South Melbourne vs Preston Lions Prediction

Victoria NPLAustralia Australia · Regular Season - 21
South Melbourne
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Preston Lions
18/07/2026
South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
0-0
Finished
Preston LionsPreston Lions

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.53
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+8.9%
South Melbourne Rest
7 days
Preston Lions Rest
7 days

South Melbourne vs Preston Lions: result, form and history

South Melbourne and Preston Lions drew 0-0 in the Victoria NPL on 18 Jul 2026. Preston Lions had gone in with the better form, having won 5 of their previous five against 3 for South Melbourne.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
26%2.25
X
25%3.58
2
49%2.69
Double Chance
1X
51%1.39
X2
74%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.53
No
42%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.13 + 1.75 = 2.88
Over 1.5
77%1.19
Over 2.5
57%1.65
Over 3.5
35%2.60
Under 1.5
23%4.05
Under 2.5
43%2.10
Under 3.5
65%1.42
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
Preston LionsPreston Lions
1569Elo Rating 1579
1.39Attack 0.58
2.63Defense 1.62
61%Hit Rate 0%

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Preston LionsPreston Lions
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

South MelbourneSouth Melbourne2Wins · 67%
Draws00%
Preston LionsPreston Lions1Wins · 33%
2.7Avg Goals
33%Both teams scored1 of 3
67%3+ goals2 of 3

Previous meetings

Victoria NPL11/04/2026
Preston LionsSouth Melbourne
03
Victoria NPL15/06/2025
South MelbournePreston Lions
21
Victoria NPL07/03/2025
Preston LionsSouth Melbourne
20

Recent Form

South MelbourneSouth Melbourne
4W1D5L
10/07/2026
Dandenong CitySouth Melbourne
02
W
05/07/2026
South MelbourneDandenong Thunder
10
W
28/06/2026
South MelbourneGreen Gully
12
L19/06/2026
Bentleigh GreensSouth Melbourne
15
W07/06/2026
South MelbourneAltona Magic
23
L
30/05/2026
Hume CitySouth Melbourne
11
D
25/05/2026
South MelbourneAvondale
04
L
24/05/2026
South MelbourneAuckland FC 2
12
L
20/05/2026
South MelbourneVanuatu United
40
W
18/05/2026
South MelbourneSunshine Georgies
04
L
Preston LionsPreston Lions
8W0D2L
10/07/2026
Preston LionsHume City
21
W04/07/2026
AvondalePreston Lions
23
W27/06/2026
Sunshine GeorgiesPreston Lions
02
W20/06/2026
Heidelberg UnitedPreston Lions
01
W
31/05/2026
St. Albans SaintsPreston Lions
01
W
24/05/2026
Preston LionsOakleigh Cannons
01
L
16/05/2026
Altona MagicPreston Lions
10
L
08/05/2026
Preston LionsDandenong City
10
W
02/05/2026
Dandenong ThunderPreston Lions
01
W
24/04/2026
Green GullyPreston Lions
04
W

League Table

Victoria NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons26166456:24+3254LWWDL
2Preston LionsPreston Lions26156541:19+2251DDWDW
3Hume CityHume City26154751:36+1549LWWWL
4AvondaleAvondale26152965:34+3147WWLWW
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne261321139:36+341LLWWW
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United26117842:34+840WWLLD
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies26911635:34+138WLWDD
8Dandenong CityDandenong City26107935:31+437WDWWD
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints26971036:43-734WWDLW
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II26861242:42030LLLLL
11Altona MagicAltona Magic26771228:42-1428DLLDW
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens26661427:51-2424LWDDL
13Green GullyGreen Gully26461623:52-2918WLLDD
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder26431923:65-4215LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Oakleigh CannonsOakleigh Cannons2656:2454
2Preston LionsPreston Lions2641:1951
3Hume CityHume City2651:3649
4AvondaleAvondale2665:3447
5South MelbourneSouth Melbourne2639:3641
6Heidelberg UnitedHeidelberg United2642:3440
7Sunshine GeorgiesSunshine Georgies2635:3438
8Dandenong CityDandenong City2635:3137
9St. Albans SaintsSt. Albans Saints2636:4334
10Melbourne City IIMelbourne City II2642:4230
11Altona MagicAltona Magic2628:4228
12Bentleigh GreensBentleigh Greens2627:5124
13Green GullyGreen Gully2623:5218
14Dandenong ThunderDandenong Thunder2623:6515

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About the South Melbourne vs Preston Lions forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

South Melbourne and Preston Lions in the Victoria NPL table

In the Victoria NPL table, Preston Lions are 2nd and South Melbourne 5th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: South Melbourne 39-36, Preston Lions 41-19. The full standings are on the Victoria NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.