Stockport County vs Leicester Prediction

Stockport County
3-4
Finished
HT 1-2
Leicester
Edgeley Park, Stockport 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.17
SignalSTRONGModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.53
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+5.3%
Stockport County Rest
7 days
Leicester Rest
7 days

Stockport County vs Leicester: the result in context

Leicester beat Stockport County 4-3 in the League One on 12 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Stockport County had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Leicester.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.82
X
25%3.85
2
27%3.75
Double Chance
1X
73%1.25
X2
52%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%1.53
No
33%2.38
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.85 + 1.14 = 2.99
Over 1.5
82%1.17
Over 2.5
59%1.53
Over 3.5
35%2.36
Under 1.5
18%4.70
Under 2.5
41%2.34
Under 3.5
65%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 4.3 = 10.2
Over 8.5
67%1.25
Over 9.5
56%1.45
Over 10.5
46%1.80
Under 8.5
33%3.54
Under 9.5
44%2.55
Under 10.5
54%1.94
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.5
45%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
55%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

11'Liam CullenAssist: Louis Page
22'Jack DiamondAssist: Lewis Bate
30'Emil Riis Jakobsen
36'Ethan PyeFoul
48'Emil Riis JakobsenAssist: William Thomas-Alves
50'Louis PageFoul
52'John LundstramAssist: Louis Page
57'Oliver Norwood
61'Kyle Wootton
63'Kyron GordonFoul
71'Samuel Charles Braybrooke INBobby Reid out
71'Harry Wood INMikael Mandron out
71'Lewis Bate INJason Adigun out
76'Emil Riis Jakobsen INTom Watson out
79'Eoghan O'Connell INMamadou Jobe out
79'Ryan Glover INEthan Ennis out
86'Liam Cullen INWes Burns out
86'William Thomas-Alves INIlari Kangasniemi out
86'Warren O'Hora INOlabade Aluko out
87'Jack Diamond INBenoný Breki Andrésson out

Lineups

Stockport County
3-4-3Coach: J. McNulty
Leicester
4-1-4-1Coach: Russell Martin
Avg rating6.42
Avg rating6.64
Oliver Whatmuff5.41O. Whatmuff
Kyron Silveria Gordon5.924K. Silveria Gordon
E. O'Connell6.26E. O'Connell
E. Pye5.95E. Pye
R. Glover5.515R. Glover
L. Bate6.64L. Bate
O. Norwood8.210O. Norwood
B. Osborn6.723B. Osborn
J. Diamond7.47J. Diamond
K. Wootton7.619K. Wootton
H. Wood6.516H. Wood
A. McCarthy6.129A. McCarthy
Jayden Joseph6.32J. Joseph
W. O'Hora6.416W. O'Hora
H. Souttar6.115H. Souttar
L. Thomas6.433L. Thomas
L. Page7.525L. Page
L. Cullen7.111L. Cullen
S. Braybrooke6.736S. Braybrooke
J. Lundstram7.36J. Lundstram
W. Alves6.437W. Alves
E. Riis8.717E. Riis

Stockport County Substitutes

30Ethan Ennis79'for Ryan Glover6.5
2J. Dacres-Cogley
9B. Andrésson87'for Jack Diamond6.3
20J. Adigun71'for Lewis Bate5.7
18L. Fiorini
25M. Jobe79'for Eoghan O'Connell6.0
22M. Mandron71'for Harry Wood6.3

Leicester Substitutes

23T. Watson76'for Emil Riis Jakobsen6.6
21F. Ravizzoli
24I. Kangasniemi86'for William Thomas-Alves6.0
20H. Howell
14B. De Cordova-Reid71'for Samuel Charles Braybrooke6.5
7W. Burns86'for Liam Cullen6.5
32O. Aluko86'for Warren O'Hora5.9

Match Stats

Stockport CountyLeicester
51%Ball Possession49%
8Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal5
11Shots off Goal1
15Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots3
7Fouls10
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves2
518Total Passes523
431Passes Accurate434
10Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Stockport CountyStockport County
LeicesterLeicester
1686Elo Rating 1600
1.70Attack 1.88
2.56Defense 1.49
73%Hit Rate 42%
17.5Shots per Game 15.6
5.4Shots on Target 6.0
7.8Corners per Game 6.8
1.4Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Stockport CountyStockport County
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
LeicesterLeicester
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Stockport CountyStockport County0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
LeicesterLeicester0Wins · 0%
0.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

