Aarhus vs Brondby Prediction
Denmark · Regular Season - 1
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.1 / 10
Value Analysis
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.37
SignalSTRONGModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+9.7%
Aarhus Rest
3 days
Brondby Rest
7 days
Aarhus vs Brondby: result, form and history
Match Forecasts
Match Result
145%2.21
X31%3.58
224%2.94
Double Chance
1X76%1.37
X255%1.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes65%1.55
No35%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.99 + 1.12 = 3.11
Over 1.584%1.20
Over 2.560%1.67
Over 3.536%2.68
Under 1.516%4.25
Under 2.540%2.17
Under 3.564%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 3.2 = 8.8
Over 8.557%1.52
Over 9.547%1.86
Over 10.535%2.30
Under 8.543%2.45
Under 9.553%1.89
Under 10.565%1.56
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.554%1.84
Over 4.536%2.67
Under 3.546%1.86
Under 4.564%1.35
Match Events
19'M. KohlertFoul
26'B. SliszFoul
46'M. Kohlert INM. Divkovic out
53'B. SliszAssist: L. Binks
56'F. BundgaardFoul
61'S. Jorgensen INJ. Bogere out
62'M. Anderson INJ. Jonsson out
65'P. Mortensen INO. Fenger out
65'M. Ejdum INM. Jensen out
67'M. DivkovicFoul
73'F. Bundgaard INJ. Ambaek out
76'F. Emmery INR. Carstensen out
76'J. Andersen INJ. Jensen-Abbew out
81'M. Frokjaer-Jensen IND. Wass out
83'L. BinksFoul
84'K. Arnstad(Penalty)
85'E. KahlFoul
88'G. Links INT. Kristjansson out
Lineups
AarhusBrondby
4-2-3-1Coach: Thomas NorgaardAvg ratingAvg rating
1J. Hansen
26J. Andersen
5F. Tingager
19E. Kahl
11G. Links
4M. Knudsen
C10K. Arnstad
39F. Emmery
8S. Jørgensen
31T. Bech
23M. Anderson
50W. Sonne-Schmidt
2O. Villadsen
30J. Vanlerberghe
C4L. Binks
27M. Köhlert
99B. Slisz
18M. Ejdum
21M. Younis
29M. Frøkjær
11F. Bundgaard
9P. MortensenAarhus Substitutes
16Jens Jønsson62'for M. Anderson
28James Bogere61'for S. Jorgensen
21Mads Hedenstad
40Jonas Jensen-Abbew76'for J. Andersen
44Mouhammade Camara
22Oskar Haugstrup
29Rasmus Carstensen76'for F. Emmery
20Tómas Óli Kristjánsson88'for G. Links
27Stefen Tchamche
Brondby Substitutes
24Marko Divković46'for M. Kohlert67'
42Mathias Jensen65'for M. Ejdum
51Oskar Fenger65'for P. Mortensen
38Jacob Ambaek73'for F. Bundgaard
13Gavin Beavers
32Frederik Alves
37Raphael Canut
10Daniel Wass81'for M. Frokjaer-Jensen
19Sho Fukuda
Match Stats
AarhusBrondby 54%Ball Possession46%
10Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards5
13Total Shots14
3Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal7
8Shots Inside Box10
5Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots5
12Fouls23
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
388Total Passes335
313Passes Accurate270
81%Pass Accuracy81%
Team Comparison
AarhusBrondby1624Elo Rating 1615
1.28Attack 2.29
2.02Defense 1.58
17%Hit Rate 61%
8.3Shots per Game 13.0
2.5Shots on Target 5.5
2.7Corners per Game 6.3
1.4Cards per Game 1.2
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.11 goals
🔥Derby Match
📊Home Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Aarhus- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
Brondby- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Aarhus5Wins · 50%Draws220%
Brondby3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
10/05/2026BrondbyAarhus02
22/03/2026AarhusBrondby00
19/10/2025BrondbyAarhus33
21/09/2025AarhusBrondby10
25/05/2025AarhusBrondby23
07/04/2025BrondbyAarhus21
15/12/2024BrondbyAarhus42
