
Finished
HT 2-2
FC Midtjylland
Sydbank Park, Haderslev·Svend Funder, Denmark 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.65
SignalGOODModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+11.2%
Sonderjyske Rest
9 days
FC Midtjylland Rest
2 days

Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland: the result in context

FC Midtjylland beat Sonderjyske 3-2 in the Superliga on 26 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

FC Midtjylland have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%5.10
X
25%4.28
2
53%1.56
Double Chance
1X
47%2.36
X2
78%1.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.55
No
41%2.31
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.16 + 1.66 = 2.82
Over 1.5
80%1.14
Over 2.5
55%1.48
Over 3.5
32%2.20
Under 1.5
20%5.25
Under 2.5
45%2.55
Under 3.5
68%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.5 + 5.6 = 9.1
Over 8.5
61%1.40
Over 9.5
47%1.70
Over 10.5
35%2.08
Under 8.5
39%2.80
Under 9.5
53%2.06
Under 10.5
65%1.69
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 2.4 = 4.1
Over 3.5
53%1.72
Over 4.5
32%2.37
Under 3.5
47%2.05
Under 4.5
68%1.46

Match Events

14'R. KristensenFoul
26'M. B. SorensenAssist: V. Byskov
27'M. JensenAssist: O. Hyseni
31'M. HoppeFoul
35'V. ByskovAssist: D. Osorio
45'M. HaidaraAssist: O. Hyseni
46'V. Byskov INJ. Emefile out
46'V. Bak IND. Beni out
51'M. Hoppe IND. Boison out
59'S. Waever INA. Bergholt out
59'M. Olesen INA. Lyng out
59'Franculino INF. Etim out
66'J. EmefileAssist: P. Billing
68'O. Hyseni INI. Seydi out
69'F. EtimFoul
72'P. Bravo IND. Castillo out
80'M. Erlic INA. Gabriel out
90+8'M. TullbergDelay of game

Lineups

Sonderjyske
3-4-2-1Coach: Fatah Abdirahman
FC Midtjylland
3-5-2Coach: Mike Tullberg
Avg rating6.78
Avg rating6.93
Marcus Bundgaard Sorensen5.916M. Bundgaard Sorensen
Maxime Soulas6.212M. Soulas
Magnus JensenC8.25M. Jensen
Daníel Grétarsson7.34D. Grétarsson
Simon Wæver6.93S. Wæver
Sefer Emini7.57S. Emini
Mathias Olesen6.510M. Olesen
Chidiebube Duru6.223C. Duru
Mohamed Cherif Haidara7.28M. Cherif Haidara
Olti Hyseni7.924O. Hyseni
Matthew Hoppe6.09M. Hoppe
Elías Ólafsson6.71E. Ólafsson
Rasmus KristensenC6.95R. Kristensen
Martin Erlić6.96M. Erlić
Mads Bech Sørensen7.922M. Bech Sørensen
Darío Osorio7.211D. Osorio
Philip Billing8.38P. Billing
Pedro Bravo6.219P. Bravo
Valdemar Byskov7.920V. Byskov
Victor Bak Jensen6.355V. Bak Jensen
Franculino Djú5.67F. Djú
Gue-sung Cho6.710G. Cho

Sonderjyske Substitutes

32David Boison Frimpong51'for M. Hoppe6.3
28Anders Bergholt59'for S. Waever6.2
11Alexander Lyng59'for M. Olesen6.9
31Ismaïl Seydi6.5
1Nicolai Flø
13Dalton Wilkins
30Gustav Wagner
29Albert Rrahmani
18Omran Khatar

FC Midtjylland Substitutes

15Beni Junior7.2
38Julius Emefile46'for V. Byskov66'7.6
90Friday Etim59'for Franculino69'6.3
21Denil Castillo72'for P. Bravo6.5
13Adam Gabriel80'for M. Erlic6.6
25Nordin Bakker
27Sofus Johannesen
29Kjell Wätjen
18Stanley Iheanacho

Match Stats

SonderjyskeFC Midtjylland
42%Ball Possession58%
5Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal3
14Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box7
6Blocked Shots4
14Fouls10
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves1
321Total Passes456
215Passes Accurate355
67%Pass Accuracy78%