League Cup23/08/2022
Stockport CountyLeicester
1030

Recent Form

Stockport CountyStockport County
7W0D3L
05/09/2026
WiganStockport County
04
W
02/09/2026
LutonStockport County
20
L
29/08/2026
Stockport CountyWycombe
51
W
22/08/2026
Stockport CountyBlackpool
12
L
18/08/2026
Stockport CountyEverton U21
63
W
15/08/2026
PlymouthStockport County
13
W
08/08/2026
Stockport CountyDoncaster
4151
L
01/08/2026
Stockport CountyPreston
10
W
28/07/2026
OldhamStockport County
01
W
17/07/2026
Stockport CountyBristol City
20
W
LeicesterLeicester
3W3D4L
05/09/2026
LeicesterOxford United
04
L
01/09/2026
LeicesterPlymouth
20
W
29/08/2026
Milton Keynes DonsLeicester
00
D
25/08/2026
IpswichLeicester
31
L
22/08/2026
LeicesterBurton Albion
12
L
15/08/2026
Notts CountyLeicester
11
D
08/08/2026
LeicesterNorthampton
10
W
01/08/2026
LeicesterGenoa
01
L
25/07/2026
MalagaLeicester
33
D
22/07/2026
CadizLeicester
01
W

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1274124:11+1325WWWDW
2Stockport CountyStockport County1372424:13+1123LDWWW
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1164119:10+922WDWDW
4BradfordBradford1264210:5+522DDWDD
5PlymouthPlymouth1371521:19+222WLLWW
6ReadingReading1263325:13+1221WWLWD
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1356221:18+321DLDWW
8LutonLuton1262424:20+420WWWLW
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1254321:13+819DLLWD
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1153320:16+418WWDWD
11LeicesterLeicester1253420:17+318WLWWL
12Burton AlbionBurton Albion1345418:19-117WDDLL
13StevenageStevenage1143415:11+415LWLWL
14Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1236316:19-315WWLWL
15WycombeWycombe1236319:23-415DDWLD
16Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1242616:14+214LLWDL
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon123458:19-1113DLLLD
18DoncasterDoncaster1233613:16-312LWLLW
19Notts CountyNotts County1125411:14-311DWLLL
20BlackpoolBlackpool1132616:20-411LWLLL
21PeterboroughPeterborough1224611:21-1010DLDWL
22BromleyBromley1223711:30-199LDLLL
23BarnsleyBarnsley1122711:21-108LLLLD
24WiganWigan122198:20-127LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1HuddersfieldHuddersfield1224:1125
2Stockport CountyStockport County1324:1323
3Oxford UnitedOxford United1119:1022
4BradfordBradford1210:522
5PlymouthPlymouth1321:1922
6ReadingReading1225:1321
7Cambridge UnitedCambridge United1321:1821
8LutonLuton1224:2020
9Sheffield WednesdaySheffield Wednesday1221:1319
10Mansfield TownMansfield Town1120:1618
11LeicesterLeicester1220:1718
12Burton AlbionBurton Albion1318:1917
13StevenageStevenage1115:1115
14Milton Keynes DonsMilton Keynes Dons1216:1915
15WycombeWycombe1219:2315
16Leyton OrientLeyton Orient1216:1414
17AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon128:1913
18DoncasterDoncaster1213:1612
19Notts CountyNotts County1111:1411
20BlackpoolBlackpool1116:2011
21PeterboroughPeterborough1211:2110
22BromleyBromley1211:309
23BarnsleyBarnsley1111:218
24WiganWigan128:207
PromotionRelegation

About the Stockport County vs Leicester forecast

The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Stockport County and Leicester in the League One table

In the League One table, Stockport County are 2nd and Leicester 11th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: Stockport County 24-13, Leicester 20-17. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Stockport County and Leicester have met only 1 time recently, with 0.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.