08/12/2024AarhusBrondby10
21/10/2024AarhusBrondby10
11/08/2024BrondbyAarhus01
Recent Form
Aarhus5W3D2L
21/07/2026Aarhus
Lech Poznan
AarhusLech Poznan14
L15/07/2026Aarhus
AC Horsens
AarhusAC Horsens20
W11/07/2026
Union St. GilloiseAarhus
Union St. GilloiseAarhus21
L05/07/2026Aarhus
Motherwell
AarhusMotherwell40
W27/06/2026Aarhus
Viborg
AarhusViborg11
D17/05/2026AarhusViborg
AarhusViborg62
W10/05/2026BrondbyAarhus
BrondbyAarhus02
W03/05/2026Aarhus
Sonderjyske
AarhusSonderjyske21
W26/04/2026Aarhus
FC Midtjylland
AarhusFC Midtjylland00
D23/04/2026
FC NordsjaellandAarhus
FC NordsjaellandAarhus11
DBrondby4W2D4L
18/07/2026
HibernianBrondby
HibernianBrondby21
L11/07/2026Brondby
Odense
BrondbyOdense40
W04/07/2026BrondbyFC Nordsjaelland
BrondbyFC Nordsjaelland33
D28/06/2026Brondby
Hvidovre
BrondbyHvidovre81
W21/05/2026Brondby
FC Copenhagen
BrondbyFC Copenhagen1131
L17/05/2026FC MidtjyllandBrondby
FC MidtjyllandBrondby23
W10/05/2026BrondbyAarhus
BrondbyAarhus02
L01/05/2026BrondbyFC Nordsjaelland
BrondbyFC Nordsjaelland11
D26/04/2026SonderjyskeBrondby
SonderjyskeBrondby30
L22/04/2026ViborgBrondby
ViborgBrondby01
WReferee Profile
4.14Cards per match
3.95Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.14 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.02).
Cards come from 128 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Midtjylland | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 24:13 | +11 | 28 | WWWDW |
| 2 | FC Copenhagen | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26:12 | +14 | 26 | DDLWW |
| 3 | Viborg | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 19:12 | +7 | 20 | LLWWD |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18:14 | +4 | 20 | DDDLW |
| 5 | Brondby | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21:20 | +1 | 19 | WLWLL |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 23:20 | +3 | 16 | WDDDL |
| 7 | Odense | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 14 | DWDDW |
| 8 | Aarhus | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 12 | WDWDL |
| 9 |  Silkeborg | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16:20 | -4 | 12 | DLDWD |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 11 | LDLLL |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17:27 | -10 | 8 | LDLLD |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 17:29 | -12 | 8 | LWLWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Midtjylland | 12 | 24:13 | 28 |
| 2 | FC Copenhagen | 12 | 26:12 | 26 |
| 3 | Viborg | 12 | 19:12 | 20 |
| 4 | FC Nordsjaelland | 12 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 5 | Brondby | 12 | 21:20 | 19 |
| 6 | AC Horsens | 12 | 23:20 | 16 |
| 7 | Odense | 12 | 11:16 | 14 |
| 8 | Aarhus | 12 | 17:19 | 12 |
| 9 | Silkeborg | 12 | 16:20 | 12 |
| 10 | Randers FC | 12 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 11 | Lyngby | 12 | 17:27 | 8 |
| 12 | Sonderjyske | 12 | 17:29 | 8 |
Relegation
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This match
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About the Aarhus vs Brondby forecast
As a derby, this Superliga meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Aarhus and Brondby in the Superliga table
In the Superliga table, Brondby are 5th and Aarhus 8th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Aarhus 17-19, Brondby 21-20. The full standings are on the Superliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.