Team Comparison

SonderjyskeSonderjyske
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
1495Elo Rating 1793
1.99Attack 1.70
0.31Defense 1.77
39%Hit Rate 66%
15.1Shots per Game 16.3
6.2Shots on Target 5.6
6.2Corners per Game 5.0
1.4Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

SonderjyskeSonderjyske
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

SonderjyskeSonderjyske3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland6Wins · 60%
4.0Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Superliga23/04/2026
SonderjyskeFC Midtjylland
12
Superliga04/04/2026
FC MidtjyllandSonderjyske
22
Superliga23/11/2025
SonderjyskeFC Midtjylland
21
Superliga28/07/2025
FC MidtjyllandSonderjyske
62
Superliga20/10/2024
SonderjyskeFC Midtjylland
32
Superliga24/08/2024
FC MidtjyllandSonderjyske
32
Superliga24/10/2021
FC MidtjyllandSonderjyske
32
Superliga13/08/2021
SonderjyskeFC Midtjylland
02
DBU Pokalen15/04/2021
SonderjyskeFC Midtjylland
31
DBU Pokalen08/04/2021
FC MidtjyllandSonderjyske
10

Recent Form

SonderjyskeSonderjyske
4W1D5L
17/07/2026
SonderjyskeKolding IF
10
W
10/07/2026
Holstein KielSonderjyske
21
L
03/07/2026
SonderjyskeViking
11
D
26/06/2026
Randers FCSonderjyske
24
W
17/05/2026
SonderjyskeFC Nordsjaelland
14
L
08/05/2026
ViborgSonderjyske
01
W
03/05/2026
AarhusSonderjyske
21
L
26/04/2026
SonderjyskeBrondby
30
W
23/04/2026
SonderjyskeFC Midtjylland
12
L
17/04/2026
BrondbySonderjyske
60
L
FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland
5W3D2L
23/07/2026
BeşiktaşFC Midtjylland
10
L
17/07/2026
FC MidtjyllandOdense
41
W
11/07/2026
CardiffFC Midtjylland
06
W
04/07/2026
FC MidtjyllandSilkeborg
42
W
26/06/2026
Malmo FFFC Midtjylland
22
D
20/06/2026
FC MidtjyllandLillestrom
10
W
17/05/2026
FC MidtjyllandBrondby
23
L
14/05/2026
FC CopenhagenFC Midtjylland
01
W
10/05/2026
FC NordsjaellandFC Midtjylland
00
D
04/05/2026
FC MidtjyllandViborg
33
D

Referee Profile

Svend Funder56 matches

3.20Cards per match
3.00Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
20.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Svend Funder3.20
Other referees3.58

3.20 cards a match, 0.38 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.58).

Cards come from 15 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Superliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland1394027:15+1231WWWWD
2FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen1392228:12+1629WDDLW
3ViborgViborg1372420:12+823WLLWW
4BrondbyBrondby1371523:20+322WWLWL
5FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland1355320:17+320LDDDL
6OdenseOdense1345415:17-217WDWDD
7AC HorsensAC Horsens1344523:21+216LWDDD
8AarhusAarhus1326517:21-412LWDWD
9SilkeborgSilkeborg1326517:24-712LDLDW
10Randers FCRanders FC1332813:21-811LLDLL
11LyngbyLyngby1325619:28-911WLDLL
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske1322917:31-148LLWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1FC MidtjyllandFC Midtjylland1327:1531
2FC CopenhagenFC Copenhagen1328:1229
3ViborgViborg1320:1223
4BrondbyBrondby1323:2022
5FC NordsjaellandFC Nordsjaelland1320:1720
6OdenseOdense1315:1717
7AC HorsensAC Horsens1323:2116
8AarhusAarhus1317:2112
9SilkeborgSilkeborg1317:2412
10Randers FCRanders FC1313:2111
11LyngbyLyngby1319:2811
12SonderjyskeSonderjyske1317:318
Relegation

About the Sonderjyske vs FC Midtjylland forecast

The forecasts for this Superliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sonderjyske and FC Midtjylland in the Superliga table

The table shows a wide gap: FC Midtjylland are 1st in the Superliga, while Sonderjyske sit 12th, 23 points behind. League goal record so far: Sonderjyske 17-31, FC Midtjylland 27-15. The full standings are on the Superliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.